The places he's being slotted in this thread alone are crazy. 1.05 to 2.10.
What's his best case scenario?
This has changed significantly, which is why I think he goes lower in the NFL and rookie drafts.
Initially the best landing spots were: Philly, Baltimore, Oakland, Kansas City.
Philly traded for Howard. Granted hes no Le'veon Bell, but it helps decrease the need to take a RB first off the board and crowds the backfield more than it was a week ago.
Baltimore signed Ingram and they have Edwards and Dixon as well... I'm not sure they are in the market or a great spot anymore
Oakland is still open, and a good landing spot, but I think Jacobs ends up there
Kansas City has taken care of their rb position as well, and has invested a decent amount of money there. probably doesnt need to invest draft picks even further.
So now what are we left with...
Tampa Bay... Sure, not a bad spot. I'd be pretty stoked for whoever lands there
Houston... Some opportunity there in the future.
Buffalo... would be a solid spot although 2019 playing time would be limited. could be out-drafted in 2020s strong class
Atlanta... needs a compliment to Freeman unless the Judge makes some strides and can take that role.
Minnesota... Dalvin Cook looked solid, but they need a Murray replacement.
Tennessee... this would be a disaster but they are working out a lot of RBs it seems so they are apparently in the market.
Carolina... Not a real promising scenario unless CMC gets hurt.
New York Jets... would be a bad spot since they just went all in on Bell
Detroit... apparently they are interested in a RB. Not sure how I feel about this since I'm not sure how Kerryon is going to be used.
New Orleans... they have a pass catching back in Kamara and not sure if Henderson would be used to his strengths there.
I'd say the best scenario for Henderson is Tampa Bay, which then I'd be all about taking him around 1.7-8, Oakland would be very good and another 1.7-8 grade from me. I'd be happy about Houston, Buffalo, Atlanta but would drop him down a few slots (1.9). Anywhere else and I'm likely not interested in burning a 1st on him.
ETA: if philly took him round 3 or 4 I'd be pretty excited since he could be a pass catching back there... but I am wondering if Philly could be interested in James Williams who almost no one is talking about right now but should be adding to their watch lists.
The fact that there are less and less real good scenarios each week of this offseason, combined with the fact that Henderson may not be one of the first 3 RBs drafted, makes me wonder if he ends up in a less than optimal scenario. Just my opinion however. I like the guy, and I may want him on my team depending where he lands, so I'm rooting for a good spot.