Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
Sign in to follow this  
Encyclopedia Brown

Early Season Studs: Who Is Legit/Who Is A Mirage

Recommended Posts

A few unexpected names have started out quite strong:

Jason Heyward

Pete Alonso

Tim Anderson

Domingo Santana

Wilson Contreras

(Feel free to add other names)

I grabbed Alonso late and obviously have been thrilled with his numbers. However, that 65% contact rate doesn't justify a .340 BA and I expect regression to come soon.

Tim Anderson has a .500 BABIP and 2% walk rate. That's an issue.

I am cautiously optimistic about Jason Heyward having a surprisingly good season. The 90% contact rate is not sustainable, but the walk rate is, and he just seems solid all around. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Alonso power is legit. Even if his average falls to like .260, I don’t see why he can’t be like Jesus Aguilar in a worse park which is clearly a starting 1b in any league. 

Another breakout not mentioned is Kolten Wong. His slash line is not BABIP driven and he is smashing the ball. He spiked his walk rate early and he already has 7 extra base hits. BTW, he’s running again with 4 early steals. This guy doesn’t have upside to win your league, but I bet he’s finishing the season as a top 8ish 2b and probably went undrafted. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, cheese said:

Alonso power is legit. Even if his average falls to like .260, I don’t see why he can’t be like Jesus Aguilar in a worse park which is clearly a starting 1b in any league. 

Another breakout not mentioned is Kolten Wong. His slash line is not BABIP driven and he is smashing the ball. He spiked his walk rate early and he already has 7 extra base hits. BTW, he’s running again with 4 early steals. This guy doesn’t have upside to win your league, but I bet he’s finishing the season as a top 8ish 2b and probably went undrafted. 

I believed Wong's was real when his triple slash since Matheny getting #### canned entered my spectrum.  Don't know what it is off the top of my head, but if anyone wants to do the math the narrative carries some statistical weight.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Can confirm those two did not see eye-to-eye. Shildt seems intent on giving Wong the every day at-bats that Matheny often promised, but never delivered for Wong.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
55 minutes ago, General Malaise said:

How good has Dansby Swanson been?  Man....:kicksrock:

There was an interview The Athletic with Chipper Jones where he talked specifically about working with Swanson during the winter. 

So far, so good. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Encyclopedia Brown said:

There was an interview The Athletic with Chipper Jones where he talked specifically about working with Swanson during the winter. 

So far, so good. 

Meanwhile, Shelby Miller's ERA is 9 1/2.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 hours ago, Encyclopedia Brown said:

A few unexpected names have started out quite strong:

Jason Heyward

I am cautiously optimistic about Jason Heyward having a surprisingly good season. The 90% contact rate is not sustainable, but the walk rate is, and he just seems solid all around. 

That's what the Cubs used to think

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

How about the young pup in San Diego, Fernando Tatis Jr?  5 HR/11RBI getting on at .353.  Looks like he might belong in this league.  God, I remember in college when his dad was the top Rangers' prospect.  

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, General Malaise said:

How about the young pup in San Diego, Fernando Tatis Jr?  5 HR/11RBI getting on at .353.  Looks like he might belong in this league.  God, I remember in college when his dad was the top Rangers' prospect.  

I remember the great FernandoTatis17 Microsoft Paint hoax

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 hours ago, General Malaise said:

How about the young pup in San Diego, Fernando Tatis Jr?  5 HR/11RBI getting on at .353.  Looks like he might belong in this league.  God, I remember in college when his dad was the top Rangers' prospect.  

Eephus didn't think he'd hit 15 homers. :mellow:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tim Anderson is an interesting case.  He was an elite base stealer in the minors, and he has 25 homer power.  Even in OBP leagues he is playable if he is stealing bases, but in average leagues he's almost a must start.  You didn't pay much for him so if he can go 22 homers and 30 steals even with that horrible plate discipline, he's valuable. 

Marcel Ozuna is off to a nice start, glad I grabbed quite a few shares there.  Freddy Galvis is carrying guys in deep leagues, Matt Boyd has been great, and Byron Buxton is startable again. 

On the flip side Jose Ramirez owners have to be :wall:and Sale owners have to be :X

Ramirez should be fine, in fact I'm sure he'll end up being a first round value.  Sale...I'm not sure what's going on there but in started last August. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
14 hours ago, Doctor Detroit said:

Tim Anderson is an interesting case.  He was an elite base stealer in the minors, and he has 25 homer power.  Even in OBP leagues he is playable if he is stealing bases, but in average leagues he's almost a must start.  You didn't pay much for him so if he can go 22 homers and 30 steals even with that horrible plate discipline, he's valuable. 

Marcel Ozuna is off to a nice start, glad I grabbed quite a few shares there.  Freddy Galvis is carrying guys in deep leagues, Matt Boyd has been great, and Byron Buxton is startable again. 

On the flip side Jose Ramirez owners have to be :wall:and Sale owners have to be :X

Ramirez should be fine, in fact I'm sure he'll end up being a first round value.  Sale...I'm not sure what's going on there but in started last August. 

Kicking myself for not keeping Anderson in Uber.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
18 hours ago, Doctor Detroit said:

Tim Anderson is an interesting case.  He was an elite base stealer in the minors, and he has 25 homer power.  Even in OBP leagues he is playable if he is stealing bases, but in average leagues he's almost a must start.  You didn't pay much for him so if he can go 22 homers and 30 steals even with that horrible plate discipline, he's valuable. 

 

Stud in bat flip leagues

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.