timschochet
Footballguy
Per the radio, apparently Rick Scott has made Trump supporters angry by disagreeing with Trump’s claim that 3,000 people didn’t die in Puerto Rico.
Trump supporters are the most willfully blind group of people I can even imagine. It's truly incredible to witness.Per the radio, apparently Rick Scott has made Trump supporters angry by disagreeing with Trump’s claim that 3,000 people didn’t die in Puerto Rico.
He supported Bernie and Hillary in 2016. Shouldn't they have left then?In 2018 Willie Nelson became a socialist commie because he's doing a political rally for Beto O'Rourke.
The cult was in its infancy then, just learning to walk, talk, and attack. It's all growed up now.He supported Bernie and Hillary in 2016. Shouldn't they have left then?
Let's hope that sticks.
Ted Cruz’s Texas Senatorial campaign has sent hundreds of thousands of mailers seeking donations that are meant to look like official county summons, a high-ranking campaign official confirmed to Newsweek.
The brown envelopes read “SUMMONS ENCLOSED- OPEN IMMEDIATELY” in large black letters, and have a return address of “official county summons.”
While the letter inside the envelope is a donation form for the Cruz campaign, there is some fear that certain voters may be confused by the mailer and think that they are required by law to pay a fee.
I'd guess 2 out of 3 independent or undecided voters who receive that mailer will vote against Cruz as a result.This is not the first time Cruz has sent misleading mail to voters. In the 2016 presidential primaries, the Cruz campaign sent Iowa voters a letter that read “VOTING VIOLATION,” in red font. Below the warning was an explanation.
“You are receiving this election notice because of low expected voter turnout in your area,” it read. “Your individual voting history as well as your neighbors’ are public record. Their scores are published below, and many of them will see your score as well. CAUCUS ON MONDAY TO IMPROVE YOUR SCORE and please encourage your neighbors to caucus as well. A follow-up notice may be issued following Monday’s caucuses.”
Unfortunately the frightened or ignorant elderly who will react to this kind of "offical" mailer is going to make an impact. This should be ####### illegal.I'd guess 2 out of 3 independent or undecided voters who receive that mailer will vote against Cruz as a result.
That's a solid point. I have to manage my mom's affairs now that she's in a nursing home and unable to do so. She can still vote, though, despite the fact that she's easily scared or fooled. I never talk to her about who to vote for, for that reason --- I'd be manipulating someone who doesn't fully understand, and that's just wrong.Unfortunately the frightened or ignorant elderly who will react to this kind of "offical" mailer is going to make an impact. This should be ####### illegal.
Need about 11.5 for SenateOn the 538 podcast last week they were talking about how a "generic ballot" lean of Democrat +5-7 would be enough to take the House. It's now at 9.1%.
That mailer is like Ted Cruz in a nutshell. His team of data nerds probably ran tests that showed it would boost donations by X%, but nobody stopped and said, "Hey, won't this reinforce the narrative that he's a total a##hole?"I'd guess 2 out of 3 independent or undecided voters who receive that mailer will vote against Cruz as a result.
Where'd you get the Ohio part?The biggest GOP donor in Ohio just quit the party, and is donating to the Democrats.
I got him confused with this guy. Thanks for catching that.Where'd you get the Ohio part?The biggest GOP donor in Ohio just quit the party, and is donating to the Democrats.
L Brands CEO Les Wexner, the wealthiest Republican supporter in the state, told a small group in Columbus last Thursday that he has quit the GOP. "I'm an independent. I won't support this nonsense in the Republican Party," the billionaire said following a visit by ex-President Barack Obama, according to Suzanne Goldsmith, senior editor of Columbus Monthly. Wexner said President Donald Trump is "behaving poorly," specifically noting Trump's comment that there were "very fine people" among white nationalists who rallied in Charlottesville, Va., last year.
https://www.npr.org/2018/09/17/647421039/npr-marist-poll-40-percent-of-americans-think-elections-arent-fairIn a sign that America's two centuries-old democracy is under strain, nearly 2 in 5 American voters do not believe elections are fair, according to a new NPR/Marist poll. Nearly half of respondents lack faith that votes will be counted accurately in the upcoming midterm elections.
Overall, 47 percent of all poll respondents said they think it is either likely or very likely that not all votes will actually be counted in November
Eelailatan @Eelailatan 21h21 hours ago
Instead of paying for ineffective jail sentences, Ryan Bundy proposes to The People of Nevada a more efficient retribution process: “eye-for-an-eye”. If you murder 10 people, you will be murdered 10 times before your freedom is returned to you (we can remove the final resuscitation if the prisoner so chooses). If you rape 3 people, you will be raped 3 times as forced by the Nevada Government and orchestrated by the victims (if they are still alive).
Prison will still be included for all convicted criminals. However, their sentencing is expected to be reduced to a maximum of 5 years. Punishment and rehabilitation into society will be live streamed, available for public consumption.
Truth isnt truthThese fall elections seem to have a higher than normal percentage of "Is it real, or is it the Onion?" reports like those in the prior few posts. We have a race in Wisconsin where one candidate is a white woman, and the other a black male. The white candidate recently claimed, without any evidence, that her opponent knelt during the national anthem at the opening ceremony for the Wisconsin State Fair. It was so laughably absurd, the opponent didn't really spend any time on it, just denied it and said he wanted to move on to the real issues. Of course right-wing radio rallied around this insane accusation for a couple days, until she withdrew her accusation, admitting it was just something she heard someone say that had no basis in reality.
Agreed, 2020 seems worse for republicans than 2018 for democrats. Play the long game.HOT TAKE:
Dems need to spend more time and money locking down Nevada and Arizona (as well as their red state incumbents of course) and less fantasizing about Tennessee and Texas. Nevada in particular is way closer than it should be, and the Dems can't count on the anti-Trump Hispanic turnout that won them the state in 2016 to turn out again.
In case anyone has forgotten, the strategy of assuming that races in which you have a slight edge will break your way and playing offense in states you really really want to win has backfired spectacularly on Dems in the recent past.
Winning the Senate in 2018 would be great, but you don't want to blow your much better chance at winning it in 2020 by overplaying your hand.
Baby boomers are getting old and want to bankrupt social security as one more parting shot to screw genx. Can't do that if the GOP does it first.Something truly weird is going on.
Polling now indicates that for the first time in over a decade, registered voters over 65 prefer Democrats to Republicans - and for the first time in a lot longer than I can recall (I'm talking decades) they prefer Democrats by double-digit percentage points.
This is a wild change. It's not just one polling system, either. CNN, WaPo/ABC and Marist are all seeing this.
I'd hazard a guess that some of that is people not feeling comfortable stating they prefer Republicans publicly at this time, but they may still be comfortable voting for them.Something truly weird is going on.
Polling now indicates that for the first time in over a decade, registered voters over 65 prefer Democrats to Republicans - and for the first time in a lot longer than I can recall (I'm talking decades) they prefer Democrats by double-digit percentage points.
This is a wild change. It's not just one polling system, either. CNN, WaPo/ABC and Marist are all seeing this.
There is possibly some of that. But I wonder if some of them believe (rightfully so) that the Rs May actively go after Medicare, SS or other benefits they currently enjoy.I'd hazard a guess that some of that is people not feeling comfortable stating they prefer Republicans publicly at this time, but they may still be comfortable voting for them.
Agree with Texas, not with Tennessee. There is no reason why Blackburn can't be defeated.HOT TAKE:
Dems need to spend more time and money locking down Nevada and Arizona (as well as their red state incumbents of course) and less fantasizing about Tennessee and Texas. Nevada in particular is way closer than it should be, and the Dems can't count on the anti-Trump Hispanic turnout that won them the state in 2016 to turn out again.
In case anyone has forgotten, the strategy of assuming that races in which you have a slight edge will break your way and playing offense in states you really really want to win has backfired spectacularly on Dems in the recent past.
Winning the Senate in 2018 would be great, but you don't want to blow your much better chance at winning it in 2020 by overplaying your hand.
I laughed unreasonably loud when I read this. And I'm an old white person.Even old white people are getting sick of old white people.
I'm assuming you're implying that the Republican house/senate didn't have to pay for being obstructionist? Like it or not, the two parties just haven't been playing by the same set of rules for a while. The Republicans have been light years ahead of the Democrats in terms of controlling the message and apportioning blame (and making it stick).This didn't seem to mean much in 2016?
I said this a couple days ago too, but if I had any power or influence I would be pointing at Nevada and Arizona and screaming at the top of my lungs for the Dems to invest heavily and lock them down.Nate Silver @NateSilver538 6m6 minutes ago
The 4 U.S. Senate races our model has as true tossups right now: Tennessee, North Dakota, Florida, Nevada.
Missouri is very nearly in the toss-up category but just over the line into Lean D. Arizona is Lean D. Texas is Lean R.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=midterms-header
It's Qanon and all of his friends lying to the pollsters.Something truly weird is going on.
Polling now indicates that for the first time in over a decade, registered voters over 65 prefer Democrats to Republicans - and for the first time in a lot longer than I can recall (I'm talking decades) they prefer Democrats by double-digit percentage points.
This is a wild change. It's not just one polling system, either. CNN, WaPo/ABC and Marist are all seeing this.
“How old are you?”It's Qanon and all of his friends lying to the pollsters.
Heller just called the Ford allegations a "hiccup", which they'll get over. That's not so good in terms of appealing to voters not riveted to one party.I said this a couple days ago too, but if I had any power or influence I would be pointing at Nevada and Arizona and screaming at the top of my lungs for the Dems to invest heavily and lock them down.
Henry Ford said:“How old are you?”
73
”Wow, you sound really young.”
....
I take aqua yoga on the weekends.
I just want the taco trucks.I think these elections are going to get really ugly over the next month and a half. It won’t surprise anyone, but from everything I’m reading Trump is going play the fear card strongly- Democrats winning will bring us MS-13 running amok and sanctuary cities everywhere.
I find this hard to believe. Donald isn't the type of person who would lie and exploit false fears for personal gain.I think these elections are going to get really ugly over the next month and a half. It won’t surprise anyone, but from everything I’m reading Trump is going play the fear card strongly- Democrats winning will bring us MS-13 running amok and sanctuary cities everywhere.
https://www.mprnews.org/story/2018/09/21/knoblach-ends-campaign-amid-abuse-allegationsRepublican state Rep. Jim Knoblach abruptly ended his re-election campaign Friday as MPR News prepared to publish detailed accusations from his daughter of inappropriate behavior toward her since childhood.
Multiple siblings of Rep. Paul Gosar are coming out in support of his Democratic opponent, accusing the Arizona Republican of racism.
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/407832-gop-lawmakers-siblings-endorse-dem-opponent-difficult-to-see-my-brother-as"It would be difficult to see my brother as anything but a racist," Grace Gosar says in one advertisement.