2018 rookie pick 2.04 post NFL draft (Closed) (1 Viewer)

The purpose of these polls is to get an idea of who the majority of voters prefer at a specific pick in a rookie draft. These drafts assume that all 2018 rookie players are available. For the 2QB poll there may be some variance in scoring. Some may be standard, others PPR. I think a lot of 2QB leagues may involve IDP as well so these differences are not accounted for here. Only looking at the offensive skill players in the two most common formats and also 2QB leagues, to get a sense of where the QB are valued relative to other positions, when there is actually scarcity at the QB position. For the TE premium poll this assumes the scoring format is PPR because that is what these leagues almost always are. The polls assume 12 teams and likely 24-26 roster spots as the most common format for dynasty. Short bench dynasty leagues should only care about the top 6-12 rookie players.

If a player isn't listed that you would vote for please vote other and then post the name of the player that you voted for so that player can be added to the next poll. Also please suggest players not listed that you would vote for soon, even if not on the particular poll that is active.

I am populating the polls based off of miqws list

Discussion welcome.Thanks for voting.

Results

Standard

Saquon Barkley 79.6% with 50 votes

Derrius Guice 52.7% with 63 votes

Rashaad Penny 36.5% with 79 votes

Nick Chubb 65.2% with 51 votes

Ronald Jones 43.5% with 53 votes

Sony Michel 49% with 59 votes

Royce Freeman 44% with 54 votes

Kerryon Johnson 46% with 46 votes

DJ Moore 52.6% with 41 votes

Calvin Ridley 31.6% with 41 votes

Courtland Sutton 25.6% with 45 votes

Christian Kirk 44.1% with 39 votes 

Anthony Miller 28.6% with 46 votes

Michael Gallup 41.7% with 39 votes

James Washington 25.7% with 38 votes

Baker Mayfield 17.7% at 39 votes

PPR

Saquon Barkley 95.5% with 50 votes

Derrius Guice 43.6% with 63 votes

Rashaad Penny 41.9% with 79 votes

Nick Chubb 43.5% with 51 votes

Ronald Jones 47.8% with 53 votes

Sony Michel 70.6% with 59 votes

DJ Moore 48% with 54 votes

Kerryon Johnson 29.7% with 46 votes

Royce Freeman 57.9% with 41 votes

Calvin Ridley 55.3% with 41 votes

Courtland Sutton 39.5% with 45 votes

Christian Kirk 61.8% with 39 votes 

Anthony Miller 38.1% with 46 votes

Michael Gallup 58.3% with 39 votes

James Washington 31.4% with 38 votes

Mike Gesicki 26.5% with 39 votes

2QB Leagues

Saquon Barkley 69.4% with 50 votes

Derrius Guice 25.5% with 63 votes

Rashaad Penny 23% with 79 votes

Nick Chubb 19.6% with 51 votes

Baker Mayfield 18.6% with 53 votes

Lamar Jackson 11.8% with 59 votes

Josh Rosen 22% with 54 votes

Ronald Jones 24.3% with 46 votes

Sam Darnold 24.7% with 41 votes

Sony Michel 31.6% with 41 votes

DJ Moore 14% with 45 votes (Tie with Josh Allen broken based on miqws list)

Royce Freeman 29.4% with 39 votes (Curious that support for Allen waned)

Calvin Ridley 16.7% with 46 votes

Kerryon Johnson 23% with 39 votes

Josh Allen 31.4% with 38 votes

Courtland Sutton 29.4% with 39 votes

TE Premium Leagues

Saquon Barkley 75.5% with 50 votes

Derrius Guice 38.2% with 63 votes

Rashaad Penny 41.9% with 79 votes

Nick Chubb 27.5% with 51 votes

Sony Michel 26% with 53 votes

Ronald Jones 41.1% with 59 votes

DJ Moore 24% with 54 votes

Kerryon Johnson 27% with 46 votes

Royce Freeman 39.5% with 41 votes

Mike Gesicki  23.7% with 41 votes

Christian Kirk 16.7% with 45 votes

Dallas Goedert 17.7% with 39 votes

Calvin Ridley 21.4% with 46 votes

Courtland Sutton 25% with 39 votes

Hayden Hurst 20% with 38 votes

Anthony Miller 20.6% with 39 votes

LInks to previous polls

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1,06

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1.08

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1.10

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1.12

2.01

2.02

2.03

The next poll can be found here

At 16 votes in now some interesting battles.

Josh Rosen vs Lamar Jackson in standard.

Lamar Jackson vs Baker Mayfield in PPR.

Sutton looks to be running away with the 2QB poll so far.

Anothy Miller has strong support in the TE premium poll.  He was already voted in to the PPR poll. But he lags behind in the TE premium poll because of Goedert and Hurst winning polls there unlike the PPR poll.

As I talked about in the previous thread this indicates a mini tier between Miller and Gallup compared to where they went in the PPR poll. This is supported by the poll win percentage as well in the PPR poll. You see Miller winning with a low percentage of 38% then Gallup winning with 58% following that. Showing a two player tier of Miller and Gallup after the previous tier of Ridley Sutton Kirk.

In the TE premium poll, Kirk won first, then Goedert, Ridley and Sutton. Then Hurst. So I think this supports those 3 WR being a tier ahead of the next two. Then there is another tier of WR after that, yet to be determined.

4 votes since I last checked this. Disappointing. 

After 24 votes there is a 3 way tie between Mayfield Rosen and Jackson right now. 

In the PPR poll Mayfield is leading the other two QBs.

Biabreakable said:

At 16 votes in now some interesting battles.

Josh Rosen vs Lamar Jackson in standard.

Lamar Jackson vs Baker Mayfield in PPR.

Click to expand...

I agree with the consensus there is a break here where your favorite QB really makes sense.  I do not feel like I have been seeing all of the QBs going this early in rookie drafts, but maybe it has changed of late.

Slapdash said:

I agree with the consensus there is a break here where your favorite QB really makes sense.  I do not feel like I have been seeing all of the QBs going this early in rookie drafts, but maybe it has changed of late.

Click to expand...

According to this ADP the first QB isn't being taken until pick 2.08 so your observation seems in line with the average of all rookie drafts.

It is Lamar Jackson going first according to the ADP.

I have been voting for Jackson for the last 5 or 6 polls now.

After 33 votes still a lot of different players getting support and a decision too close to call.

Mayfield has one vote ahead of Gesicki, Rosen and Jackson right now in the standard poll.

Gesicki has a one vote lead on Mayfield in the PPR poll.

Anthony Miller is one vote ahead of Mayfield in the TE premium poll.

The only poll with a clear leader right now in the 2QB leagues where Sutton has a 4 vote lead on Kirk.

Biabreakable said:

According to this ADP the first QB isn't being taken until pick 2.08 so your observation seems in line with the average of all rookie drafts.

It is Lamar Jackson going first according to the ADP.

I have been voting for Jackson for the last 5 or 6 polls now.

Click to expand...

In most leagues it won't be a good idea to carry many QBs, so I think team dynamics play a bigger role