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Correct...the good thing about the hospital is it IS new...it's only been opened a few years. It's simply not big enough to deal with something like this. Will be interesting to see how long it takes for this to make the news or if it's ever reported in a daily briefing. In my experience, this is the exact demographic that gets "accidentally overlooked" more often times than not. I'm not holding my breath.
I don't know how we can assume that the majority of people will continue to distance, be careful, wash their hands, wear masks, stay home if they're able.
careful. dont argue too much with him or he will report you. or maybe he will put you on ignore so he doesn't have to read anything he doesn't believe in. he wants the country to continue being shut down until the COVID is completely eradicated and then stay closed and quarantined for 6 months after that just to be sure. really not worth the effort trying to convince him of anything.
That stinks Commish, I hope your MIL stays safe. If you're anywhere around my age (and I know you've been on this board a long time so you probably are), that probably puts your MIL into a tough age bracket to be faced with this level of exposure. :(
Federal guidelines for reopening suggest you need to be able to test at a certain level to be able to open safely and manage any spikes. These guidelines are referring to active infection tests, not antibody test. Antibody tests do little to help monitor active outbreaks or assist in contact tracing.
Somehow the ignore feature showed me this post. I don't recall ever reporting anyone. I have made frequent use of the ignore feature, though it only works half the time. Your next statements about what I want are all completely false, which is probably why I had you on ignore to begin with.
Crisis averted. Just called the Dentist and they did indicate that the nitrous option is still available. Sign me up.
She's in her early 60s but you'd never know it. She's out boozin' it up with us, going fishing, diving, you name it. I'm concerned for her because of exposure, but I don't think she'd have a problem getting over it if she had it...at least that's what I tell myself. The good (?) thing is, her mother, who's in Alabama, has fallen ill so she's not there right now. She's in Alabama with her. Of course that leave my FIL at home all by himself. He has diabetes and requires dialysis. He thinks the virus is a hoax. My wife is freakin' out. If he gets it, he will most certainly die.
I don't that's true now, but haven't looked specifically in the last couple weeks. It was definitely true as NYC came down off its peak, but my impression is that a lot of states are seeing declines now.
My comment was in reference to the timeline of when HCQ was being discussed here, not to whether it works.
Looking at one hot-spot state, Louisiana:
IIRC @Nathan R. Jessep posted the formula for calculating recovery, similar to other places I've seen, something like (date of positive test + x days) and (not dead and not hospitalized) < todays date
How bad it will be is ultimately a function of time and specific (i.e. local and continuously changing) transmissibility. The Rt could be well below what it was and it could still be very bad...eventually. I like how Angele Merkle described the situation per a Guardian article.
I have been paying attention to the Rt. It takes into account the mitigation, correct? Without mitigation the estimates for Rt have been ~ between 2-3. Can't we keep certain mitigation measures in place (as all states are while re-opening) to keep the Rt around 1, which is where it has been for most states throughout the pandemic, until there's a safe vaccine available?
More down than up, but also more places still not much off their peaks than I expected too.
@Mr Anonymous has pointed out previously what wasn't done in nursing homes at the beginning of the initial wave citing nearly 100,000 layoffs. Florida shifting resources to those types of facilities, in addition to other long term care facilities focused on the elderly, went a long way in beating their early predictions.
I also heard this could be why some prison populations are doing well against it.
I recall you posting about the inconclusive test. That is pretty nuts and again shows how hard it is to get a handle on the actual numbers. Hope your wife doesn't have any long lasting impacts from it and that it's all just good news having it in the rear view mirror.
I don't really read mr anonymous' posts anymore but I just googled and found that in 2019 there were 1.6m people employed in nursing homes. Not sure I can answer if 100k is a high number or not or whether these people were clerks or nurses.
This would be fantastic news and go a long way to understanding what's happening with this virus and how to mitigate it.
The article itself has "Pre-proof" in bold at the top of the cover page, and a "Journal Pre-proof" watermark on the text pages. Also, the authors note on the cover page that the study has not yet undergone review.
That's too bad. He's made some pretty good points.
What usually goes unconsidered are (a) just how many are vulnerable as a percentage of the general population, and (b) the great difficulty of isolating that large a cohort.
The ignore feature works when you click in to a new page. It usually does not work when you refresh a page to see new replies.
The most frequent glitches for me is when I reply at the same time as an ignored poster :ugh:
Does that mean no one else is vulnerable? What about long term lung damage? Co morbidities?
Of course not. They aren't being monitored now. I'm strictly focused on ways the general population can safely get back to work while protecting those people most vulnerable at the same time. If they aren't interested in being protected they can't be helped.
Yeah ... at the moment, I think we are generally OK. Louisiana doesn't really have dense urban areas, little reliance on public transportation, and plenty of outdoor recreation. We have a few things working for us, especially as large public gatherings (chiefly our popular spring festivals) have been avoided.
I agree. Life would be so much easier if it were completely objective 100% of the time.
It's a lot easier to write the sentence " those vulnerable should self isolate" than actually implement a coherent policy to that effect, not least across 50 states
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