NeverEnough
Footballguy
As a spinoff to the other thread, who will you avoid in 2018?
For me, it's Diggs, A. Cooper & DT off the top of my head.
For me, it's Diggs, A. Cooper & DT off the top of my head.
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
Welcome to Our Forums. Once you've registered and logged in, you're primed to talk football, among other topics, with the sharpest and most experienced fantasy players on the internet.
Players you will avoid in 2018 (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter NeverEnough
- Start date
Yeah, real question is, who do you think will be overvalued, and therefore unlikely to end up on your roster? I'm thinking Alshon Jeffery. He managed to stay healthy this year; his track record suggests that won't last.
I also don't see myself targeting Julio in the first. He's an amazing NFL receiver who simply doesn't score enough to put him up there with the other elite fantasy WRs.
I also plan on avoiding the injury-prone TEs (Eifert, Reed). Not worth the agita.
fightingillini
Footballguy
While I agree with Gally that I don't really "avoid" any players (everyone can be drafted at the right price), I generally don't look to draft players coming off of career years. Kamara and Ingram come to mind. I am almost certain one of them (if not both) will bust next year given where they will be drafted.
I actually anticipate targeting all three of the players you mentioned. None reached expectations entering the year and thus likely can be had at discount. Cooper is an elite talent who had a down year. Gruden is the new coach and Carr will almost certainly be better. I'd love having Cooper on my squad and will likely no longer have to pay a premium to do so.
Diggs has great production but also an injury history. He can put up WR1 numbers when healthy, so, if the price point is right- I'll jump.
Denver can't possibly have worse QB play than this year an DT was still decent. He may even not be back. Either way, he's a nice buy low candidate for me.
I'm a Cowboys fan and have seen every game Dez has played. Agree strongly with this take.
Given the name recognition and "star" power, Dez will be long gone in my league before I'd bite.
Dr. Octopus
Footballguy
Thunderlips
Footballguy
I'm huge on drafting players who performed poorly the year before that I can now get at value/discounts, provided I think they can rebound. Gurley was a third round pick in a lot of leagues of mine and Hopkins a 3/4th round guy, both after being first round picks the previous year. That's the kind of players I love to draft.
Dez won't be one of those guys I think will be had at a value or drafted by me. Some players big name appeal just never makes them good enough value.
I find the Diggs choice interesting. I suppose he disappointed those of us who expected him to step into top 12 WR territory, but he still finished WR13 in ppg (ppr). I know I had high hopes for him, and felt disappointed, until I realized that fact. It would obviously depend on where he is ranked and what his ADP is, but I suspect he has an opportunity to be a real value next year.
Rhythmdoctor
Footballguy
DeVante Parker has fooled me once, he will get no more chances.
Never likes Dez Bryant and I will continue avoiding him.
Ameer Abdullah, buh-bye.
There are plenty more b
Never likes Dez Bryant and I will continue avoiding him.
Ameer Abdullah, buh-bye.
There are plenty more b
hoffman0001
Footballguy
DYNASTY
FAT EDDIE LACY
Dez Bryant
ANY BROWNS till they improve on and off the field
ANY TITANS unless they change the coach
ANY CARDINALS except JOHNSON till we see improvement/quality coach
ANY SEAHAWKS RB's till they get the OL right
Yes I know those are blanket statements but I cannot have wasted space on my roster.
S. Bradford PERIOD FOREVER
FAT EDDIE LACY
Dez Bryant
ANY BROWNS till they improve on and off the field
ANY TITANS unless they change the coach
ANY CARDINALS except JOHNSON till we see improvement/quality coach
ANY SEAHAWKS RB's till they get the OL right
Yes I know those are blanket statements but I cannot have wasted space on my roster.
S. Bradford PERIOD FOREVER
Last edited by a moderator:
I'm 0-3 on him but if the price was right I'd return but I don't think the price will be right. If Landry walks, which I feel about 90% sure happens, I think his ADP will jump and I'll just have to leave him for someone else.
NeverEnough
Footballguy
fightingillini
Footballguy
Yeah, we don't know for sure, but IMO Kamara's numbers are likely not sustainable. His year may not be a career year...I get that.
Wow, really going out on a limb there. Have you also sworn off Corey Grant, Fitzgerald Toussaint and Zach Zenner?
I am not sure about that statement. Thielen tapered off on the back half of the year which coincided with Diggs getting healthy. Diggs had another soft tissue issue early and Thielen took over during that time. Once Diggs came back and showed he was healthy he actually performed almost the exact same as Thielen towards the end of the year. Here are the last 6 games:
Thielen
- W12 - 8 rec/89 yds/0 TD/11 Targets
- W13 - 4/51/0/5
- W14 - 6/105/1/12
- W15 - 3/30/0/5
- W16 - 2/24/0/6
- W17 - 6/61/0/7
-
- W12 - 5/66/0/7
- W13 - 2/32/0/5
- W14 - 6/64/0/10
- W15 - 5/30/1/6
- W16 - 5/60/1/8
- W17 - 6/65/1/6
So over the last 6 games Diggs had more TD's with the same receptions on 4 less targets. I think they are more 1A & 1B with no clear cut favorite when both are healthy. Thielen has the edge in yards while Diggs in TD's.
hoffman0001
Footballguy
bicycle_seat_sniffer
Smells like chicken
Jordan reed
squistion
Footballguy
Own Cooper in several dynasty leagues and so far I have gotten more offers for him than any other player, which indicates he is probably undervalued, or maybe they hope I am disillusioned and will sell him cheap.
Meanwhile Dez owners seem to be shopping him and asking way more than I would pay (like a top 5 rookie pick).
zamboni
Footballguy
I'll second this one, although his days as a starter are likely done anyway and his ADP will reflect accordingly.
bicycle_seat_sniffer
Smells like chicken
Penguin
Footballguy
I'm not so sure Cooper falls all that much if they release Crabtree, there's not much else there other than Cook.
I don't think he's going to be back on the Steelers. Don't think they will get much for him in a trade, but I think they deal him anyway, like they did with Holmes. Which will likely spike his value in the fantasy community and be all the more reason to not pay his going price.
kutta
Footballguy
Dr. Octopus
Footballguy
I get it, but I don't think we can call it a "career year" yet.
His 12 total TDs are likely to come down - TDs are a very volatile stat - but 75 catches for 742 yards seems fairly normal for the pass catching back in Payton's offense. 684 rushing yards doesn't seem all that much of an "outlier" either. I can see his numbers dropping a bit but depending on where his ADP ends up he can still return value.
Interseptopus
Footballguy
Diggs is finally off my list.
Crowell is off my list
Ajayi maybe... but I might be back for more on that one we will see
Crowell is off my list
Ajayi maybe... but I might be back for more on that one we will see
zamboni
Footballguy
I think it depends if Blount is brought back and, if not, that another hammer isn't brought in to replace him.. If it's primarily Ajayi and Clement in the backfield, I think Ajayi can do very well in that offense. One just has to temper expectations, as his days of a 20+ carry a game guy may be a thing of the past.Dr. Dan said:
Last edited by a moderator:
rschroeder1
Footballguy
Tarik Cohen comes to mind for me. As a Bears fan, already the chatter on him is heating up. I think he'll be a much better real life player than fantasy player for his career, but the upside versus his ADP I imagine will be too great of a difference.
NeverEnough
Footballguy
Appreciate the post. I didn't think it was nearly that close. I stand corrected.Gally said:
NeverEnough
Footballguy
Add Ajayi to my list. I am so glad I traded him for Fournette right after the tradeDr. Dan said:
Craig_MiamiFL
Footballguy
This yearly thread should just be named after Dez Bryant.
Will see how draft/FA shakes out before naming anyone else.
Will see how draft/FA shakes out before naming anyone else.
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
Doug Baldwin
pretty much all Seahawks for that matter.
pretty much all Seahawks for that matter.
-OZ-
Footballguy
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
Because Baldwin was wholly unrealible, and the Seahawks have a lot of holes. I can’t stand counting on Pete Carroll for fantasy points.
-OZ-
Footballguy
Ok. I'd think that will be factored in to their adp, and Wilson was pretty good last year.
With bevel and cable gone, I'm thinking there might be promise out there. Fwiw I'm not a fan but I do think Wilson is a top QB.
Chaka
Footballguy
He finishes WR#13 (PPG) in my league as well, 0.7 points behind Adam Thielen, but injury got him but he was WR #38 PPR after week 3. He was ultimately a huge disappointment, again for reasons beyond his control.Mene said:
But I agree with the premise that the talent is there, the offense is there for him too, and he is exactly the kind of guy I target as a legit value play with...wait for it...TREMENDOUS UPSIDE!!!
Chaka
Footballguy
Similar threads
