KarmaPolice

DraftKings Week 4

56 posts in this topic

All this talk about Mayfield in the other thread and I figured WTF.  Threw in a couple cheap entries with Baker/Landry/Callaway and ran it back with J.Richard on the cheap.  One LU that also got me Fuller/Gordon/Elliot so I liked that I was still able to get some studs in there too.  

 

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Not going to be a good week for me, cutlines over 205 in everything I'm in.

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Yep, ####in nuts again.  I had a 2x that scored 195, and barely cashed.  

I had 3 Brady lineups with White and Michel that just got smoked in the afternoon by the Kamara teams.  

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1 hour ago, KarmaPolice said:

Yep, ####in nuts again.  I had a 2x that scored 195, and barely cashed.  

I had 3 Brady lineups with White and Michel that just got smoked in the afternoon by the Kamara teams.  

The $5 2x I was in had cashline of 205.18. I scored 191 and finished 233/344.

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56 minutes ago, Raging weasel said:

The $5 2x I was in had cashline of 205.18. I scored 191 and finished 233/344.

Was this a SE?  

I was in a $5 2x and it looks like the cash line was about 185.  205 is just nutz.  My LU had 197, so it wouldn't have cashed in yours.  

 

Oh, and I played J.Allen in cash.  :bag:   But it allowed me Zeke, Gordon, Kamara, and Chicago D.  

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3 hours ago, KarmaPolice said:

Yep, ####in nuts again.  I had a 2x that scored 195, and barely cashed.  

I had 3 Brady lineups with White and Michel that just got smoked in the afternoon by the Kamara teams.  

Same here. Had several lineups with Luck or Ryan, Elliott, Shepard, Jones/Ridley but just wasn't able to break 200. Thanks for nothing Gronk. And my one Trubisky team had Howard too instead of Cohen. Just not enough edge this week.

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On 9/27/2018 at 4:54 PM, Raging weasel said:

Played around with dropping down to cheaper Def and came up with option C which I think is the best

Dalton

Zeke

Kamara

Shephard

Boyd

Callaway

Hooper

Barkley

Dallas

I copied most of your lineup an won about $50. Thank you very very much! :)

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2 hours ago, SaturneParis said:

I copied most of your lineup an won about $50. Thank you very very much! :)

Nice!, What did you change cause I didn't cash anything but a .25er for .60 with it.

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16 minutes ago, Raging weasel said:

Nice!, What did you change cause I didn't cash anything but a .25er for .60 with it.

That's what I was thinking when I read your post - I thought you said that you didn't cash with much.   maybe a pivot to Gabriel and/or Burton?

 

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2 minutes ago, KarmaPolice said:

That's what I was thinking when I read your post - I thought you said that you didn't cash with much.   maybe a pivot to Gabriel and/or Burton?

 

Oops, looks like I switched out Callaway,Boyd and Dallas for Godwin,Galladay and Seat in my $5 contest:bag:

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7 hours ago, Raging weasel said:

Nice!, What did you change cause I didn't cash anything but a .25er for .60 with it.

I play with a small group of friends, which is why I won. $10 buy in, winner takes all. I took out Boyd and Dallas, and put in Mike Williams (shat the bed) and Bears defense.

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Son was home sick today so I had 1/2 a day of work and had a little more time to look at stuff in an attempt to find some plays.  

QB:

Here is the list of QBs averaging 35+ attempts/g, are on a team in the top 12 of team pace, vs. a team with a low sack rate, and vs a good matchup DVOA-wise:

Ben, Luck, Stafford, Bortles

 

Qbs in the next tier that had 3 of those 4 categories were Flacco, Dalton, and Rivers.  

 

 

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RB   no surprise that it turned into a who's who of the top RBs.  

Here is a list of the RBs averaging 50+% of the team snaps, 30% of the team touches, and 20 touches/game:

McCaffrey, Zeke, Conner, Gurley, Kamara, Barkley, Mixon/Gio, Hyde.    Very close in touches/g were Gordon, Hunt, and David Johnson.  

Everybody on that list besides Hunt and Hyde are also averaging 5targets/g.  

 

Narrowing down the list more - McCaffrey, Zeke, Conner, Gurley, Kamara, and Gordon have the + matchups as far as OL vs. DL this week.  Again, the who's who of stud RBs.  

 

Lynch stood out as having a good matchup as far as OL and DVOA goes.  

D.Lewis, White, C.Thompson, and N.Hines were the RBs I wrote down for DK too.  They have the 50% snap, 30% touches, and also get 5+Targets/game (just not the 20 touch/game threshold).  

 

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Wrs I have more problems with.   This is where a subscription of some sort would come in to see specific matchups and formations.  

Here is a list of WRs that have 20+% of team targets and also averaging 9+ targets/game:

C.Davis, Julio, Hopkins, Thielen, OBJ, Enunwa, A.Brown, M.Thomas, D.Adams, JuJu, Tate, K.Allen, Diggs, Boyd, Agholor (will this transfer to Alshon?), and Hilton.  

Of those, the ones that are on a team that plays at a high pace = Julio, Hopkins, Thielen, Brown, JuJu, Tate, Diggs, Hilton.  

 

I think this is the area I need to try to focus on this week to try to dig deeper for possible low $ guys to fit in with the stud RBs.  

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For TE, I wrote down players with 15+% of the team targets and averaging 5+targets/game:

Kelce, Ertz, Kittle, Reed, Cook, Gronk, Seals-Jones, Ebron, Njoku, Graham

 

The ones with the good DVOA matchup this week are Ertz, Kittle, Seals-Jones, and Graham.  

 

There are injuries to look at too which might make guys like Kroft and Vannett worth a shot for sub 3K darts.  

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Lastly, I wrote down my usual President Trump that are the top 8 as far as adjusted sack rates.  They were:

Det, Az, Tenn, Balt, Houst, Dallas, Min, and Car.    

 

Tenn is way too pricey, but there are some other gpp Ds in there to maybe dig deeper on.  

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