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Official #7 Pick Thread (PPR) (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter andyk803
- Start date
I don't think you can go wrong with Odell or Mike Evans or AJ Green this year and you could get like a Demarco or Zeke with that second and worm around some value RB2s with your 3 and 4. There are way too many good value WRs in the 5 6 7 8th rounds this year to consider two or three early WRs so I would lock one Elite one and then hit RB/TE/QB hard.
Wouldnt talk you out of gronk in the first... if he is there in the 2nd and you picked an Elite WR1 then you're set....
However, I do think this is one of the worst draft spots but this year there are a handful of players in the mid rounds that I believe are going to make seasons. Players like Dalvin Cook or Ty Montgomery could just become RB1s in a PPR so I wouldnt fret on this draft slot.
Don't sleep on Woodhead
Wouldnt talk you out of gronk in the first... if he is there in the 2nd and you picked an Elite WR1 then you're set....
However, I do think this is one of the worst draft spots but this year there are a handful of players in the mid rounds that I believe are going to make seasons. Players like Dalvin Cook or Ty Montgomery could just become RB1s in a PPR so I wouldnt fret on this draft slot.
Don't sleep on Woodhead
Deamon
Footballguy
No way Odell is there at 7 in a PPR. Assuming DJ/Bell/Brown/Julio/ODB are gone, there's really only 6 options for you. Pick your two favourite and you're gonna get one of them.
Gordon
Mccoy
Freeman
Evans
AJ
Nelson
My 2 favourite would be Evans, then a tie between Freeman and AJ.
Big Blue Wrecking Crew
downsized
Gottabesweet
Footballguy
I have the 6th pick but willing to discuss none the less. I can't justify taking a RB at 6 or 7.
The mocks look the best when you go RB first and then Gronk or load up on WR's.
I've been tinkering with
Evans at 1.6
Rodgers or Brady at 2.7 (6 pt per TD) - Start QB-R-W-T-F-F-K-D
and then RB in the third and then load up at WR's
The mocks look the best when you go RB first and then Gronk or load up on WR's.
I've been tinkering with
Evans at 1.6
Rodgers or Brady at 2.7 (6 pt per TD) - Start QB-R-W-T-F-F-K-D
and then RB in the third and then load up at WR's
shadyridr
Footballguy
Gottabesweet
Footballguy
Yeah in leagues where you start two RB's I'll agree.
I only need to start one, so am tinkering with whoever PPR I can get.
If you pass on RB in the first then yes you'll have to go Gurley or Ajayi in the 2nd.
It's easier to go Freeman or McCoy in the 1st but you're giving up value off the start. My DD shows a 30 point swing difference between McCoy and Evans.
shadyridr
Footballguy
If I knew for sure Ajayi would be there in the 2nd I would. But I seriously doubt it especially with a Miami homer with 2 picks between my 1st and my 2nd.
Gottabesweet
Footballguy
Where do you think Elliott goes?
I think he's only an option if you go RB round 1 as well.
shadyridr
Footballguy
I may consider him in the 2nd but yes only if I took a RB. Also in the 2nd WRs like Dez & Hilton are also available. A Freeman/Hilton combo far outscores an Evans/Gurley combo unless you think Gurley is much better than last year.
Bottom line, the RBs in the 2nd are horrible and the WRs are still really good. This is why I can't justify taking Evans/Green in the 1st.
Mystery Achiever
Footballguy
Just replaced a team in a slow draft and not happy with this slot at all. Partly situational in that 1st pick timed out before I joined and got Evans via ADP. McCoy was still there, which would have set me up much better. Murray went one pick before me, so I ended up with Hilton, hoping for quick healing for Andrew Luck. Elliott went two picks after. I couldn't talk myself into taking him as RB1, I'm doubtful he'll get the six games reduced given all of the other bad behavior reports out there.So, now I have to go mining for undervalued RBs in the next few rounds.I wasn't even going to play this year, so I am playing catch up getting informed.
Definitely grab RB in 1st if you can.
ETA- RBs taken (by pick 2.04):Johnson, Bell, Freeman, McCoy,Gordon, Ajayi,Howard, Gurley, Murray.
Definitely grab RB in 1st if you can.
ETA- RBs taken (by pick 2.04):Johnson, Bell, Freeman, McCoy,Gordon, Ajayi,Howard, Gurley, Murray.
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Gottabesweet
Footballguy
Now with Beckham possibly missing 1-2 games (I pick 6th)
He and Elliott have made the 6th and 7th pick less valuable.
Mystery Achiever
Footballguy
Makes sense.
Four more RBs off the board by 3.07: Cook, Miller, McCaffrey, Crowell (me). This league may be a little more RB heavy than average, but thought it might still be helpful for others to see.
Four more RBs off the board by 3.07: Cook, Miller, McCaffrey, Crowell (me). This league may be a little more RB heavy than average, but thought it might still be helpful for others to see.
I'm targeting Crowell, Mcaffery, or Cook in the third - then going WR/WR or WR/TE in the first two rounds. I think that sets me up to take BPA for the next 5 rounds.
ponchsox
Footballguy
What do you if they aren't there? Chances are at least one other team in your league has the same strategy.
Gottabesweet
Footballguy
I feel like it's a reach. I've been looking at the DD rankings and 95% of RB's i'll be reaching on.
The very few who show value is Powell ranked 52nd and his EDP is 58th
Guys like Gurley, Miller, Fournette, Lynch, Cook, McCaffrey are all 1.5 to 2 rounds lost in value from their rank in the DD compared to the spot they'll most likely go.
It's basically figuring out at what point to "reach" on your RB.
most are doing it in round 1 by grabbing McCoy, Gordon or Freeman - ranked 10,11,12 at 6,7,8
Edit to add. Crowell is ranked 37th in the DD and his EDP is 31. So that's not a bad "value" reach.
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It's not a reach if you don't believe in DD projections. If Crowell performs the same as last year he'll be a steal in the mid-third. Offensive line and defense is improved, the schedule is easier, he has less competition for touches, and Hue Jackson is going to be pounding the rock to take pressure off the QBs. Crowell is a value pick for me in the third.
I also think Cook is going to beat his projection. He's a great talent in a good situation.
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Mystery Achiever
Footballguy
It also doesn't hurt that Crowell is in a contract year and hired Rosenhaus,looking for a big deal.
Mystery Achiever
Footballguy
I haven't seen any reports of Beckham practicing, though he was tossing balls at the last preseason game. The local media I've heard opine seem to think he'll play Week1, but that is really just informed speculation.
