I have been following this thread for months and can remember vividly the "just the flu, bro" arguments many here (myself included) battled against. That those arguments have now turned into "I regret that I have but one grandparent to give for my economy" is depressing, but not surprising as the normalcy bias in most is VERY strong. Further, as Doug B noted, there is a belief that all opinions here are equally valid regardless of how uninformed they are. By that I mean, some of us have been here from the beginning and thus have a basis in the myriad data sources, academic articles, and country-by-country actions...whereas others seem to parachute in on page 565 and declare "we can't keep this up, it'll be Lord of the Flies by Thursday afternoon if this continues" without understanding that EVERY other country in Europe has been doing more and for longer than we have. I am empathetic to the idea that we can't do THIS for 6 months, but I'm also depressed by the lack of imagination that wrongly suggests that our choices are:
- Option 1: pretend the virus doesn't exists, everybody go back to work & travel BAU, good luck out there
- Option 2: for the next 6 months nobody leave the house (except for groceries), no businesses invent new ways of serving customers, no treatment plans are developed to mitigate impacts, no wide scale testing and contact tracing will be allowed to tell us where outbreaks are occurring in real time
So please, let's stop writing as if ONLY the above two scenarios are in play. Let's acknowledge that yes, we don't shut down the economy to save a single life, or 10, or 100, or 1000, or 10,000...but that at SOME point we do need to start having the conversation about the cost-benefit trade-off. FTR, I don't believe we are anywhere NEAR that point but the point is a valid one and so IF you agree that we don't shut the economy down to save a single life then you must admit that there is a cost-benefit discussion that needs to be had at some point. Conversely, if you can't understand that the economy is not coming back just because a govt official re-opens for biz in the midst of a raging pandemic then you need to spend some of your free time reading a few articles on consumer psychology.
Apologies, if the tone of the above comes off as arrogant/pedantic, am tired and desirous of raising the level of discourse in here to something more stimulating. Specifically, would love to hear people discussing how we - as citizens, consumers, and workers/leaders, can help one another in May once we tamp this initial wave down. How does mass transit in NYC function without sig recurrence? How do we get people to wear masks? Do we create 16 hour work days in our offices so that we can have two shifts and limit the chance of in-office outbreaks? What else?