Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
Anarchy99

2017 Anarchy League 2 Thread - The Inspector Clouseau League

Recommended Posts

Gronk is obviously high risk/high reward.  I took him first pick last year and it didn't work out.  Was able to finish 5th.  At the time I thought he was the highest value.  I don't think I would of done it this year after another down year, but time will tell.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 minutes ago, coordinator said:

Gronk is obviously high risk/high reward.  I took him first pick last year and it didn't work out.  Was able to finish 5th.  At the time I thought he was the highest value.  I don't think I would of done it this year after another down year, but time will tell.

If Gronk had lasted the whole season and given you another 375 points (like he had scored in the past), you would have finished second and within striking distance of first. Not many guys out there that can score 500 points.

Edited by Anarchy99

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, Mr. Irrelevant said:

Pretty much the case for any high 1st-round pick in a draft-and-done format, though, I think. Especially in a 16-teamer, you ain't winning or even threatening that closely if you lose DJ or AB for a large chunk of time any more than if you lose Gronk.

I disagree with this. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

With so many pieces to play with in the NE offense no way I take Gronk early.  I think the days of him dominating the position and the NE game plan on a weekly basis are long gone.  Just IMO.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Stinkin Ref said:

With so many pieces to play with in the NE offense no way I take Gronk early.  I think the days of him dominating the position and the NE game plan on a weekly basis are long gone.  Just IMO.

The best I can assess the NE situation is we'll have to wait and see. I would guess they will play Gronk less than in season's past, but that may be due to being up 30 points (so he sits the 4th quarter), sitting the last week or two of the season (locked up top seed), or if they use someone else to block more on running plays (so he could still see a similar amount of targets). 

Looking at 2014, the trio of Gronk, Edelman, and LaFell totaled 384 targets. IMO, Gronk-Edelman-Cooks should combine for 350 targets. That probably leaves 250-260 targets for everyone else. I tend to think the RB targets will go down with the addition of Cooks (NE backs had 130 last year). So maybe 90 targets to RB's.

Amendola becomes an after thought with Mitchell and Hogan getting the majority of the leftover targets (call it 100). 350 + 90 + 100 = 540. That leaves 60-70 targets for Amendola, Allen, and bit players.

That's my guess, but who knows how it will play out.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

injuries and zeroes are killers. This thread got me thinking about my almosts and then an injury.

Year one IIRC I lost by an injury. Then worst of all I lost to Donny T by 30 points for second.

Another early year we were 30 points between 1st, 2nd and 3rd..One injury away by anyone of us.

That kept us close.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
33 minutes ago, Stinkin Ref said:

Not sure what up with Jeremyx13 but this kind of stinks.  I even tried texting the number on the Anarchy site but no help.

How about pinging that guy holding up league one for 16+ hours.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Stinkin Ref said:

Can we slide him to 16 and move on?

I suppose David could do that. Based on what hasn't happened thus far, it might be a pretty short trip though.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yea, had to be grown up this week, lol.  I see all leagues now and will be on top of it.  Just like the man to push me back to the bus.

 

edit:  site said it was my turn to draft so I did, but it was sinrman who got player. 

Edited by jeremyx13
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
50 minutes ago, Anarchy99 said:

Done.

guess need to swap me back since I own sinrman on my mfl account

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
52 minutes ago, jeremyx13 said:

Yea, had to be grown up this week, lol.  I see all leagues now and will be on top of it.  Just like the man to push me back to the bus.

Glad to hear it wasn't an emergency or something worse came up.

Easier to snooze in the back anyways. You just don't want to lose your stop. ;)

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

@Anarchy99 your inbox is full as you are such a popular guy as well as a #### hoarder.

I was just curious what the status of the bastard love child is. I believe that Borden has been around but I have not seen this one start yet.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Will get to ABLC eventually. Trying to get the regular leagues to be quasi functional first. At this point I don't even know if that is possible. 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

When did Anarchy 2 become the special needs league? Forgive my insensitivity. That would be insulting to the specially needy being compared to you bozos.  

Sinrman on the clock. What an epic cluster . . .

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sorry, was out golfing all day.  Didn't know wtf was going on and if I was up or if the 1.06 was my pick.  :loco:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On ‎7‎/‎21‎/‎2017 at 11:16 AM, Anarchy99 said:

It's an interesting dichotomy. Some guys get nagging injuries like hamstring pulls, sprained ankles, broken fingers, or such. Gronk has had major back surgery multiple times now. You have to start worrying if one more awkward hit and he'll be done altogether or if he will adjust his play to be more conservative to take less damage. I doubt either of those will happen, but I think they carry some concern. As stated many times, any game could be a player's last game, but IMO Gronk has a greater risk of being knocked out for the season than other guys. So while other players might have a 1% chance of going down for the season in any game, Gronk might carry a 10% risk of going on IR. Still unlikely, but definitely a much greater risk.

Tony Romo a year ago and he wasn't even hit hard. The phrase "accident waiting to happen" is more about being stupid and placing yourself in the wrong spot, but all those back surgeries. I prefer for someone else to reap the benefit of that risk.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 minutes ago, Stephen Holloway said:

Tony Romo a year ago and he wasn't even hit hard. The phrase "accident waiting to happen" is more about being stupid and placing yourself in the wrong spot, but all those back surgeries. I prefer for someone else to reap the benefit of that risk.

Romo maybe didnt have his clock cleaned....but that tackle and the way Romo was positioned crunching him was a pretty nasty....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
58 minutes ago, There it is said:

Love these picks. Nothing gets past you guys.

Fiddles Howard is RB3 in this format IMHO. What a steal.

Different strokes for different folks, I suppose. Howard ranked 9th last year. IMO, the Bears QB situation won't help Howard any. And it would take an act of Congress to get Chicago to the post season. IMO, borderline Top 10 backs are not as enticing as in regular leagues. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, There it is said:

I understand the #'s look bad, but in my insane opinion and this format I have him ending up RB#3.

I'm not sure science can cure what you are afflicted with. Thoughts and prayers.

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, There it is said:

I won this league twice.

 

 

Before I got sick.

You could have won this league every year. That still won't change where Howard ends up ranking this year.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, There it is said:

I understand the #'s look bad, but in my insane opinion and this format I have him ending up RB#3.

I am curious to see what numbers you are considering that would lead to this outcome?

I could see it happening, but Howard would need a hell of a lot of TD for that to happen I think (possible I suppose).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Howard had 1611/7 last year and ended the season ranked 9th . . . 90 points out of the 3 spot. 

The Bears have two unproven QB to chose from on a team that ranked Bottom 5 in scoring and lost their best receiver. The offense only scored 29 total TD, which was half of what the Falcons offense scored. And Chicago will be watching the playoffs with the rest of us. Maybe I am missing something, but I don't see the love for Howard as a Top 3 back. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Most sites gives general advice to the public. Mine are for me. I live or die on it. remember this is a 0 pts pre reception for RB. Ephasis on 0 PPR in this format I Have Howard #3RB.

I got him in No Mercy same 0 PPR.

We'll see at the end of the year.

So it is written so let it be.

44 minutes ago, Biabreakable said:

I am curious to see what numbers you are considering that would lead to this outcome?

I could see it happening, but Howard would need a hell of a lot of TD for that to happen I think (possible I suppose).

Sorry David nothing personal.

Edited by There it is
apoligy

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If you could share specific numbers on this, perhaps after the draft is concluded. I am curious.

How many TD for example? But again we are barely getting started here, so perhaps something to discuss at a later time.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

My immediate thought on the Howard pick was to be skeptical for the same reasons others posted, primarily due to low playoff probability. But I went to look this up out of curiosity:

  • 2016: RB1 (Johnson) and RB5 (McCoy) had no playoff games. RB2 (Elliott) and RB 3 (Bell) had one or more playoff games, but each played in a total of exactly 16 games.
  • 2015: RB1 (Freeman), RB3 (Martin), and RB5 (Deangelo) had no playoff games. RB2 (Peterson) had 1 playoff game, in which he scored 5.8 points; he would have finished as RB2 without that extra game.

So it appears to me that the playoff probability is not very predictive of Anarchy finish. Furthermore, there has been a lot of turnover: 18 different RBs finished in the Anarchy top 10 in 2015-16. So there should be no reason to think that a guy like Howard cannot jump into the top 5.

Not saying I expect him to be RB3, but I don't think it is quite as far-fetched as some have made it out to be.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, There it is said:

JWB you have pulled out quite a few on us in the past.

You sniped so many right in front of me. I went in and changed my password to Just Lose Baby.:D

:lmao: 

I wish I had better results to show for it. I lost in the Super Bowl to @Duckboy once ( :rant:) but otherwise have not finished higher than 6th. Definitely some bad luck in there, but we've all experienced that. It has actually been sobering to me about my fantasy skills/knowledge.

But that's why I keep doing it. I like to think it helps me in my later drafts, where I tend to get better results. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.