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Betting the Bengals to win Super Bowl- 70/1 (1 Viewer)

KCitons

KCitons

Footballguy
Why not? Every year I like to pick a team in April/May that has high odds.  Last year it was the Falcons at 50 to 1 odds. I like to pick a team that has an established QB and anot established head coach. $50 for a chance at $3500? Seems like the long shot to take this year. 

Tell me why this is a bad idea.

 
KCitons said:
Why not? Every year I like to pick a team in April/May that has high odds.  Last year it was the Falcons at 50 to 1 odds. I like to pick a team that has an established QB and anot established head coach. $50 for a chance at $3500? Seems like the long shot to take this year. 

Tell me why this is a bad idea.
Click to expand...
How angry were you during the last 20 minutes of the Super Bowl?

 
This reminds me of the last World Cup. There was a prop bet with 175-1 odds Suarez would bite someone during the tournament...

 
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what are the odds for Hou ,Seattle , Ravens, Redskins, Rams, Dolphins?

we know houston and seattle are  favorites..but the redskins have the qb, rams will have the best defense in the nfl with Wade Phillips as DC, Dolphins have play makers..Cincy has no shot since they have Marv Lewis as HC , a guy who just chokes in big games and goes ultra conservative at the worst possible times.

 
I heard on a sports radio show that only twice have teams that were above 30-1 won the SB. The Saints 2009 were one, I forget the other.

I have no problem betting on the Bengals, but might as well make it a cool 100.

 
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Tanner9919 said:
what are the odds for Hou ,Seattle , Ravens, Redskins, Rams, Dolphins?

we know houston and seattle are  favorites..but the redskins have the qb, rams will have the best defense in the nfl with Wade Phillips as DC, Dolphins have play makers..Cincy has no shot since they have Marv Lewis as HC , a guy who just chokes in big games and goes ultra conservative at the worst possible times.
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houston - 32/1

baltimore - 43/1

Washington - 68/1  (this is another team that intrigues me)

Los Angeles Rams - 175/1

Miami - 60/1

Houston is not a favorite. New England is 11/5 and Dallas is 8/1.

 
SaintsInDome2006 said:
I heard on a sports radio show that only twice have teams that were above 30-1 won the SB. The Saints 2009 were one, I forget the other.

I have no problem betting on the Bengals, but might as well make it a cool 100.
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Im not looking to throw money away.  ;)

 
KCitons said:
Why not? Every year I like to pick a team in April/May that has high odds.  Last year it was the Falcons at 50 to 1 odds. I like to pick a team that has an established QB and anot established head coach. $50 for a chance at $3500? Seems like the long shot to take this year. 

Tell me why this is a bad idea.
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They still have the same QB and coach that can't manage to win come the second season.

 
SaintsInDome2006 said:
I think you're right, and the falcs last year may be a third.
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I hit the Giants at 60-1 in 2007. A lot had to happen for me to hit that ticket!

 
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SaintsInDome2006 said:
I think you're right, and the falcs last year may be a third.
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I would think the SB XVI 49ers must have had high preseason odds.  0 super bowls appearances prior to that and a losing record the season before.

-QG

 
If I go out to Vegas this summer I'll put down a few bucks on my Bengals.  Bad habit with me and that prop.

-QG

 
I prefer to bet teams that will win the conference. Odds aren't as good but if I correctly select the long shot it allows me to bet the money line the other way. It then becomes a no loose prop. For example, LY I had the Falcons to win the NFC championship. It allowed me to bet the money line the other way and be in a no loose situation.

This year I really like the Buccs (I got them at +2000) and the Giants (I got them at +1000). Have decided on my AFC teams yet.

 
I've got a very solid, 3 step plan that will have the same effect as your proposed wager.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Take a $50 bill from your wallet.

2. Deposit said bill into your toilet bowl.

3. Flush toilet

 
With what the Patriots did this offseason, I don't think I'd be taking any AFC team at those odds. At least if you take an NFC team you can hedge your bet if they make the Super Bowl, but then you're essentially going into the bet knowing you're playing for half the reward.

 
I like taking a long shot AFC team.  Patriots are head and shoulders above the league which inflates the prices.  If Brady goes down it could pay off.

 
KCitons said:
Why not? Every year I like to pick a team in April/May that has high odds.  Last year it was the Falcons at 50 to 1 odds. I like to pick a team that has an established QB and anot established head coach. $50 for a chance at $3500? Seems like the long shot to take this year. 

Tell me why this is a bad idea.
Click to expand...
There is a reason a team is a long shot.  A long history of post season failures is a great reason to be doubted.

But I like this bet and the chance to cash in on the long odds.  You have a team capable of making the play-offs, a veteran QB, a play maker in AJ Green and some potentially game changing talent in Mixon and Ross (although he may not be healthy this year).  Add in a healthy Eifert and the team becomes intriguing.  Stranger things have happened.

 
Danish Bengal said:
As long as Marvin is HC that's money down the drain. Why didn't you give them to a needing homeless instead of a filthy rich bookie?
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What about the other money I gave to the filthy rich casinos? Or are we just concerned with the $25 wager on the Bengals? 

 
Danish Bengal said:
Depends. Did you at least bet that money on something with even a remote possibility of happening?
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I think so. But it's all relative. I tried out the roulette machine for the first time. (just out of curiosity). I hadn't played roulette in probably 15 years. Odds of a single number hitting on a double zero wheel are 35-1. Also had some two leg parlays on Stanley Cup playoffs. But those carried 13/5 odds. And don't forget the plethora of slots that I played. I can't even imagine how ####ty the odds are on those. By true gamblers standards, all of these odds are terrible. 

So, I guess my worst bet of the week was the $25 on the Bengals. But if they happen to catch lighting in a bottle, the enjoyment will greatly exceed the possible loss of $25. As did all of the other money I spent this week. 

 
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They have some impact players but their offensive line is a mess. 

If I were to take a chance with a long shot AFC team it would be the Chargers. If they stay healthy that offense will be as good as any. The defense is getting there. The problem is that the AFC west teams are gonna beat up each other.

I just can't bet against the Pats. Even if Brady went down they would be strong with Garrapolo. 

I'll do my gambling in the NFC.

 
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