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The AAF and XFL (1 Viewer)

A new generation of football almost died before it got old.

David Glenn of TheAthletic.com reports that Carolina Hurricanes owner Tom Dundon dumped $250 million into the Alliance of American Football last week in order to save the upstart operation from imploding after only one week.

Absent the nine-figure infusion, the AAF may have missed payroll last Friday.

And there were indeed payroll issues. An agent who represents multiple AAF players alerted PFT on Friday that some paychecks weren’t received. The AAF attributed the delay to an administrative glitch.

Dundon, per the report, will be introduced as the league’s new chairman. It’s unclear when that will occur.

It’s also unclear what Dundon’s ascension will mean for AAF CEO and co-founder Charlie Ebersol and AAF Head of Football and co-founder Bill Polian.

Glenn also reports that Raleigh eventually could have an AAF team, either through relocation of an existing team or expansion.
Kinda shocking considering the success of their first week and their recent partnership with the NFL. 

 
What was attendance like week 2?  I watched 5 minutes of a game this weekend.  It was obvious that all camera angles were strategically placed so as to not show anything higher than the first 25 rows of the stands.

 
What was attendance like week 2?  I watched 5 minutes of a game this weekend.  It was obvious that all camera angles were strategically placed so as to not show anything higher than the first 25 rows of the stands.
hard to tell because the league is fudging numbers (although to be fair, all leagues in the US report tickets distributed and not butts in seats)

https://www.fanduel.com/theduel/posts/6299773-aaf-might-be-lying-about-some-attendance-figures                    

 
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I was sick this weekend and didn't watch any TV.  Not that I would have probably watched a full game, but I didn't even watch a second of it.  

And that made me realize what is missing:  Push alerts for scores the way that every other sport has them.  I may not catch every single game of every sports team I follow, but I know everything that is happening because of push alerts.  Hell, a lot of times I'll get an alert and that will make me put the game on if it's a close game.  

And while I understand why ESPN doesn't offer this, I was nonplussed as to why the CBS sports app doesn't offer this feature.  I mean, it's their league.  That's a HUGE swing and a miss in my opinion.  Take note, XFL.  Get your push alerts set before Week 1 next year.

 
XFL is going to blow this league to hell. They have financing and I bet they are way ahead on the technology. 

 
XFL is going to blow this league to hell. They have financing and I bet they are way ahead on the technology. 
If XFL 1.0 couldn't make a go of it with **** Freaking Ebersol and the power of NBC behind it, what makes version 2.0 any better or more likely to succeed?

 
So while it said the original investor backed out, it also stated that the new investor put a large amount of money in that will keep them going fine.  So, crisis averted.  Could have been devastating but appears they've turned that corner.

 
If XFL 1.0 couldn't make a go of it with **** Freaking Ebersol and the power of NBC behind it, what makes version 2.0 any better or more likely to succeed?
20 years ago. Andrew Luck’s dad is running it and he is known as one of the sharpest minds around. I would bet a lot, and I meant a LOT of money on the XFL winning this battle. 

 
XFL is going to blow this league to hell. They have financing and I bet they are way ahead on the technology. 
Isn't the XFL predominantly financed by Vince McMahon? If so, it would seem less likely for one guy to be able to stomach massive losses in the first couple of years (as opposed to multiple owners each absorbing a much smaller amount).

Also, the XFL is trying to brand itself as being a higher caliber of football than the AAF or Arena football, which I think will lead to a lot of disappointed fans.

Also, the new XFL is removing many of the traits which attracted fans to the original XFL in the first place (hard hits, sexy cheerleaders, and WWE storylines). I'm not saying that it's a bad idea to eliminate those traits, but I do think that you're going to lose a lot of the old school fans which means you're going to be in a similar position as the AAF in terms of finding a fan base.

Also, didn't Oliver Luck run NFL Europe into the ground?

 
Also, didn't Oliver Luck run NFL Europe into the ground?
NFL Europe never found a foothold financially.  The attendance was decent through out the run but they were never able to grab enough other sources of revenue to sustain the business.

Luck was President from 1996 to 2000.  He was there during the time the league rebranded from the WLAF to NFL Europe when the failing American teams were removed.

After he left in 2000 to go back to Houston, where he would eventually join MLS, NFL Europe went on another 7 years before finally shutting down in 2007.

 
20 years ago. Andrew Luck’s dad is running it and he is known as one of the sharpest minds around. I would bet a lot, and I meant a LOT of money on the XFL winning this battle. 
I've heard a lot of good things about Tom Dundon - the Hurricanes owner who just invested $250m into the AAF.  It will be an interesting race, for sure

My biggest criticism of the AAF so far is they did not embrace gambling nearly enough.  No DFS was available at FanDuel or DraftKing.  They should have games/teams specifically in states with legalized sports gambling and have the DFS companies (who also run sportsbooks) names plastered all over the jerseys/site.  People who will watch the worse #### if they can throw a $20 on it and the first league to magnify gambling is going to win.

 
The only way any of these leagues might survive is to get players in the league right after high school.  If they can pay more than Alabama or Ohio State, they have a shot.

 
20 years ago. Andrew Luck’s dad is running it and he is known as one of the sharpest minds around. I would bet a lot, and I meant a LOT of money on the XFL winning this battle. 
They’re both going to lose.  

 
The AFL worked because they made it real clear their were vs the NFL.

Until that happens, forget it.

And, the league brought in a lot of speedy players from small southern schools, a faster brand of football.

 
20 years ago. Andrew Luck’s dad is running it and he is known as one of the sharpest minds around. I would bet a lot, and I meant a LOT of money on the XFL winning this battle. 
And **** Ebersol is still better at TV than Luck. 

Face it, everyone talks a good game about wanting spring/summer football, but no one watches. USFL, WFL, XFL, NFLE/WLAF all tried and failed. Right now, there’s nothing that leads me to believe any of these three leagues are going to work, either. 

 
Right, but they're not providing the league revenue.  
Ratings were fine in week 2. If they can streamline costs and monetize the tv audience they will make it. If they are overbloated on expenses and are counting on butts in the seats then they are going to be dead. Like somebody else mentioned it’s crazy they don’t have some kind of DFS agreement. 

 
[scooter] said:
Gamblers will bet on anything.
Not really.

Gamblers look for "spot" that favor a side.  That is done by finding historical trends, there are no trends in this football.

Who sucks coming off a bye ATS, who shines heading into a bye ATS. Who sucks in prime time games, who shines? And on and on.....

 
Not really.

Gamblers look for "spot" that favor a side.  That is done by finding historical trends, there are no trends in this football.

Who sucks coming off a bye ATS, who shines heading into a bye ATS. Who sucks in prime time games, who shines? And on and on.....
Umm what?

 
Man I've been doing it all wrong.
A team will be one of 4 things.

home fav...HF

home dog...HD

road fav...RF

road dog...RD

You need to know how the 32 teams perform ATS in whatever role they are in that week.

The Colts are 5-13 as a RD

Browns are 13-5 as a HF.

So that gives Cleveland a....26-10 trend ATS.

The Colts are heading into a bye week, there....3-13..ATS

The Browns coming off a bye week....13-3...ATS.

Now the Browns enjoy a...52-16...trend. 

All kinds of things you search out trying to find a game that strong when it comes to trends/spots favoring a side.

Yep, time consuming.  IF...you are serious and play big $$$$$ that's how you win, if just for yucks and small $$$$$ then go with .....nothing.

 
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A team will be one of 4 things.

home fav...HF

home dog...HD

road fav...RF

road dog...RD

You need to know how the 32 teams perform ATS in whatever role they are in that week.

The Colts are 5-13 as a RD

Browns are 13-5 as a HF.

So that gives Cleveland a....26-10 trend ATS.

The Colts are heading into a bye week, there....3-13..ATS

The Browns coming off a bye week....13-3...ATS.

Now the Browns enjoy a...52-16...trend. 

All kinds of things you search out trying to find a game that strong when it comes to trends/spots favoring a side.

Yep, time consuming.  IF...you are serious and play big $$$$$ that's how you win, if just for yucks and small $$$$$ then go with .....nothing.
Dude, you need to hang out more in the FFA Wagering Thread.  We can all learn a ton.

 
A team will be one of 4 things.

home fav...HF

home dog...HD

road fav...RF

road dog...RD

You need to know how the 32 teams perform ATS in whatever role they are in that week.

The Colts are 5-13 as a RD

Browns are 13-5 as a HF.

So that gives Cleveland a....26-10 trend ATS.

The Colts are heading into a bye week, there....3-13..ATS

The Browns coming off a bye week....13-3...ATS.

Now the Browns enjoy a...52-16...trend. 

All kinds of things you search out trying to find a game that strong when it comes to trends/spots favoring a side.

Yep, time consuming.  IF...you are serious and play big $$$$$ that's how you win, if just for yucks and small $$$$$ then go with .....nothing.
What would you do with college hoops and nhl 1st periods?  Cause they aren't going great for me tonight.

 
What would you do with college hoops and nhl 1st periods?  Cause they aren't going great for me tonight.
I don't play anything but pro football.  Now its time to kiss up to the wife because when football gets back, ha~~~

But no matter what you play, you must know how any team performs ATS in whatever "spot" they are in.  What happens is nobody really wants to do the work to isolate those best ATS plays, so they think they can just gut it out.........that will not work over time, you cannot win without the homework.

In football I don't care what you do, how much work you've done the best ya can hope for is around 65%., so it comes down to money management, which is isolating plays you load up on, a 550 play instead of the 110,  so while you hit 6 of 10, you lost playing 110, but won playing 550.

 
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I don't play anything but pro football.  Now its time to kiss up to the wife because when football gets back, ha~~~

But no matter what you play, you must know how any team performs ATS in whatever "spot" they are in.  What happens is nobody really wants to do the work to isolate those best ATS plays, so they think they can just gut it out.........that will not work over time, you cannot win without the homework.

In football I don't care what you do, how much work you've done the best ya can hope for is around 65%., so it comes down to money management, which is isolating plays you load up on, a 550 play insteadof the 110,  so while you hit 6 of 10, you lost playing 110, but won playing 550.
Huh.

 
ZenoRazon said:
In football I don't care what you do, how much work you've done the best ya can hope for is around 65%
I dunno, it would be pretty hard to make a living only winning 65% of the time.

 
ZenoRazon said:
A team will be one of 4 things.

home fav...HF

home dog...HD

road fav...RF

road dog...RD

You need to know how the 32 teams perform ATS in whatever role they are in that week.

The Colts are 5-13 as a RD

Browns are 13-5 as a HF.

So that gives Cleveland a....26-10 trend ATS.

The Colts are heading into a bye week, there....3-13..ATS

The Browns coming off a bye week....13-3...ATS.

Now the Browns enjoy a...52-16...trend. 

All kinds of things you search out trying to find a game that strong when it comes to trends/spots favoring a side.

Yep, time consuming.  IF...you are serious and play big $$$$$ that's how you win, if just for yucks and small $$$$$ then go with .....nothing.
The roulette wheel has landed on black the last 5 out of 8 times.  Bet red, because it's totally due.

 
I dunno, it would be pretty hard to make a living only winning 65% of the time.
Not really.

Once and for all,  when laying 11 to win 10, what percentage of bets do professional gamblers win?

///

Professional sports bettors rarely sustain a long-term winning percentage higher than 55 percent, and it's often as low as 53 or 54 percent. People find that hard to believe, and they understandably get even more skeptical when told that, for a genuine professional-level sports bettor, a long-term winning expectation of 60% or more is actually too high.

There's always an awkward pause when a non-gambler or a beginner asks me, "What percentage of bets do professional bettors win?"

It's a less-than-simple question to answer because it can't be answered simply. That, of course, sounds like a cop-out, but the answer to that question really does demand an explanation.

Many people believe professional-level sports bettors win at least 60% of their bets. It's understandable that people think that, but it's just not true. The fact is, the difference between the percentage of bets won by successful sports bettors and the percentage of bets won by chronic losers is relatively very small.

 
If XFL 1.0 couldn't make a go of it with **** Freaking Ebersol and the power of NBC behind it, what makes version 2.0 any better or more likely to succeed?
The biggest problem with XFL 1.0 was that it rushed and they gave the players like 2 weeks to try out, and prepare.  You can't have cohesive football with only 2 weeks of practice.  Vince went into 1.0 with only one game plan.  They were gonna be different than the NFL.  How were they going to be different?  Uhh... well, we'll tell you when we figure it out.  Ebersol put too much stake into Vince's vision because of their past experience and didn't realize that his idea wasn't ready yet.

 
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I think the best way for the XFL to succeed is for it to become a work. It's what Vince does best anyway... Let's have a heel coach who tries to cheat. Give me some player vs player rivalries that are built over a few weeks before they actually meet on the field. Heck, have an XFL team invade an AAF locker room and trash the place, nWo style. 

 
JB Breakfast Club said:
I think the best way for the XFL to succeed is for it to become a work. It's what Vince does best anyway... Let's have a heel coach who tries to cheat. Give me some player vs player rivalries that are built over a few weeks before they actually meet on the field. Heck, have an XFL team invade an AAF locker room and trash the place, nWo style. 
I truly think that you need to have the aforementioned gambling interest for any of these leagues to succeed. When you start playing the drama card and setting up authority figures to become cheating villains you lose the sanctity of the game being on the up and up. And with that, you lose the gamblers. 

 

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