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Who is the most accurate projection Guru of the FBG's (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Hersh
- Start date
Gottabesweet
Footballguy
Favorite is Bloom
Least is Wood.
Least is Wood.
Phil Elliott
Footballguy
I don't now who is more accurate but they all seem to buy a new Honda every year about this time. Clearance time for current model year. If you do some type of blending you will get a nice average of them all, smoothing out the extremes.
GibbyGarcia
Footballguy
I supposed Dodds overall, but I find myself listening to Wood over the years. Henry is statistically the most accurate I think.
zoonation
Footballguy
The "projections" are the most useless tool on this site (which is filled with amazing content). Hedging a projection based on probability of outcome is effectively useless as a tool to determine which players you should start. For example, Dodds often has 10-15 WR's within 2 fantasy points of each other. Not helpful.
Short Corner
Footballguy
I don't think I have ever seen DD do this. 6 tops but that is to be expected. If you want him to give more separation to make your picks easier just ignore the projections and print the cheatsheet.zoonation said:
Bronco Billy
Footballguy
NYRAGE
Footballguy
Depends how far down you look. Once you reach a certain point, there can be tons of guys within a point or two .e.g There are 16 WRs after Crabtree within 2 points.
Personally, I have never liked the weekly projections here. At least Bloom adds some comments. I gave this feedback after last season. A site like the Fantasy Guru will have a small paragraph on each player in their rankings. It's far more helpful than the just the rankings here.
zoonation
Footballguy
I don't go based on the rankings or projections. I like to read the matchup content and then go with my gut.
The rankings are equally useless. Even if they are close (say he has shady at rb6 one week and he ends up rb7) it doesn't help if the actual rb6 is a guy you would have otherwise started.
In other words, it is an impossible exercise the efficacy of which is impossible to prove or rely on.
The problem is that it is marketed as a tool to help you choose one player over another. But it is complete guesswork and nonsense, really.
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zoonation
Footballguy
This week Dez projected at #4 with 10.7 points (standard scoring)
Keenan Allen is at #21 with 8.7 points projected.
17 guys within 2 fantasy points of one another.
I'm not saying the methodology is wrong, I'm just saying it is useless.
Dope
Footballguy
I like using the projections as a gauge. I put in my scoring system and see whether my lineup will win or the other guy.
Surprisingly, using this has been pretty accurate at predicting the games ive been in. I'd say it's about 75-80%.
I use Dodds primarily, but also look at Henry and Bloom. Bloom is definitely more aggressive.
Surprisingly, using this has been pretty accurate at predicting the games ive been in. I'd say it's about 75-80%.
I use Dodds primarily, but also look at Henry and Bloom. Bloom is definitely more aggressive.
ourmanflint
Footballguy
Henry doesn't do weekly and Bloom doesn't do pre-season so what are we talking about here?
psychobillies
Footballguy
I go with whichever one agrees with me. It varies at each position. If none of them agree, I just wonder what the hell is the matter with them.
Stompin' Tom Connors
Footballguy
Dodds. Consistent and dependable.
Bloom, to me, brings credible counterpoints and rankings, and his explanations make sense. Provides a good "look up" moment for me to ensure I am critically thinking through matchup and opportunity and not jsut blindly following rankings.
Always love me some Maurile, despite him being a Chargers fan.
But his rankings to me have often been a tad reactive with calls that seem a little too bold for me.
Love that so many of the FBGs provide their views -- the more, the merrier.
Bloom, to me, brings credible counterpoints and rankings, and his explanations make sense. Provides a good "look up" moment for me to ensure I am critically thinking through matchup and opportunity and not jsut blindly following rankings.
Always love me some Maurile, despite him being a Chargers fan.
But his rankings to me have often been a tad reactive with calls that seem a little too bold for me. Love that so many of the FBGs provide their views -- the more, the merrier.
Pigskin Fanatic
Footballguy
I feel the same way. From my experience, Dodds' projections are consistent throughout the season and changes the least based on situational changes week to week. Maurile seems to be the opposite extreme, relatively speaking within the group anyway. Since Bloom is on the Podcast, he gets to explain his picks and thoughts and that lends to his credibility. So I go with his picks a lot when it's different than the others.Dodds. Consistent and dependable.
Bloom, to me, brings credible counterpoints and rankings, and his explanations make sense. Provides a good "look up" moment for me to ensure I am critically thinking through matchup and opportunity and not jsut blindly following rankings.
Always love me some Maurile, despite him being a Chargers fan.
Love that so many of the FBGs provide their views -- the more, the merrier.
beerbuff
Footballguy
While no rankings in 2016 for these guys according the rankings at Fantasy Pros https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/accuracy/2009-2015.php this is how a few of the footballguys ranked in earlier years out of roughly 100 'experts'.
Dodds 2015-25th 2014-42nd 2013-9th 2012 5th
Bloom 2014 46th 2013-50th 2012-53rd
Trembley 2014 18th 2013-33rd
Dodds 2015-25th 2014-42nd 2013-9th 2012 5th
Bloom 2014 46th 2013-50th 2012-53rd
Trembley 2014 18th 2013-33rd
Short Corner
Footballguy
I thought the thread was referring to season long projections. In a given weak, once you get pastthe multiple td scorers, there is going to be a jumbling of guys
