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I was thinking that, too, but was afraid I was being too optimistic. Basically functions like a flu test machine, right?
Not only that (which is huge), but the ability to self-test greatly helps ease the PPE needs for that area of this process. Also, I would hope it ups the availability of testing in general. The more data, the better.
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Wow, that’s awesome, really glad to hear that. Good local name, makes sense.
Only problem with all these breakthroughs is they can't be mass produced and distributed fast enough.
Was trying to figure out if he stayed on the WB for high school or not. Found out he was a Blue Jay.Wow, that’s awesome, really glad to hear that. Good local name, makes sense
This particular test uses Abbott's existing testing unit. Not sure how difficult it will be to distribute the raw materials needed to amplify the RNA.
If peak resource usage is basically 15 days away, doesn't that mean peak infection is like 5 days away?
From what I read, your immunity to a flu strain lasts for about a year after you recover, but you aren’t necessarily immune to other strains. I saw an interview with Dr. Fauci where he said he expects the same from this virus. So you can get reinfected, but not so soon after recovering.
Honest question- is this assuming the population is using all the guidelines and a best case scenario, or is this a model based on data of how it's going in the last week.
Thanks! I hope this is fairly accurate. A sad thing to say given how many deaths it still projects.
The link Pickles provided says this:
There is more to read there about how it was set up if interested.
I think there has to be a balance. Its the restrictions (or fear of them) that cause hoarding. It seems right now it might be better to continue on with regular shopping habits rather than loading up.
Note that IHME hasn't updated their projections yet, but their model is underpredicting the death rate for the last few days.
maybe not great things but this is pretty good
https://twitter.com/Akkivideos/status/1243915777591238658/video/1
I’ve long wondered if weekend numbers are accurate. We may see a decrease in total new cases today, and if so, we don’t want to claim progress until we ensure that we don’t get a backlog pouring in on Monday.
I for sure am not saying I have all the answers, but don't think I agree with the continuing shopping habits comment. People are used to shopping multiple times a week, and that is adding to the problem. Little reason people cant be told to plan and go out one a week or less, and maybe have ways to try to tell if they do.
Meh. Should he have been screaming louder about of this earlier? As the director of infectious disease institute whatever, maybe he could have been a little more vocal?
Hopefully we are worse now but the results of efforts from the last 2-3 weeks will start to show more as the calendar progresses. It's maddening that we don't have 90+ percent of people taking this seriously.
Maybe we can get the fatality rate lowered by the use of more successful anti-viral therapies. It does seem overly optimistic when stated this way though.
Just look at the pictures of people on the beaches. Go online to Facebook, Nextdoor, and other social media. Tons of people downplaying it still as just the flu.
I think it’s safe to say that the effort that people have put forth will 100% have a significant impact on the spread. But I think it’s almost impossible to know how much of an impact.
Maybe that’s a Florida thing. In NY I’m pretty sure well more than 90% of people are taking it seriously.
Otis lives in NYC iirc.
Yup too many still not cooperating and there are pockets where the density of idiots is high but I think overall we’re well over 90% compliance in most areas.
People should do that themselves. As soon as restrictions start you wont be able to get any TP again.
The CFR is more likely 1.6-1.7%.
Based on what I have seen within a few miles of my house I think a number a whole lot closer to 90 percent of people are taking this seriously.
