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2018 FBG Subscriber Contest (8 Viewers)
- Thread starter Ignoratio Elenchi
- Start date
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
Depth, baby.Hope a lot of Gronk owners are struggling today
Gronk, Jimmy Graham, ASJ, R Griffin
Gonna need Deshaun Watson to tighten up or Griffin won't contribute.
Not sure how Graham managed 6 for 95 against the Vikings as he's supposedly just a redzone target now....
HairySasquatch
Footballguy
But with guys like Gronk and Reed, you can't use just 2. Injuries and games like today make it very difficult. In the case of Gronk, he is the most expensive TE, so not only do you have to spend big money to get him, you have to spend even more on extra TEs.
Steeler
Footballguy
I just check calcomatic and the two most owned players remaining are Bears (27%) and Burton (25%) and the 4th most owned in Gallup (15%) so I feel a bit better about my chances.
http://calcomatic.com/PctActive
when you spend big on RBs and 5 of your WR score more than your top RB, who cost $4
BassNBrew
Footballguy
166 and in a similar boat...Prescott-Dalton, Elliot-8.6, Parkay or Rosas - 5.4, Bears or Cowboys - 7
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Ugh. Looks like I’m out. My WR1 is DJ Moore. Fournette and Gordon being out coupled w/ lackluster efforts from Crabtree, Keenan, Crowell, Eifert, Njoku, and my 3 PK just too much to overcome I’m afraid. I still have Carson and couple Defenses left, but I’m too far out barring something really odd.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Forgot to include Sanu’s turd in the list.Tennessee_ATO said:
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Birdie048
Footballguy
MAN!! How does a shut out get only 3 points? 1 Int & 1 Sack ... but ZERO points allowed....
Yeah, I know the scoring does not have anything for Points Against Scored.... but a Shutout?!!?
Sitting 163 with Chi Def to go.... all those QB TD's are rocking the cut-off line (est 155).
Yeah, I know the scoring does not have anything for Points Against Scored.... but a Shutout?!!?
Sitting 163 with Chi Def to go.... all those QB TD's are rocking the cut-off line (est 155).
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chocula
Footballguy
Missing the cut by 3 points. I have a shot, but may be out quickly this year.
J Howard -7.4 (Connor 15, Wilkins 7.4). My RB have me in big trouble this year
Burton -4.1 (I have 4 TEs, Burton, Goedert, Olson and Kroft). I really thought Eifert wasn’t going to play much this year
J Howard -7.4 (Connor 15, Wilkins 7.4). My RB have me in big trouble this year
Burton -4.1 (I have 4 TEs, Burton, Goedert, Olson and Kroft). I really thought Eifert wasn’t going to play much this year
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Whelp, instead of throwing panicky balls across the middle and downfield, Eli just locked onto Barkley. The. Entire. Game. Was hoping Dallas might be gifted an Eli pick-6 and/or strip-sack-6. Running out of delusional hope over here.
Your in better shape then me by abit...
11 under the cut.....
Howard, Burton, Lockett -3 -5 and -7.5 each
Bears D -7
Insaine year for cheap QB’s throwing up massive scores!!!
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QuizGuy66
Footballguy
This is why I don't spend money on expensive defenses but instead go cheap and with volume.
Bad defenses actually can be attractive in this contest since they are on the field more and thus have more chances to do stuff.
-QG
The biggest mistake I saw in roster construction was teams paying too much money at QB. Zero reason to spend big when you can platoon a few cheap options and still get big numbers.
BigSteelThrill
Footballguy
222.3 good for 462nd overall this week. With almost a 0 at TE and a couple outsiders on MNF.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
All my QB were fine this week. My QB4 had 20, my QB1 had 33. The problem for me is, when the rest of your team lays an egg you really need your QB1 to be an outlier, not one of many. A good QB score is basically a defensive thing this week.
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Elevencents
Footballguy
Put too much thought into RB and eventually went TD heavy but picked the wrong one of Fournette and Gordon. Need Aaron Jones to make a statement when he is back if Fournette is gonna be battling the injury bug.
R Freeman prob gonna be a letdown all season I.e. just mediocre numbers which won’t cut it.
R Freeman prob gonna be a letdown all season I.e. just mediocre numbers which won’t cut it.
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dbc925
Footballguy
Sitting comfortably (this week) at 30 points over the cut, despite my QBs not participating in the TD party (Alex Smith and his 16 points, Mariota on the bench, and whatever I get from Trubisky tonight). Thank you Melvin Gordon, Travis Kelce, Keelan Cole, and Mason Crosby, who accounted for 106 of my 188 points.
Thomas The Skank Engine
Footballguy
ffweasel
Weasel Power
Birdie048
Footballguy
I agree and I played a mix of Def ... LAR ($8), Clev ($2) & Chic ($5).... and Cleveland 7 pts over shadowed Rams shutout.
Not sure what Chicago Def will do at home vs Seattle.... but I don't see the Sea OL as stopping much.... looking for multiple sacks & TO!
Not saying you in particular but I was shaking my head seeing people with rosters that had a guy like Aaron Rodgers
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
I dropped $3 on Foles as a cheap dart that might provide uniqueness late. I was going to use that $3 on a Kelly dart (he’s legit awesome but is blocked by that Gurley fella) but I spent it on Foles instead b/c his path to PT late seemed less winding.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
I’m with you there 100%. But I can understand someone wanting a guy who’s been through all the battles and had success. The way Rodgers was yucking it up on the sidelines in week 1 despite still needing the late TD drive to win was pretty amazing. There’s something to be said for having that dude on your team.
apalmer
Footballguy
Leadership like that is great in the NFL. I doubt if it will help my fantasy team much, because it isn't likely he'll know whether I need a late TD drive or not.
TheWinz
Footballguy
"Crazy" teams that will be moving on to week 3:
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/112121.php 12 QB, 3 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 K, 1 D
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/110209.php 2 QB, 12 RB, 9 WR, 2 TE, 2 K, 2 D
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/102705.php 4 QB, 12 RB, 10 WR, 1 TE, 2 K, 1 D (he is hanging on by a thread)
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/101917.php 3 QB, 4 RB, 16 WR, 2 TE, 1 K, 1 D
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/105027.php 7 QB, 4 RB, 16 WR, 1 TE, 1 K, 1 D
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/105020.php 6 QB, 2 RB, 6 WR, 9 TE, 1 K, 1 D (3 above cut line with only Burton left)
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/101549.php 3 QB, 8 RB, 4 WR, 2 TE, 12 K, 1 D
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/114203.php 4 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 3 TE, 1 K, 16 D
Which one is most shocking? It has to be 16 D team. How unique is his team? The next most D's that will advance have only 8. And he only has 2 RB's to boot!
The team with 9 TE's deserves a mention too, as he only has 2 RB's.
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/112121.php 12 QB, 3 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 K, 1 D
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/110209.php 2 QB, 12 RB, 9 WR, 2 TE, 2 K, 2 D
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/102705.php 4 QB, 12 RB, 10 WR, 1 TE, 2 K, 1 D (he is hanging on by a thread)
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/101917.php 3 QB, 4 RB, 16 WR, 2 TE, 1 K, 1 D
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/105027.php 7 QB, 4 RB, 16 WR, 1 TE, 1 K, 1 D
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/105020.php 6 QB, 2 RB, 6 WR, 9 TE, 1 K, 1 D (3 above cut line with only Burton left)
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/101549.php 3 QB, 8 RB, 4 WR, 2 TE, 12 K, 1 D
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/contest/2018/114203.php 4 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 3 TE, 1 K, 16 D
Which one is most shocking? It has to be 16 D team. How unique is his team? The next most D's that will advance have only 8. And he only has 2 RB's to boot!
The team with 9 TE's deserves a mention too, as he only has 2 RB's.
apalmer
Footballguy
9 TE team is almost as notable for having 6 QBs, including spending $48 on Rodgers and Brady, only to see $3 Fitzpatrick doing his scoring.
Elevencents
Footballguy
hagmania
Footballguy
Apparently Jeremy Kerley got released from the Bills after being targeted 5 times Week 1. Cool cool, there goes a possible stray TD off the board. Woof, this team sucks, but moving on.
Quote to original post with reasoning and roster within:
Quote to original post with reasoning and roster within:
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TwinTurbo
Footballguy
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Agree completely. But if I had to wager on a monster game in week 14 or 15, I’d take Rodgers over Maholmes. Mind you, I’d never actually pay for Rodgers in this format. I’m just saying I can see why someone would.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
apalmer
Footballguy
I understand why people do it, but as you said, in this format it doesn't make a lot of sense. Yes, if it's a choice between Rodgers and Maholmes, Rodgers is more likely to have a big game. But, it isn't between Rodgers and Maholmes. It's between Rodgers and Maholmes/Dalton/Carr or Maholmes/Goff/Keenum (or some other combo). There's a much better chance one of 3 guys will match his output, not to even address an upgrade spent elsewhere with the few extra $$$.
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Sure you’d take Rodgers over Mahomes. But I’ll take my combo of Bortles/Keenum/Trubisky/Darnold over a Rodgers for a cheaper price.
TheWinz
Footballguy
After reading your post, it got me thinking. Perhaps there is a mathematical formula for success here, or at least to maximize value. We all kind of did this when choosing our rosters, as we chose our players based on cost vs potential output. But how many people took the time to say, hey, if I can only use 1 QB's score, what score from my QB is acceptable? Will 25 points each week be enough? And how many QB's will I need to make that happen?
Not surprising, the sweet spot is 3 QB's. Teams that rostered 2, 3, or 4 QB's all had a survival rate of 90%. Here are the %'s for the others: 1 - 83%, 5 - 88%, 6 - 86%, 7 - 83%, 8 - 57%, 9 - 57%, 10 - 67%, 11 - 54%, 12 - 33%. Also, not surprising, 12,674 (94%) of remaining teams have either 2 (4346), 3 (6279), or 4 (2049) QB's.
I just looked at all 250 teams that made it to the big show last year. Guess how many of the 250 teams rostered either 2, 3, or 4 QB's?
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
<Sigh> Gordon to Pats. I can’t think of a better situation for him. That’s going to be big for those of us w/ him.*
*By “us” I mean the other people who have him who are advancing.
*By “us” I mean the other people who have him who are advancing.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
I agree with you, as I’ve said. I'm just saying I understand why someone would take Rodgers.Raback said:
rugcleaner
Footballguy
NamePosTeamPricePointsMatch
J FlaccoQBBAL5 29.60
R TannehillQBMIA6 24.80
N FolesQBPHI3 23.50
J AllenQBBUF3 19.45
J RosenQBARI5 0.00
B MayfieldQBCLE4 0.00
T GurleyRBLAR37 26.80RB
A CollinsRBBAL21 10.50RB
P BarberRBTB8 3.40
L MurrayRBMIN7 1.90
S WareRBKC6 0.30
K ColeWRJAX7 24.60WR
A CooperWROAK23 21.60WR
T HillWRKC23 20.00FL
C HoganWRNE17 19.20FL
A CallawayWRCLE3 17.80
M WallaceWRPHI5 1.00
J GrahamTEGB20 18.50TE
T BurtonTECHI14 0.00
M CrosbyPKGB4 21.20PK
J TuckerPKBAL6 7.50
H ButkerPKKC4 6.00
49ersDTSF4 4.00DT
VikingsDTMIN7 4.00
RamsDTLAR8 3.00
First time playing 196.00 (#3523) this week wishing I had more depth at RB
J FlaccoQBBAL5 29.60
R TannehillQBMIA6 24.80
N FolesQBPHI3 23.50
J AllenQBBUF3 19.45
J RosenQBARI5 0.00
B MayfieldQBCLE4 0.00
T GurleyRBLAR37 26.80RB
A CollinsRBBAL21 10.50RB
P BarberRBTB8 3.40
L MurrayRBMIN7 1.90
S WareRBKC6 0.30
K ColeWRJAX7 24.60WR
A CooperWROAK23 21.60WR
T HillWRKC23 20.00FL
C HoganWRNE17 19.20FL
A CallawayWRCLE3 17.80
M WallaceWRPHI5 1.00
J GrahamTEGB20 18.50TE
T BurtonTECHI14 0.00
M CrosbyPKGB4 21.20PK
J TuckerPKBAL6 7.50
H ButkerPKKC4 6.00
49ersDTSF4 4.00DT
VikingsDTMIN7 4.00
RamsDTLAR8 3.00
First time playing 196.00 (#3523) this week wishing I had more depth at RB
