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Buttigieg is a terrific candidate. For all of the reasons you stated. If he could somehow win the nomination and get someone like Kamala Harris or Stacy Abrams as his running mate, they would destroy Trump. His issue is the black vote. Low black voter turnout in the 2016 election is one of the reasons we have a president Trump. I think it might be beneficial for him to announce a running mate early on to help him in the primaries. Although it would be tough for him to get a Harris/Abrams type to agree that early.
In 2016, Trump had the advantage of having no voting record. And no political experience. That enabled him to make promises that sounded awesome to certain groups of people. Muslim ban! Mexico will pay for wall! Eliminate Obamacare and replace with something better! Restore 50.000 lost coal jobs! All real easy to promise gullible voters. Well, now he has four years of failing on most of his promises. Not going to be so easy to fool anyone. Sure, the ones who voted for him in 2016 will vote for him again. But he's going to need a lot more votes than that to win in 2020. Bush's WMD lie and the Great Recession brought voters out in droves in 2008. Trump's corruption, racism, overall childish behavior, and causing so much hate and divide will do the same in 2020.
She also makes sense. I think my analysis still suffers a bit from the recency bias of seeing just how terrible Hillary did with female voters in 2016. I see Klobuchar as a very sensible candidate but maybe not as sharp of a personality as Pete. I mean I just picture a Pete v. Trump debate as a bloodbath in terms of both substance and style and I genuinely think a viewer's opinion on Trump could be swayed if he's contrasted with a sensible, well-spoken white male.
I don't think it's the parties; it is the voters. There are plenty of reasonable candidates that entered the race, just like there were on the Republican side in 2016.
And yet according to betting markets, Trump is the presumptive favorite. Higher now than before impeachment hearings began.
Yeah she's kinda like the Democrats version in 2020 of Kasich to the Republican party in 2016.
I don't think that has anything to do with whether Trump has failed or succeeded on his policies. I think it has everything to do with the likelihood that the Democratic nominee will be Warren or Biden.
Why? What does Censure do? Its toothless.
Much less that many people in my age group see this group of candidates (namely Bernie and Warren) as significantly better than we've gotten in many years.
But has never been this bad...where we have a senator admitting the man did these awful things...but so what...his chief of staff saying the same things.
What if independents decide that a desire to repudiate Republicans does not logically demand an embrace of Democrats. What if they instead vote third party?
According to most recent monthly Gallup poll, highest satisfaction of direction this country is going since July 7, 2005. First time since then its over 40%.
Well, considering she's pretty disliked by a large chunk of her local party members, it's not very weird to me. I've never liked her, but she's better than a Republican so I've voted for her.
Not interested. Just pointing out that this assumption that Trump and Rebuplicans are going to take some massive hit with this is wishful thinking, IMO.
Maybe, maybe not. We'll never know, but I suspect they would have. It was simply in response to the question of "What should Dems have done?" That's something they could have done.
I understand, and you may be right. I'm not as confident as you are. That's for sure.
He is a whore trying to rehab his image. He wants to pretend that his arguments were nuanced and that people appreciated those nuances. That he both knows justice, truth, and legal representation. He wants to place the blame at the feet of the House prosecutors rather than admit what he knew all along, he was arguing to a fixed jury and his arguments were horrible, constitutionally disgraceful.
of course I agree with removing Clinton. Please don't confuse me for a traditional democrat or liberal. I remember voting for GWB over Gore in 2000 (in Palm Beach County on a butterfly ballot, BTW) because I felt Bush would restore honor and dignity to the White House and a Gore presidency would validate presidents lying under oath.
Dems do what now? Is this the next chapter in "it's all the Democrats' fault?" The Republicans control the majority in the Senate and its corresponding committees. If they want to censure the President they can do it and the Democrats have absolutely no control over it.
I don't think any Dem voter on the board thinks that at all, judging by the reaction to the failure to remove President Trump from office.
nothing is in the bag. of course not. people have to be motivated to turn out and vote. but 2016 was a bit flukey. everything fell into place for Trump. for 80K votes in 3 states to swing the EC that much is unusual. if his approval is down even 2% in those states that's enough, and i think it is. and yes, obviously it depends on the Dem nominee.
what good is that? Do you think DJT cares one bit about the "radical do nothing democrats" slapping a meaningless censure on him?
FOR USING HIS THE POWERS OF HIS OFFICE TO INFLUENCE THE NEXT ELECTION.
Calm down GB, I didn't lay blame for anything at the Dems feet. A question was asked and I answered.
Personally, I do not think the Dems have it in the bag. I think it's probably going to be pretty tough to beat him. He has the benefit of a good economy (he can thank Obama) plus foreign countries helping him again. Possibly even corrupting the voting system. But when you see the level of corruption going through the entire Republican party, enabling him to be above the law and rule like a dictator, I simply have to believe there's a price for that. I guess I'm a naive optimist, but I have to go through life believing that evil gets punished and goodness wins out in the end or I would jump off a bridge.
