Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
Sign in to follow this  
chet

SPOILERS Betting lines on final Game of Thrones Episode

Recommended Posts

SPOILERS ABOUND HERE

 

 

 

Bovada is running a GOT final special.  Here's a link to the wagers.

 

 

The first one is the biggest, and it looks like they have inside info:

Who Will Rule Westeros At The End Of Season 8?

5/19/198:59 PM

Winner

Bran Stark-500

Sansa Stark+400

Tyrion Lannister+750

Jon Snow+800

Daenarys Targaryen+1500

Arya Stark+3000

Gendry+3000

Jon And Daenerys' Baby+3300

Samwell Tarly+5000

Petyr Baelish+6600

Brienne Of Tarth+15000

Bronn+15000

Davos Seaworth+15000

Jaqen H'ghar+15000

Daario Naharis+25000

Yara Greyjoy+25000

Gilly+50000

Tormund Giantsbane+50000

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, otb_lifer said:

gimme the cold Bran/Tyrion exacta 1000x

 

You're a betting man--this thing's already in the can and the die is cast.  How good do you think Bovada's information is?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
26 minutes ago, chet said:

You're a betting man--this thing's already in the can and the die is cast.  How good do you think Bovada's information is?

solid.  very much so. 

Bran in the Iron Chair, Tyrion as hand ... worried about the latter getting fried by Dany, but hopefully Snow grows a ####### sack and offs her before more damage is done. 

@chet. check PM

Edited by otb_lifer

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
25 minutes ago, Punxsutawney Phil said:

What about bastard blacksmith?

he's on there.... Gendry+3000

 

ETA: I think you mean LORD Blacksmith ;)

Edited by Nathan R. Jessep
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Can we discuss the things that would have to happen for Bran to take the Throne? I know Jon is out, but the only way I can see Bran taking it is if he is the only character (that we know from the show group) left. 

Jon - most expect to die or to head to the Real North with Tormund and Ghost; doesn't want the throne and would refuse it

Dany - most expect to die; almost 100% certain after 8.05

Sansa - haven't really seen any predictions of her dying; I guess Dany could go more mad and take her out because of her icy stares

Arya - doesn't want it; may have disappeared for good; may come back and die in a battle protecting Jon, etc.

Tyrion - I guess most expect him to die by Dany's command, but if not, then what? he gets banished, like she did with Jorah that time?

If all of those happen, and Bran is the only one left, I guess I could see it, but man, that would really suck and I think the internet will implode. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Jon is far and away the most likely in my mind. He's repeatedly said he doesn't want it and has been backing Dany, but after her ####up last episode I think he'll change his tune. Bran would be an odd choice. He's going to struggle to develop a close relationship with nearly anyone with how weird he has become. Bran should be an adviser, not a ruler. Sansa or Tyrion would be hugely disappointing, but I could see it.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I don't get what part of this is a spoiler?

If they are taking action, I'd say only about a dozen people have seen the final edit.

 

Wouldn't be the first time dorks whiffed on their "spoilers"

 

If anyone wants to lay the favorite, let me know, I'll give you a better line.

 

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, sports_fan said:

Jon is far and away the most likely in my mind. He's repeatedly said he doesn't want it and has been backing Dany, but after her ####up last episode I think he'll change his tune. Bran would be an odd choice. He's going to struggle to develop a close relationship with nearly anyone with how weird he has become. Bran should be an adviser, not a ruler. Sansa or Tyrion would be hugely disappointing, but I could see it.

Jon is dead.  His friends stabbed him.  Everyone else in this story that had been resurrected has died immediately after fulfilling their purpose.  Pretty sure it's obvious what Jon's is.

 

Tyrion the Targaryen for the win!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 hours ago, Nathan R. Jessep said:

Can we discuss the things that would have to happen for Bran to take the Throne? 

Someone would need to plant a tree and construct some ramps.

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 hours ago, hooter311 said:

I don't get what part of this is a spoiler?

If they are taking action, I'd say only about a dozen people have seen the final edit.

 

Wouldn't be the first time dorks whiffed on their "spoilers"

 

If anyone wants to lay the favorite, let me know, I'll give you a better line.

 

 

 

The only reason I posted that was because earlier in the thread someone posted that the odds swung and people might not want to look at them.  :shrug: 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
18 minutes ago, KarmaPolice said:

The only reason I posted that was because earlier in the thread someone posted that the odds swung and people might not want to look at them.  :shrug: 

I don't want to ruin anyone's fun in any way, I just know the sportsbooks are much more worried about their margins than having the lines correct.  I don't think the swing came from the producers max betting $100s, and if it didn't come directly from them who knows how reliable the information is.  Also, as a lifelong conspiracy theorist, it wouldn't take much of a marketing budget to manipulate the entire market for the clickbait.

There was much more attention given to security this season, like I said that Starbucks goof was proof of how few people are seeing the final cuts before the public.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Bran can see through time.   He knew that telling Jon that he was Aegon Targeryon would set off the chain reaction driving Dany to become mass-murdering dragon queen.  If he wanted Dany on the throne, he would never have told Jon, so Dany must not end up on the throne or he wouldn't have done it.  Jon doesn't want it, and may end up dead.  Of the remaining characters, Bran's the head of the Starks.   That leaves only Gendry with a possibly better claim to the throne, but he's really just the bastard son of a usurper, so that's not a great claim.    

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, KarmaPolice said:

It would be super dumb if Bran ends up on the throne.  You know - the guy that says he lives mostly in past and doesn't seem to actually talk to anybody.

His chair is kind of like a throne already.   It would be an easy final shot from a filmmaking perspective.   In fact, he may have been sitting on the "throne" the whole time manipulating the events.   Otherwise, all of his superpowers were essentially pointless to the story and he was just a plot device.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, -fish- said:

Bran up to -300.  Gendry down to +500

Lol there is no way Martin plans Gendry or Edric Storm either one as king.

Comes down to the original 5 from the manuscript he sent to his publisher.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

So I just read the "leaks", they claim my theory is wrong.......or do they?

 

I'm even more confident in my play, Tyrion.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 5/14/2019 at 11:53 AM, otb_lifer said:

gimme the cold Bran/Tyrion exacta 1000x

 

 

On 5/14/2019 at 12:07 PM, chet said:

You're a betting man--this thing's already in the can and the die is cast.  How good do you think Bovada's information is?

 

On 5/14/2019 at 12:09 PM, otb_lifer said:

solid.  very much so. 

Bran in the Iron Chair, Tyrion as hand ... worried about the latter getting fried by Dany, but hopefully Snow grows a ####### sack and offs her before more damage is done. 

@chet. check PM

 

:coffee:

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

HBO did a terrible job of mitigating leaks.  I thought they would have been prepared to at least have a strong disinformation campaign to counter the inevitable leak.  there were rumors of filming an alternate ending but I guess that never happened.  At least the entire shows didn't leak online like past seasons.

 

*ETA* all a disinformation campaign would have taken would have been a picture of any other character sitting on the throne and sent to a blog.  in todays game of thrones hungry social media world, there would have been 500 reaction videos in an hour.

Edited by Punxsutawney Phil

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.