JaxBill
Footballguy
Real good question but the system is seriously flawed.Why isn’t this stuff going to food banks?
Real good question but the system is seriously flawed.Why isn’t this stuff going to food banks?
Yep missed a zero. Even better.1% of the US population is 3M+
The "so" in the sentence with the 1% dying statement was meant to tie it to the sentence previous which discussed getting the virus.Clarifying just a little...
1% of the the entire US population isn't going to die from this. We need to hit 327,000 deaths in the U.S. to hit 1% and that still wouldn't equal a 1% chance of dying for most people.
If you get it, there looks to be a 1% chance of dying from it when accounting for the entire group of people who tested positive. And that number could drop further by half as further testing is done. And then finally that number further drops if you're healthy, young, and don't have underlying conditions.
Not sure if you were saying there's a 1 in 100 chance of dying from coronavirus once we return to normal life, but yeah it's not even close to that. And if you're healthy the chance is as negligible as you're chances of falling down the stairs and dying. Your chances of dying in a car accident are far times greater.
Why no exhaust from one of the jets?The Thunderbirds flew all over the entire Las Vegas valley a couple hours ago as a salute to the health care workers. This isn’t my video, but there are several on YouTube now. This is the kind of show we got.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGfZ0ApmfMQ
I think some dust got in my eyes around the same time. Ultra cool.
But again, the exponential growth of this virus is pretty clearly established. If that was the case, you can back up to those dates, estimate the number of infected, and in an open society you can estimate when "peak infection" should have happened. When deaths should have spiked, hospitals overrun.You'd be missing the stories from hospitals in places like California, Washington, and Nevada that had spikes in people coming through their doors during the months of December and January. It didn't make news because the doctors and nurses there thought they were seeing a bad flu season. It seems as though many people aren't aware the hospitals go through consecutive days, even weeks when they're seeing a lot more patients during the winter months having trouble with cold and flu. It does happen. Even to the extent that they start treating people in hallways and waiting rooms. The difference - the news vans aren't parked out front and a huge spotlight isn't on the hospital.
Spain is already at 0.035% of all its citizens dying from it.... with mitigation efforts.Yep missed a zero. Even better.
If 327,000 Americans die it will be 0.1% that fell victim to this. Those aren't numbers that should make someone afraid to venture into public without some underlying condition. And 327,000 Americans are not going to die of this. I'll happily delete my account if we ever hit that number.
Stories don’t equal science. All that is irrelevant info until you can bring some data to the table.You'd be missing the stories from hospitals in places like California, Washington, and Nevada that had spikes in people coming through their doors during the months of December and January. It didn't make news because the doctors and nurses there thought they were seeing a bad flu season. It seems as though many people aren't aware the hospitals go through consecutive days, even weeks when they're seeing a lot more patients during the winter months having trouble with cold and flu. It does happen. Even to the extent that they start treating people in hallways and waiting rooms. The difference - the news vans aren't parked out front and a huge spotlight isn't on the hospital.
Remember in December, January, and February these deaths which may have been CV19 in some cases were being recorded as flu, pneumonia, other larger causes of death, etc. The argument is that the deaths were still there, they just got lost in the noise. 20K have died from this in the U.S. according to the current numbers. But that's now counting almost all flu and pneumonia deaths as CV19. Prior to March those spikes and issues in places that may have been hit first and the ensuing deaths were absorbed into other stats. The numbers are impossibly hard to get a real count right now. Just as many CV19 deaths would have been missed in the early months, many of the ones now aren't CV19. They're admittedly going to have to go back later and make those determinations.But again, the exponential growth of this virus is pretty clearly established. If that was the case, you can back up to those dates, estimate the number of infected, and in an open society you can estimate when "peak infection" should have happened. When deaths should have spiked, hospitals overrun.
So if that's not something that happened, some assumptions have to be wrong. Perhaps the transmissability of the disease? NO reason to believe that has changed. Maybe it just hit healthy populations - but again community spread would've hit tons of older folks with the corresponding deaths and overruning of hosptials.
So...how does this story work with what we're clearly seeing across the country with Coronavirus, its spread, its severity, and it's hit on hospitals at the time predicted by those epidemiologists the media report on.
I still don't see the way this could have been widespread in december as the outbreak would have had a different form.
Yep looking forward to all those anecdotal stories being proven out when they have the time to fully dig into what happened. The good news is that this IS all provable once the tests can be done. A whole lot of people are going to feel awfully foolish when it's all said on done. We just can't say for sure which side yet.Stories don’t equal science. All that is irrelevant info until you can bring some data to the table.
`Again, it's not just how the deaths are recorded. Currently, hospitals are being overrun with patients...not just patients who can be mistaken for flu, but intubation after intubation, ventilator after ventilator. Deaths at volumes nurses are having PTSD.Remember in December, January, and February these deaths which may have been CV19 in some cases were being recorded as flu, pneumonia, other larger causes of death, etc. The argument is that the deaths were still there, they just got lost in the noise. 20K have died from this in the U.S. according to the current numbers. But that's now counting almost all flu and pneumonia deaths as CV19. Prior to March those spikes and issues in places that may have been hit first and the ensuing deaths were absorbed into other stats. The numbers are impossibly hard to get a real count right now. Just as many CV19 deaths would have been missed in the early months, many of the ones now aren't CV19. They're admittedly going to have to go back later and make those determinations.
That's like asking why do we accept 40,000 U.S. flu deaths each year. Or 60 million deaths total from all causes worldwide. The reason people will want to know is because of the toll our potentially misplaced measures will take on potentially many multiple more lives.Questioning the timing is one of the oddest tangents. It’s pretty clear when the cases started, the hospitalizations, the deaths. It’s such an odd conversation. What are people trying to say exactly?
Just seems like so much noise to complicate the situation unnecessarily. What’s the end game? “Look it’s no big deal”? Tell that to the families of the 20K who have died. “It’s been here since December probably and me and my wife think we had it”. So what?
The State of New York is already at 0.044% of all its citizens dying from it.... with mitigation efforts.Spain is already at 0.035% of all its citizens dying from it.... with mitigation efforts.
The goal seems to be to support you can't listen to the MSM.Questioning the timing is one of the oddest tangents. It’s pretty clear when the cases started, the hospitalizations, the deaths. It’s such an odd conversation. What are people trying to say exactly?
Just seems like so much noise to complicate the situation unnecessarily. What’s the end game? “Look it’s no big deal”? Tell that to the families of the 20K who have died. “It’s been here since December probably and me and my wife think we had it”. So what?
It is pretty clear your not a Dr. How hard is it to say otherwise, others have asked and all you do is get snarky with them. I could Google like you, but I don't need to. So keep me on ignore if you're not going to answer and I'll keep ignoring you. But I will continue to laugh at your fear mongering.Since you seem pretty comfortable in your medical knowledge, can you explain how you'd interpret antibody testing? I'd like to know if you're talking about IgM, IgG, or both - and don't forget to include a reminder how disease prevalence influences positive predictive value.
If that's above your pay grade, a laughing emoji will suffice.
I’m not looking to be right or win an internet argument. I’m looking at data we currently have when I try to make decisions for people in my world. If this virus has been here since November and it turns out it kills .01% of people I’ll feel relieved, not foolish.Yep looking forward to all those anecdotal stories being proven out when they have the time to fully dig into what happened. The good news is that this IS all provable once the tests can be done. A whole lot of people are going to feel awfully foolish when it's all said on done. We just can say for sure which side yet.
They want to open society back up. Since it has been here longer they can say it is not such a big deal and being blown out of proportion.Questioning the timing is one of the oddest tangents. It’s pretty clear when the cases started, the hospitalizations, the deaths. It’s such an odd conversation. What are people trying to say exactly?
Just seems like so much noise to complicate the situation unnecessarily. What’s the end game? “Look it’s no big deal”? Tell that to the families of the 20K who have died. “It’s been here since December probably and me and my wife think we had it”. So what?
Yep, I made this all up and never posted links to the doctors and scientists who back these numbers and arguments.I’m not looking to be right or win an internet argument. I’m looking at data we currently have when I try to make decisions for people in my world. If this virus has been here since November and it turns out it kills .01% of people I’ll feel relieved, not foolish.
I’m not going to change my opinion on covid-19 because you say that there were spikes in California in December. You can’t just make assertions and expect people to believe you if you aren’t bringing facts to the table.
Probably higher. We had around 1100 people die in the street or their home April 1-5. None of those were classified Covid-19, but it was 8 times higher than the previous year.The State of New York is already at 0.044% of all its citizens dying from it.... with mitigation efforts.
and
The City of New York is already at 0.076% of all its citizens dying from it.... with mitigation efforts.
From my observation from social media, it's gaining steam.They want to open society back up. Since it has been here longer they can say it is not such a big deal and being blown out of proportion.
Are you a doctor?It is pretty clear your not a Dr. How hard is it to say otherwise, others have asked and all you do is get snarky with them. I could Google like you, but I don't need to. So keep me on ignore if you're not going to answer and I'll keep ignoring you. But I will continue to laugh at your fear mongering.
Mr A, this is a huge thread. I don’t recall anyone providing proof that there were big spikes in California, Nevada and Washington in December and January. If you’ve provided that, my apologies.Yep, I made this all up and never posted links to the doctors and scientists who back these numbers and arguments.
Where do you get off saying nonsense like that?
cardiac arrests are up something like 400% in NYC. those aren't being counted as COVID deaths.Probably higher. We had around 1100 people die in the street or their home April 1-5. None of those were classified Covid-19, but it was 8 times higher than the previous year.
ETA - for NYC
What number would make you concerned enough to justify the current containment measures?Yep missed a zero. Even better.
If 327,000 Americans die it will be 0.1% that fell victim to this. Those aren't numbers that should make someone afraid to venture into public without some underlying condition. And 327,000 Americans are not going to die of this. I'll happily delete my account if we ever hit that number.
And nearly half of the New York deaths have been in the last 5 days.Probably higher. We had around 1100 people die in the street or their home April 1-5. None of those were classified Covid-19, but it was 8 times higher than the previous year.
ETA - for NYC
Agree, of course it would be much worse if we didn’t have these measures.From my observation from social media, it's gaining steam.
Would it be inappropriate to respond to it by saying "Ok.... you go first" in my best Sallah voice (Raiders of the Lost Ark above the snake pit)?
For many people on social media or the internet, it’s 100% a political POV. These ideas are not unique to 4-5 posters on this board. They are sprouting like wildfire right now on many websites and twitter accounts that lean a certain way.From my observation from social media, it's gaining steam.
Would it be inappropriate to respond to it by saying "Ok.... you go first" in my best Sallah voice (Raiders of the Lost Ark above the snake pit)?
When you are convinced that the media is just always lying it is hard to change that view.For many people on social media or the internet, it’s 100% a political POV. These ideas are not unique to 4-5 posters on this board. They are sprouting like wildfire right now on many websites and twitter accounts that lean a certain way.
This is a sad reality. My dad had a heart attack last year. He rushed to the hospital. Was minutes from dying. He’s fine now.cardiac arrests are up something like 400% in NYC. those aren't being counted as COVID deaths.
People are trying to create facts to fit their theory that it's "just the flu." If it's been around since November (as some outliers claim), and 30% of people getting tested show antibodies (as was reported today based on an interview with a random phlebotomist), then the mortality rate is extremely low, we're already pushing the threshold of herd immunity, and we should just re-open the economy. Gee, I wonder where this is coming from?Questioning the timing is one of the oddest tangents. It’s pretty clear when the cases started, the hospitalizations, the deaths. It’s such an odd conversation. What are people trying to say exactly?
Just seems like so much noise to complicate the situation unnecessarily. What’s the end game? “Look it’s no big deal”? Tell that to the families of the 20K who have died. “It’s been here since December probably and me and my wife think we had it”. So what?
There is a link in here for the green frog sanitizer. They sell by the gallon. I bought one, like $35Anyone have any luck getting Gloves, Masks, and/or Hand Sanitizer Online?
TIA
You literally don't have proof of many of the suggestions you share. Remember talking about 12-13% mortality rates? You're posting links and talking about the conclusions and finding of the experts you're listening to. I'm not claiming these to be my findings, are you claiming what you link to be yours? The doctors and experts I'm reading are saying that when it's all said and done we'll see a far lower mortality rate than assumed and we'll see this was around a lot longer than assumed. And we'll then realize that more targeted and more intelligent measures would have made more sense than shutting down society. I've shared the links to back up why these very credible people feel this way.Mr A, this is a huge thread. I don’t recall anyone providing proof that there were big spikes in California, Nevada and Washington in December and January. If you’ve provided that, my apologies.
Surely you understand that this is not the commonly accepted timeline provided by the medical community, so forgive me if I want to see proof before I just....believe you.
The goal seems to be to support you can't listen to the MSM.
One of the biggest issues in this country is folks not having any real idea on who are the more trustworthy sources of information int he country. Clearly the MSM has been doing a great job on this, and largely they've been reporting what the experts have been saying.
Sadly, there's a huge element of folks who want to discount the experts and question the MSM.
It does no one any good.
That’s unfortunate, and probably what I expected the reason was. It’s dangerous denier type mentality that we don’t need.They want to open society back up. Since it has been here longer they can say it is not such a big deal and being blown out of proportion.
What are your scientists and doctors suggesting we do right now and over the next 4 weeks? .Yep, I made this all up and never posted links to the doctors and scientists who back these numbers and arguments.
Where do you get off saying nonsense like that?
Why go political on this?For many people on social media or the internet, it’s 100% a political POV. These ideas are not unique to 4-5 posters on this board. They are sprouting like wildfire right now on many websites and twitter accounts that lean a certain way.
@Mr Anonymous - how do you account for this? If COVID has been here since November, and if it was running wild thru December and on, doesn't it stand to reason that the November strain would be more common today than the one identified in January?I'm assuming that if the bug were here in November, it didn't die out in January. It's descendants would be part of the current epidemic and show up in the sampling used for the study. If it were there, it would show up as a separate branch of the family tree.The first KNOWN case in January has been documented for awhile. Do you assume that further studies and testing won't find earlier cases?
Most of this stuff is perishable, and a lot of the food banks here in Florida are full already. Farmers are letting crops rot in the field.Why isn’t this stuff going to food banks?
Please list any assertions I’ve made that I don’t have proof for. Name one. I literally have no idea what you’re talking about.You literally don't have proof of many of the suggestions you share. Remember talking about 12-13% mortality rates? You're posting links and talking about the conclusions and finding of the experts you're listening to. I'm not claiming these to be my findings, are you claiming what you link to be yours? The doctors and experts I'm reading are saying that when it's all said and done we'll see a far lower mortality rate than assumed and we'll see this was around a lot longer than assumed. And we'll then realize that more targeted and more intelligent measures would have made more sense than shutting down society. I've shared the links to back up why these very credible people feel this way.
It's like everyone is ignoring countries who took a far different approach than shutting everything down and had much greater success with there approach.
I got a bunch of hand sanitizer from an auto parts company. Rev Auto. Arrived in a week. It's 70%+ rubbing alcohol and some gel.Anyone have any luck getting Gloves, Masks, and/or Hand Sanitizer Online?
TIA
Knock it off trying to speak as though you know where people are getting their info or what political perspective they have. Why are you so desperate to belittle the other side? I'm posting links to credible, well respected doctors and scientists and unquestioned publications. Trying to cast the other side as purveyors of social media is convenient, petty, and shows just how insecure you are.For many people on social media or the internet, it’s 100% a political POV. These ideas are not unique to 4-5 posters on this board. They are sprouting like wildfire right now on many websites and twitter accounts that lean a certain way.
Never said I was, and not making fun of people like Terminx has done. I'm a lowly respiratory therapist. What are you for my notebook?Are you a doctor?
Although the early symptoms of Covid-19 aren't especially noteworthy, the findings in more advanced disease are. As others have posted, it creates an unusual flavor of ARDS, which sometimes is manageable with prolonged ventilation/ECMO, but right at the point when patients seem to be turning the corner, they die of cardiac complications. I can think of no other disease which progresses in such a way. I can assure you this would garner attention, and lead to extra autopsies to investigate the deaths, at the minimum.Remember in December, January, and February these deaths which may have been CV19 in some cases were being recorded as flu, pneumonia, other larger causes of death, etc. The argument is that the deaths were still there, they just got lost in the noise. 20K have died from this in the U.S. according to the current numbers. But that's now counting almost all flu and pneumonia deaths as CV19. Prior to March those spikes and issues in places that may have been hit first and the ensuing deaths were absorbed into other stats. The numbers are impossibly hard to get a real count right now. Just as many CV19 deaths would have been missed in the early months, many of the ones now aren't CV19. They're admittedly going to have to go back later and make those determinations.
What's more, if it was present in November or December, given the exponential growth these viruses exhibit for a virus no one is immune to and no vaccines exist for, the spread in a community or series of communities is fairly well known.@Mr Anonymous - how do you account for this? If COVID has been here since November, and if it was running wild thru December and on, doesn't it stand to reason that the November strain would be more common today than the one identified in January?
And if so, how could it possibly be missed in the genetic sampling an mapping done for this study? Because its quite clear how and when the virus came to the US.
Not only recognizing something is awry, but recognizing the sheer scale of something going wrong.Although the early symptoms of Covid-19 aren't especially noteworthy, the findings in more advanced disease are. As others have posted, it creates an unusual flavor of ARDS, which sometimes is manageable with prolonged ventilation/ECMO, but right at the point when patients seem to be turning the corner, they die of cardiac complications. I can think of no other disease which progresses in such a way. I can assure you this would garner attention, and lead to extra autopsies to investigate the deaths, at the minimum.
I don't think you're giving medical personnel enough credit to recognize something is awry.
I’m insecure? Dude, you’ve really lost me. I made a genuine effort tonight to reach out to you and have a rational discussion.Knock it off trying to speak as though you know where people are getting their info or what political perspective they have. Why are you so desperate to belittle the other side? I'm posting links to credible, well respected doctors and scientists and unquestioned publications. Trying to cast the other side as purveyors of social media is convenient, petty, and shows just how insecure you are.
The only reason for hospitals being overwhelmed is because of the media. The caused this crap storm.What's more, if it was present in November or December, given the exponential growth these viruses exhibit for a virus no one is immune to and no vaccines exist for, the spread in a community or series of communities is fairly well known.
However, what we've seen in the MSM in terms of predictions from experts about when hospitals will be overrun has been fairly on the ball. So I'm open to being wrong. I'm open to the idea I'm listening to the wrong sources, but based on the predictions that one can make based on the initial infection rates, the timlines of those infections, and the current death/critical rates...those the MSM is referencing have a fairly good track record.
If the infections started way back in November/December in the US, there would have to be some explanations on why hospitals weren't overrun nationally considerably earlier, again given the mathematically consistent exponential spread of the disease.
Agree. At one point a few months back, 80% of my sons class was home with the flu or a virus like the flu. a huge percentage of the entire school was ill. Didn't think much about it at the time, but that is odd and definitely not the normEach person that got sick was sick acutely for a day, spike in fever, then within 36 hours was completely fine. A week goes by, the next person in the family gets it. Same symptoms, same short period of time. Doctor visit, says its' a virus and it'll pass.
That was unusual for us. Again, we've had kids in the house for 8 years, and have 3 now. This ain't our first rodeo. Also, day schools never shut down in our area, as well as some schools, due to high volume of flu. That, also, was unusual.
Can't wait with 11 kids and a wife gonna party til my liver is gone!My coworker said he got his stimulus money direct deposited today - $3400. $1200 for himself, $1200 for his wife, and $500 each for his 2 kids.
That said, I have a question if anyone can answer it. My brother owes back child support payments, and the IRS has taken all of his return each of the last 3 years. Can they take his stimulus money too?