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Smack Tripper

2018 Sleepers, Midseason Callups and Breakouts...

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I think Yelich, not quite a sleeper, really takes an elite step playing in Milwaulkee

I'd keep your keeper eye on Miguel Andujar, yankees 3b, as a late guy (though I have no idea of his ADP)

Who are you guys liking?

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Anthony Alford is the Blue Jays best outfielder right now and I think they know that, they just have to find some way to move Pillar or let him play himself out of the job.

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Seems like you will not be able to get him for a good price anymore but... Ozzie Albies. Probably have to take him around picks 80-100 right now if you want him and that could still move up.

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32 minutes ago, Northern Voice said:

Anthony Alford is the Blue Jays best outfielder right now and I think they know that, they just have to find some way to move Pillar or let him play himself out of the job.

...and just like that, he's scratched from today's game due to hamstring issues.  I've owned Alford in Serious Biz for years and have grown attached to him.  He seems like a great kid.  But he needs a healthy season more than anything this year.  I don't care whether he's in the bigs or minors but he needs 500+ PAs under his belt.

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Nick Senzel will probably get sandbagged for a while due to service time rules, but they didn’t move him to SS this spring just for fun. They know that’s his path to major league ABs in 2018 and when he gets them he’s going to very relevant in fantasy baseball. Think Corey Seager type bat with worse defense and better ballpark. 

As far as veteran sleepers Cameron Maybin would presumably have a green light to run wild if he can stay healthy for once.  Miami has nothing else going on and might as well let him get 10-15 HRs and 40 steals. 

 

 

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I like Mikie Mahtook as a cheap guy who'll put up numbers for a bad team.  He has 20/20 upside if he plays every day and won't kill you in OBP leagues.

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Go ahead and add Willie Calhoun to the mid-season call up list

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Jose Pirela, OF for SD. He should be starting and playing everyday week 1. He might gain position eligibility elsewhere (such as 2B) as the season progresses. 

Steven Duggar, OF for SF. He's having a great Spring. He might open in a platoon but he's only 24 or 25...lots of potential here.

Walker Buehler, SP for Dodgers. The guy throws fire. He was just optioned down but could be up midseason.

Michael Conforto, OF for Mets. He's had success before but now coming back from a shoulder injury. I feel like people forgot about him. He should be ready by end of April and he really has the talent to be a great OF (top 20) for years to come.

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I had Delino Deshields penciled into pick 178 but apparently 40+ picks in front of adp wasn't enough. It is an obp league though. I think 10/50 is a reasonable ceiling and it'll take a lot of missed time to not get 100 runs. 

Thing is if you target him you need to be careful about how you build your team. Can get into sb trouble easily if you miss him or end up with unnecessary excess if you back your way into him.

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11 minutes ago, MAC_32 said:

I had Delino Deshields penciled into pick 178 but apparently 40+ picks in front of adp wasn't enough. It is an obp league though. I think 10/50 is a reasonable ceiling and it'll take a lot of missed time to not get 100 runs. 

Thing is if you target him you need to be careful about how you build your team. Can get into sb trouble easily if you miss him or end up with unnecessary excess if you back your way into him.

SBs are down 20% vs. ten years ago and 30% vs twenty years back.  If you don't want to overpay for speed only guys like DeShields and Hamilton, it'll take a lot of scrambling to pick up enough 10 and 15 SB players to compete in the category.

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Here's my deep sleeper and I'm not responsible for it when it inevitably fizzles. 

Dan Vogelbach, the fat kid with a career MLB line of .175/.250/.200 has been having a torrid spring.  My normal reaction would be to ignore the pheeenom but the Mariners' 1B Ryon Healy just started hitting off a tee following hand surgery and their DH Nelson Cruz was removed from today's game with a strained quad.

Vogelbach's primary camp competition Mike Fox hasn't been hitting either.  Unfortunately, Fox is a rule 5 guy and Vogelbach has an option remaining but c'mon, you can't send down a guy batting 444/.571/.852 this spring.

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11 minutes ago, Eephus said:

SBs are down 20% vs. ten years ago and 30% vs twenty years back.  If you don't want to overpay for speed only guys like DeShields and Hamilton, it'll take a lot of scrambling to pick up enough 10 and 15 SB players to compete in the category.

Mallex Smith is the backup plan. One that could very well never get on the tracks. But, yes, sprinkling in as many double digit steals guys early on is the best way to combat. Lots of cheap power available late. Mostof it comes with poor avg/obp though. 

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Spring stats legends!  

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1 minute ago, Mr. Pickles said:

Spring stats legends!  

I thoroughly enjoyed my ride on the Bryan Lahair Express

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5 minutes ago, MAC_32 said:

Mallex Smith is the backup plan.

:scared:

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13 minutes ago, Eephus said:

:scared:

Need a bigger couch. 

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25 minutes ago, Mr. Pickles said:

If he'd been a star, Tommy Medica would have been a good name for a strain at the weed club. 

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11 hours ago, Eephus said:

Here's my deep sleeper and I'm not responsible for it when it inevitably fizzles. 

Dan Vogelbach, the fat kid with a career MLB line of .175/.250/.200 has been having a torrid spring.  My normal reaction would be to ignore the pheeenom but the Mariners' 1B Ryon Healy just started hitting off a tee following hand surgery and their DH Nelson Cruz was removed from today's game with a strained quad.

Vogelbach's primary camp competition Mike Fox hasn't been hitting either.  Unfortunately, Fox is a rule 5 guy and Vogelbach has an option remaining but c'mon, you can't send down a guy batting 444/.571/.852 this spring.

Mike Ford :nerd:

 

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21 minutes ago, HellToupee said:

Mike Ford :nerd:

 

Fox Ford  :shrug:

: I was in the ballpark

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1B - Yonder Alonso - swing adjustment guy playing in a better ballpark and lineup. 

2B - Cesar Hernandez - OBP stud who will score a ton, swipe a bunch of bags, and even pop a few.

SS - Jorge Polanco - from August on last year, he was on a 30HR/20SB pace.

3B - Matt Chapman - tons of power and knows how to take a walk. superior D keeps him on the field. 40HR potential.

OF - Schwarbs - post-hype breakout, best shape of his life and ready to finally deliver.

OF - Odubel Herrara - should pile up stats hitting 2nd or 3rd. OK, I really just love his zany antics on the field.

OF - Cameron Maybin - going very late for a guy that could swipe 30 and pop a few.

SP - Kevin Gausman, Jon Gray, Tyler Chatwood - I like all of these guys to turn a profit.

RP - Brad Boxberger - all the tea-leaves point to Archie going back to the Andrew Miller / multi-inning role. 

RP - AJ Ramos - already being called the "co-closer" and Familia is hurt.

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Here's a guy that likes to say "pop a few".

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Any thoughts on Austin Hays?  Or Austin Meadows while we are keeping Austin weird

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27 minutes ago, Smack Tripper said:

Any thoughts on Austin Hays?  Or Austin Meadows while we are keeping Austin weird

Not of fan of either for 2018. Hays is allergic to taking a walk (only 17 BBs all last year) and Meadows had a terrible year last year and needs to prove himself at AAA.

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On 13/03/2018 at 0:14 PM, Eephus said:

...and just like that, he's scratched from today's game due to hamstring issues.  I've owned Alford in Serious Biz for years and have grown attached to him.  He seems like a great kid.  But he needs a healthy season more than anything this year.  I don't care whether he's in the bigs or minors but he needs 500+ PAs under his belt.

Out 3-6 weeks, you should probably give up on him IMO.

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On ‎3‎/‎13‎/‎2018 at 9:32 PM, Eephus said:

SBs are down 20% vs. ten years ago and 30% vs twenty years back.  If you don't want to overpay for speed only guys like DeShields and Hamilton, it'll take a lot of scrambling to pick up enough 10 and 15 SB players to compete in the category.

My feeling is guys like Machado, Harper, and a few other star players who are very capable of stealing 25 bases just are not running as much due to injury concerns and playing for the big contracts.   HRs and RBIs get paid.  After Trout was hurt last year stealing a base I doubt he will be running as much this season.

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Posted (edited)

54 minutes ago, Da Guru said:

My feeling is guys like Machado, Harper, and a few other star players who are very capable of stealing 25 bases just are not running as much due to injury concerns and playing for the big contracts.   HRs and RBIs get paid.  After Trout was hurt last year stealing a base I doubt he will be running as much this season.

There also seems to be a trend of managers just feeling its better to not try and steal a base, especially when five players on the team can hit 25 hrS

 

 

Edited by cosjobs

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Improved analytics also play a role.  Average success rates have been in the 70-75% range for a long time.  Even peak Rickey got thrown out 15% of the time.  There are some situations where the risk/reward of the extra base doesn't make sense.

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Schwarber seems to have fallen very far in drafts as compared with his new body. I took a gamble at pick 160. 

 

DeJong also doesn’t seem to get much love

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Tons of people talking up Brandon Drury as a potential 30HR guy this year. Not crazy about a player's fantasy value batting 8th or 9th though.

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5 minutes ago, shadyridr said:

Tons of people talking up Brandon Drury as a potential 30HR guy this year. Not crazy about a player's fantasy value batting 8th or 9th though.

I don't see it.  He never showed that kind of power in Arizona or the minors.  Right handed hitters with opposite field tendencies should perform well in the Bronx but he'd have to double his HR rates to hit 30.  He's a bottom of the order hitter with no speed and is at risk of losing ABs as the season progresses.

The 2B eligibility is nice though.

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1 minute ago, Eephus said:

I don't see it.  He never showed that kind of power in Arizona or the minors.  Right handed hitters with opposite field tendencies should perform well in the Bronx but he'd have to double his HR rates to hit 30.  He's a bottom of the order hitter with no speed and is at risk of losing ABs as the season progresses.

The 2B eligibility is nice though.

I know little about the guy. Just keep seeing tons of articles in the Post about how Cashman has been after him for years and quotes from DBacks personnel how they didn't wanna give him up at all but needed an OF desperately. Also, they seem to think since he hit 37 doubles last year he can convert a bunch of them to HRs. Who knows. Just throwing a name out there.

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19 minutes ago, Smack Tripper said:

DeJong also doesn’t seem to get much love

I'm gun shy with High K/low BB power bats, especially ones with a limited track record.  He hasn't been all that cheap either.  Compare him to Eugenio Suarez who is 50 picks cheaper, buys walks, has comparable power, and a track record.

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I like Suarez but there is no denying DeDong is a cool name to have on your team

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This year more than ever, I'd like to try to get 30 SBs total from the three MIF slots.  DeJong offers nothing in that category.

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