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Chicago Bears - Projected Stats (1 Viewer)

Hawkeye21

Hawkeye21

Footballguy
Lets see if this works.  I'm going to start with the Bears and list their offensive players.  I don't play IDP so I am not focusing on it but if someone wants to add it go right ahead.  I figured I would post a list of the players without any projected stats and that would allow others to copy and paste then input their own projections.  Hopefully we can have this for every team and we can compile a bunch projected stats from members here.  Will be interesting how we all differ from each other and the experts.

I'm not sure how the format is going to work yet so it's going to be a work in progress.

QBs                                   Pass Attempts  -  Pass Yards  -  Pass TDs  -  INTs  -  Rush Attempts  -  Rush Yards  -  Rush TDs

  • Mike Glennon 
  • Mitchell Trubisky
  • Mark Sanchez
  • Connor Shaw
RBs                                   Rush Attempts  -  Rush Yards  -  Rushing TDs  -  Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Jordan Howard
  • Jeremy Langford
  • Ka'Deem Carey
  • Benny Cunningham
  • Tarik Cohen
WRs                                  Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Kevin White
  • Cameron Meredith
  • Kendall Wright
  • Josh Bellamy
  • Daniel Braverman
  • Deonte Thompson
  • Markus Wheaton
  • Rueben Randle
TEs                                    Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Zach Miller
  • Dion Sims
  • Adam Shaheen
  • Daniel Brown
  • Ben Braunecker
  • MyCole Pruitt
 
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QBs                                   Pass Attempts  -  Pass Yards  -  Pass TDs  -  INTs  -  Rush Attempts  -  Rush Yards  -  Rush TDs

  • Mike Glennon                   485                   3419                 21              11      
  • Mitchell Trubisky                70                     602                   2                2
  • Mark Sanchez                   30                      210                   1                2
  • Connor Shaw
RBs                                   Rush Attempts  -  Rush Yards  -  Rushing TDs  -  Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Jordan Howard               260                       1170                    7                        35                         335                          2
  • Jeremy Langford              55                         192                    2                        15                         105                          0
  • Ka'Deem Carey                40                         160                    0                         5                           50                           0         
  • Tarik Cohen                      50                         200                    1                        30                         255                          1
  • Benny Cunningham
WRs                                  Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Kevin White                   59                       649                             4
  • Cameron Meredith        75                       975                             6
  • Kendall Wright               50                       579                             4
  • Josh Bellamy                 10                       135                             0
  • Daniel Braverman          15                       180                             2
  • Deonte Thompson         12                       162                             0
  • Markus Wheaton
  • Rueben Randle
TEs                                    Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Zach Miller                      42                       420                           4
  • Dion Sims                        12                        96
  • Adam Shaheen               23                        230                           1
  • Daniel Brown                   
  • Ben Braunecker               6                          60                            0
  • MyCole Pruitt
 
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Still a work in progress for me since this is the first time I've ever tried doing it.  So far I've just kind of estimated what I think each person is going to do but I still need to make sure that all their stats add up correctly.  For example, I need to make sure the total yards I have for receiving match up with the total yards I have for passing.  These are the things I start realizing once I get further along.

 
QBs                                   Pass Attempts  -  Pass Yards  -  Pass TDs  -  INTs  -  Rush Attempts  -  Rush Yards  -  Rush TDs

  • Mike Glennon                   398                   2925                 19              14                 24                       105                   1
  • Mitchell Trubisky               108                     733                   3               1                   5                            3                   0
  • Mark Sanchez                   32                      240                   1                1                   2                            6                   0
  • Connor Shaw
RBs                                   Rush Attempts  -  Rush Yards  -  Rushing TDs  -  Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Jordan Howard               235                       1156                    7                        35                         331                          2
  • Jeremy Langford              79                         278                    4                        16                         156                          0
  • Ka'Deem Carey                41                         159                    1                         5                           45                           0         
  • Tarik Cohen                        2                         16                      0                         4                            32                          0
  • Benny Cunningham          12                         45                      0                         3                            22                          0
WRs                                  Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Kevin White                   44                       518                             3
  • Cameron Meredith        53                       752                             4
  • Kendall Wright               52                       647                             5
  • Josh Bellamy                 14                       195                             1
  • Daniel Braverman           9                         92                              0
  • Deonte Thompson          6                         88                              0
  • Markus Wheaton           25                       298                             1
  • Rueben Randle               7                       101                              0
TEs                                    Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Zach Miller                      43                       429                           4
  • Dion Sims                        14                       142                           2
  • Adam Shaheen                 5                         41                           0
  • Daniel Brown                    6                         52                            0
  • Ben Braunecker               1                          13                            0
 
Like Hawkeye's this is very much a work in progress. This early in the year my projections are mostly based on three year weighted averages.

I tend to not try to predict who will be cut so things are more spread out than they will be once training camps are in session and the roster is getting trimmed down.

I also really don't know at this point who will be the Bears number one receiver. There are things I like and dislike about Meredith, White and Wright.

I really have no idea what to do with Cohen right now too. I could see him being almost strictly a returner with a few offensive plays here and there but could also see him getting several snaps a game.

I think Shaheen will take some time to develop to get regular snaps but could be a real contributor by the end of the year.

 
QBs                                   Pass Attempts  -  Pass Yards  -  Pass TDs  -  INTs  -  Rush Attempts  -  Rush Yards  -  Rush TDs

  • Mike Glennon                  536                   3430                21                11                 24                   71                       0
  • Mitchell Trubisky
  • Mark Sanchez
  • Connor Shaw
RBs                                   Rush Attempts  -  Rush Yards  -  Rushing TDs  -  Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Jordan Howard                  267                  1256                 7                          32                        255                        1  
  • Jeremy Langford                 80                   280                   4                          24                        184                      1
  • Ka'Deem Carey
  • Benny Cunningham
  • Tarik Cohen
WRs                                           Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Kevin White                          48                         576                        4                                      
  • Cameron Meredith               70                         905                        4
  • Kendall Wright                      35                         486                         3
  • Josh Bellamy                        
  • Daniel Braverman
  • Deonte Thompson
  • Markus Wheaton                 
  • Rueben Randle
TEs                                    Receptions  -  Receiving Yards  -  Receiving TDs

  • Zach Miller                     69                      722                        6
  • Dion Sims
  • Adam Shaheen
  • Daniel Brown
  • Ben Braunecker
  • MyCole Pruitt


I don't really do projections beyond the fantasy relevant players.  I am assuming Glennon starts the season, if not I bet things are worse overall.  I'm leaving about 350 receiving yards and a handfull of TD's for others. I think TD's are going to be hard to come by in the offence.  Only three players on my board for this year are Howard, Meredith, and Miller.  Miller missed a bunch of games last season so his totals look low, but he averages about 4.5 catches a game and was a viable starter when active.  

I am glad some one took the initiative to start these team projections, we probably need to do a couple a week to get all the teams in before August.

 
@Hawkeye21  You have about 4,850 in receiving yards posted but only 4,000 passing yards by QB's. 

I personally think you are way to high on Wright and Wight and way to low on Miller.  But I agree that Meredith could have a great year and think your projection is a good ceiling for him.

I thought I was going to be lower than most on Howard, but it appears that I am the most optimistic so far.  Why do you guys see him taking such a drop off?

 
abbottjamesr said:
@Hawkeye21  You have about 4,850 in receiving yards posted but only 4,000 passing yards by QB's. 

I personally think you are way to high on Wright and Wight and way to low on Miller.  But I agree that Meredith could have a great year and think your projection is a good ceiling for him.

I thought I was going to be lower than most on Howard, but it appears that I am the most optimistic so far.  Why do you guys see him taking such a drop off?
Click to expand...
As I mentioned in another post my stats do not currently match up because I just looked at each player individually.  I did not split up the total yards and receptions yet.  So far mine is just a first draft and needs a lot of revision.  I plan on changing it plenty of times before the season starts.

As for Howard dropping I just don't know if he can sustain what he did last year.  I feel teams are going to focus more on him and his yards per carry will drop some.  You and I have him with similar attempts but I have his average dropping.  It's going to be hard for him to keep that same average this year.

 
Hawkeye21 said:
Still a work in progress for me since this is the first time I've ever tried doing it.  So far I've just kind of estimated what I think each person is going to do but I still need to make sure that all their stats add up correctly.  For example, I need to make sure the total yards I have for receiving match up with the total yards I have for passing.  These are the things I start realizing once I get further along.
Click to expand...
This is something really good that comes out of doing team projections I think. Looking at the big picture you can figure out where some projections for specific players may be too high or too low, based on how they fit together as a whole.

I like the format you have set up for this. One thing I use that you are not using (or I don't see) is targets to go with the receptions. I find using targets, much like rushing attempts to be very useful in figuring out the opportunities for players.

 
Biabreakable said:
This is something really good that comes out of doing team projections I think. Looking at the big picture you can figure out where some projections for specific players may be too high or too low, based on how they fit together as a whole.

I like the format you have set up for this. One thing I use that you are not using (or I don't see) is targets to go with the receptions. I find using targets, much like rushing attempts to be very useful in figuring out the opportunities for players.
Click to expand...
I considered that but kept it somewhat simple to start.  I think it's open for anyone to add what ever stats they feel.  The more the merrier.

 
I like to project for offensive snaps as well.  :nerd:

I will figure something out for formatting.

I have done a few spitball projections on some topics recently but likely not going to go full bore into this for another week or so (still watching some rookies first).

 
Hawkeye21 said:
As I mentioned in another post my stats do not currently match up because I just looked at each player individually.  I did not split up the total yards and receptions yet.  So far mine is just a first draft and needs a lot of revision.  I plan on changing it plenty of times before the season starts.

As for Howard dropping I just don't know if he can sustain what he did last year.  I feel teams are going to focus more on him and his yards per carry will drop some.  You and I have him with similar attempts but I have his average dropping.  It's going to be hard for him to keep that same average this year.
Click to expand...
I completely missed your post where you said that.  Wasn't trying to be critical of your projections, just pointing it out. 

I agree Howard probably wont maintain that crazy 5.2 ypc that he had last year. I have him at 4.7 in my projections, I could be talked into lower, but it doesn't change much in the grand scheme.  He is the top of my third tier of RB's with Miller, Hyde, Gurley. 

 
I think Meredith will be a 1000 yard receiver. I find it hard to believe Chicago won't have one. And he seems to be the most logical at this point. 

I think whomever the Bears start at QB will have 16+ INTs however (assuming 16 games started)

I don't know how the OP came up with his QB stats but he has Glennon's career TD:INT ratio pretty dead on. I just think defenses in the NFC North are different than what he's faced in the South back in 13-14. It'll be a learning curve. At the same time if he starts throwing INTs like crazy he's likely to get pulled. So maybe I have no idea what's going to happen :lol:  

 
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Dr. Dan said:
I think Meredith will be a 1000 yard receiver. I find it hard to believe Chicago won't have one. And he seems to be the most logical at this point. 

I think whomever the Bears start at QB will have 16+ INTs however (assuming 16 games started)

I don't know how the OP came up with his QB stats but he has Glennon's career TD:INT ratio pretty dead on. I just think defenses in the NFC North are different than what he's faced in the South back in 13-14. It'll be a learning curve. At the same time if he starts throwing INTs like crazy he's likely to get pulled. So maybe I have no idea what's going to happen :lol:  
Click to expand...
I have no idea what's going to happen either.

 
Based on these projections, the Bears will be a fantasy wasteland, with the exception of Jordan Howard.

A lot of varying opinions on Meredith. 

 
fightingillini said:
Based on these projections, the Bears will be a fantasy wasteland, with the exception of Jordan Howard.

A lot of varying opinions on Meredith. 
Click to expand...
Sounds pretty accurate though, doesn't it?  Howard will be a good fantasy player and Meredith has a good shot as a WR2.  White has upside to be a WR3 or WR2.  If Miller can stay healthy a full year he's great value.  Glennon could be a good bye week starter for some and that's about it for the Bears this year.

 
fightingillini said:
Based on these projections, the Bears will be a fantasy wasteland, with the exception of Jordan Howard.

A lot of varying opinions on Meredith. 
Click to expand...
PPR 13.9 FP/G from Meredith... seems pretty good to me. I'd take that at flex easily, maybe even WR2 if my RBs were solid


Chicago has been a fantasy wasteland for quite some time now. Howard will be valuable. Glennon maybe as a backup, or the guy that is picked up/dropped 8 times during the year. Meredith should be rostered definitely. And many will roster White... I'm not sure I want to bark up that tree no matter how awesome it looks.  

 
The only Bear I would be looking at early would be Howard.

As others are saying I think one of the receivers will be at least a semi-clear number one*. Someone will emerge and Glennon will probably find a favorite. Training camp and the pre-season games should clear it up some.

I think Meredith is probably the safest bet to be the one but believe White has the most upside with Wright the longest shot.

Edit to add: number one on the Bears not number one fantasy.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
icecat4270 said:
The only Bear I would be looking at early would be Howard.

As others are saying I think one of the receivers will be at least a semi-clear number one*. Someone will emerge and Glennon will probably find a favorite. Training camp and the pre-season games should clear it up some.

I think Meredith is probably the safest bet to be the one but believe White has the most upside with Wright the longest shot.

Edit to add: number one on the Bears not number one fantasy.
Click to expand...
Kendall Wright! Book it 

Obviously kidding to some degree, but I think it's just as likely Meredith emerges as Wright... all it takes is for a QB to latch onto a particular WR

 
saintfool said:
It's a fun exercise, if nothing else. 
Click to expand...
It's a good exercise, but I wouldn't call it fun. I can't even make myself attempt the Bears. Seems like an exercise in futility for the following reasons:

  • Nobody really knows how the Glennon/Tubisky situation will play out
  • Even if we did, they are both huge question marks
  • Kevin White could be a stud or a bust, nobody really knows
  • I'm probably alone on this, but I'm not sold on Howard
  • Hard to project what Loggains will do based on his lone year in Chicago where Barkely led the team with 216 PA
 
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