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*** OFFICIAL *** COVID-19 CoronaVirus Thread

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2 minutes ago, Redwes25 said:

Actually, it is really hard to tell this.  Back in March there weren't testing anywhere for this.   Now we at least have decent testing (could be much better) so we know about a lot more cases now then we did then.  Are the number of reported cases now going to be enough to swamp the hospitals?  I fear that it will but I don't know.  

I have no idea when Florida will cross the rubicon of where Italy/Spain/NYC were when they instituted lockdowns.  It would be an interesting research project.  I used deaths because we can't use cases.  Italy's early testing was poor, so we really can't compare the two using that stat.  

My main point was that the lockdown came, and then the peak came 3 weeks later.  So every day Florida and other states wait to do something, they are pushing that 3-week peak out another day, and making that peak worse.

 

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5 minutes ago, worrierking said:

Pfizer vaccine shows promise.  This isn't a stock price pump and dump, as they are showing the data.  I am rooting for this one since I do own a small amount of stock.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/virus-shot-from-pfizer-biontech-shows-promise-in-early-test/ar-BB16cRHP?ocid=FinanceShimLayer

Derek Lowe thinks it's positive news, so that's even better:

https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/07/01/pfizer-and-biontechs-first-vaccine-candidate

 

 

Very, very hopeful this works out!

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52 minutes ago, bostonfred said:

It doesn't matter what the rest of the world is doing.

Number of deaths in 2020 is highee than the number of deaths in other years.

That's expected. 

It's more than the number of deaths in other years PLUS the number of reported Covid-19 deaths, and by a large amount.  

That's not expected.

Either there is another cause or there's under reporting of covid deaths.  

Those other possible causes were also studied.  

What other explanation is there?  The US is under reporting covid deaths.  Period. Whether that has anything to do with politics or other countries, that's not a topic for this thread.  

This is interesting. I can’t keep up with this whole thread - can you post the link to the data you reference here?

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42 minutes ago, CR69 said:

Ugh. I just sent my son back to daycare today.  I was feeling some optimism that there really had not been any outbreaks at child care centers.

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Just now, Don Quixote said:

Ugh. I just sent my son back to daycare today.  I was feeling some optimism that there really had not been any outbreaks at child care centers.

It’s really weird that there haven’t been more and that this one is so large. Hoping it doesn’t become more widespread though. 

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My uncle tested positive. Saw him on Father’s Day. I’m online to get drive-thru tested right now. 

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42 minutes ago, shader said:

Very, very hopeful this works out!

I'm cheering against this vaccine, I hate bars and sports, and yoga pants.  

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2 minutes ago, Man In The Box said:

My uncle tested positive. Saw him on Father’s Day. I’m online to get drive-thru tested right now. 

🤞

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7 minutes ago, CR69 said:
8 minutes ago, Don Quixote said:

Ugh. I just sent my son back to daycare today.  I was feeling some optimism that there really had not been any outbreaks at child care centers.

It’s really weird that there haven’t been more and that this one is so large. Hoping it doesn’t become more widespread though. 

Daycare centers here (New Orleans metro) have remained open the entire time, even when K-12 schools were closed down. If there have been any outbreaks related to our local daycare centers, they haven't made local news.

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Has there been discussion on the home test you can get by fedex?  This doesn't seem to be a suggestion anyone makes here so is it BS?  I have someone asking me if it's even real.  

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Don Quixote said:

Ugh. I just sent my son back to daycare today.  I was feeling some optimism that there really had not been any outbreaks at child care centers.

There was a study out of Italy that detailed kids living in a house with a family full of positive cases never tested positive and a separate study out of Iceland that showed that young kids especially caught the virus at a significantly lower rate.

 

 

Edited by MTskibum

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9 minutes ago, jplvr said:

I’ve seen it rumored that there are lots of people who essentially have immunity from the outset, as implied by one of the studies in your link. While that doesn’t change anything about current outbreaks, it could be great news for the chances of a 2nd outbreak in any hard hit area.

I see it as a study with real promise. Not sure what @Doug B or @Terminalxylem or others think?

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Been fighting with anti-maskers on Facebook. So frustrating. Purposefully ignorant of the data, generally pro-Trump, anti-government, conspiracy believing nut-jobs disguised as normal reasonable humans.

 

But....Even the most conservative Blue Lives Matter, Trump loving nurses at work are frustrated and angry with Trumps responses to this thing. (Nurses are generally all over the political spectrum, but there are tons of them married to cops)

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41 minutes ago, shader said:

I’ve seen it rumored that there are lots of people who essentially have immunity from the outset, as implied by one of the studies in your link. While that doesn’t change anything about current outbreaks, it could be great news for the chances of a 2nd outbreak in any hard hit area.

I see it as a study with real promise. Not sure what @Doug B or @Terminalxylem or others think?

That part was most interesting to me as well. 

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2 hours ago, Man In The Box said:

My uncle tested positive. Saw him on Father’s Day. I’m online to get drive-thru tested right now. 

That was almost 2 weeks ago. Do you have any symptoms?

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getting public service calls and texts in Austin now about the rapid spread of coronavirus.  that's new.

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Illustrating how little we know about this virus longterm, is a study from Belgium.

https://www.brusselstimes.com/all-news/belgium-all-news/health/119517/only-5-5-of-belgians-have-coronavirus-antibodies-study-shows/

The numbers of people with antibodies in their studies are dropping.  

One possibility here is that some people come in contact with the virus, gain some antibodies (we would think of them as asymptomatic at this point), but then a few months later the antibodies are gone.  

Therefore in that scenario it's possible that they would not have immunity.

An NYT podcast I was listening to about two weeks ago was talking about how we really don't know if this immunity is going to happen, and we don't know for how long it will happen.  

 

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48 minutes ago, shader said:
1 hour ago, jplvr said:

I’ve seen it rumored that there are lots of people who essentially have immunity from the outset, as implied by one of the studies in your link. While that doesn’t change anything about current outbreaks, it could be great news for the chances of a 2nd outbreak in any hard hit area.

I see it as a study with real promise. Not sure what @Doug B or @Terminalxylem or others think?


Funny you should ask. I was earlier reading a Guardian piece about how it's been difficult for epidemiologists to account for certain areas NOT getting hit hard, or certain areas having unusually low numbers of deaths even when they have plenty of cases.

One working theory -- probably still kind of fluffy and fringe but worth study IMHO -- is that past exposure to other coronaviruses (or even other types of viruses altogether) can give partial immunity to COVID-19 (spoilered for length but not all that long, worth the read):


In the Observer last weekend, neuroscientist and Covid-19 modeller Karl Friston of University College London suggested – on the basis of his comparison of German and British data – that the relatively low fatality rates recorded in Germany were due to unknown protective factors at play. “This is like dark matter in the universe: we can’t see it, but we know it must be there to account for what we can see,” he said.

While this is a novel view – most experts praise Germany’s lockdown and systematic testing regime – others are working hard to identify factors which are modulating the spread of Covid-19 and in doing so could explain other puzzles – such as why Japan seems to have avoided a lethal first wave despite its relatively old population and lacklustre public health response, or why Denmark, Austria and the Czech Republic have reported no surge in cases despite their early easing of lockdown measures. That could shape how governments manage the risks of a second wave.

One thing seems clear: there are many reasons why one population is more protected than another. Theoretical epidemiologist Sunetra Gupta of the University of Oxford thinks that a key one is immunity that was built up prior to this pandemic. “It’s been my hunch for a very long time that there is a lot of cross-protection from severe disease and death conferred by other circulating, related bugs,” she says. Though that cross-protection may not protect a person from infection in the first place, it could ensure they only experience relatively mild symptoms.

Gupta’s hunch has remained just that, because of the lack of data on immunity to Covid-19. Antibody testing, as we know, was slow to get going and unreliable to begin with, and the results to date suggest that the percentages of populations carrying antibodies to the Covid-19 virus are often in single or low-double digits. New, more sensitive antibody tests that have become available in recent weeks could soon provide a much more accurate picture if deployed widely enough, but there are already hints that the results to date may be underestimates.

First there was evidence based on diagnostic testing of postmortem samples from patients who died in December that the virus was circulating in western countries – notably France and the US – about a month earlier than was initially thought. New research shows that another component of the human immune response – T cells, which help orchestrate the antibody response – show memory for coronavirus infection when exposed to Sars-CoV-2, the virus that causes Covid-19.

In a paper published in Cell on 14 May, researchers at the La Jolla Institute for Immunology in California reported that T cells in blood drawn from people between 2015 and 2018 recognised and reacted to fragments of the Sars-CoV-2 virus. “These people could not have possibly seen Sars-CoV-2,” says one of the paper’s senior authors, Alessandro Sette. “The most reasonable hypothesis is that this reactivity is really cross-reactivity with the cousins of Sars-CoV-2 – the common cold coronaviruses which circulate very broadly and generally give rather mild disease.”

The finding supported an earlier one from a group at the Charité hospital in Berlin, detecting T cell reactivity to proteins in the Sars-CoV-2 virus in 83% of Covid-19 patients but also in 34% of healthy volunteers who had tested negative for the virus itself.

David Heymann, an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine who advises the World Health Organization on Covid-19, says these results are important, but cautions that cross-reactivity doesn’t necessarily translate into immunity. To determine whether it does would involve following a large number of people who show such cross-reactivity to see if they are protected, if not from infection with Covid-19, then at least from severe forms of the disease.

It is, however, a reasonable hypothesis that exposure to other coronaviruses could confer protection, Sette says. “We’ve seen it before, for example with the 2009 H1N1 flu.” Older people fared well compared to other age groups in that pandemic, he says, probably because their immune systems had been primed by exposure to similar flu strains from decades before. That could be the reason the 2009 pandemic was less lethal than other flu pandemics in history, killing an estimated 200,000 people globally.

If exposure to other coronaviruses does protect against Covid-19, Gupta says, then variability in that exposure could explain much of the difference in fatality rates between countries or regions. Exposure to the related virus that caused the epidemic of severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) in 2002-4 might have afforded some protection to east Asians against Covid-19, for example.

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My brother (late 40s) just tested positive on Monday (2 days ago).

Woke up on Monday achy, mild fever, mild headache.  He's a doc, so he got tested that morning and got the results that afternoon.  Went home, began quarantine in the basement.  Yesterday he had the dry cough but the other symptoms had abated.  Today he reports himself basically 90% of the way back to normal.

So it looks like for him it will be a non-event, other than a couple of weeks of no work and minimal family.  Awesome.  We have friends who have been hit much harder.

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Dr. Charles Lockwood, USF: Despite a seven-fold increase in daily cases of COVID-19, Florida is down to about 32 deaths per day. The case fatality rate for the state has dropped from about 5.5% of cases resulting in death to 2.3%, one of the lowest of any state.

Further evidence we're not dealing with the same situation as March/April. I'm sure shader's death predictions will come true any day now though.

One more thing....

TWO WEEKS!!!!

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Posted (edited)
29 minutes ago, shader said:

Illustrating how little we know about this virus longterm, is a study from Belgium.

https://www.brusselstimes.com/all-news/belgium-all-news/health/119517/only-5-5-of-belgians-have-coronavirus-antibodies-study-shows/

The numbers of people with antibodies in their studies are dropping.  

One possibility here is that some people come in contact with the virus, gain some antibodies (we would think of them as asymptomatic at this point), but then a few months later the antibodies are gone.  

Therefore in that scenario it's possible that they would not have immunity.

One question I have about antibodies is: Does the body need to have antibodies in the blood at all times ready to go against a given pathogen? For example, do I still have active chicken pox antibodies in my blood right now, over 40 years after my childhood infection?

Or is it instead that I may no longer have chicken pox antibodies in my blood, but my immune system can now recognize the chicken pox virus and quickly "manufacture" chicken pox antibodies as needed upon exposure?

And could it be that way for COVID-19? The antibodies go away, but the immune system can recognize the virus and then produce more antibodies in the event of a second exposure?

Edited by Doug B

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Posted (edited)
7 minutes ago, Mr Anonymous said:

Further evidence we're not dealing with the same situation as March/April. I'm sure shader's death predictions will come true any day now though.

One more thing....

TWO WEEKS!!!!

So a seven fold increase in infected (that would be 700%), and a death rate that dropped  only 60%, and you think the deaths are a joking matter? Wow.

Edited by DallasDMac
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2 minutes ago, DallasDMac said:

So a seven fold increase in infected (that would be 700%), and a death rate that dropped  only 60%, and you think the deaths are a joking matter? Wow.

Where's the joke, those are facts. The joke rests in how we still are making poor decisions based on the distribution of only half the available set of facts.

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This isn't even complicated. These same number of people were walking around with this in March and April, they just weren't being tested. And we had governors sending Covid patients to nursing homes. The inevitability that we will have worse suffering to come, is rooted in misinformation and the idea that we would repeat the same stupid mistakes. It also relies on younger people suddenly dying from the same virus most didn't even know they had in the Spring. Note: these same age groups are still walking into clinics symptom-free testing positive and then returning to full health 2-3 days later. Sheer volume of positives DOES NOT equal uncontrollable hospitalizations or a surge in deaths. Hospitals are built to run on 85-90% ICU occupancy and honest administrators are admitting that their biggest issue in their ICUs are all the non-Covid patients who put off serious issues too long because they were afraid to come in.

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Posted (edited)
21 minutes ago, Mr Anonymous said:
Quote

Dr. Charles Lockwood, USF: Despite a seven-fold increase in daily cases of COVID-19, Florida is down to about 32 deaths per day. The case fatality rate for the state has dropped from about 5.5% of cases resulting in death to 2.3%, one of the lowest of any state.

Further evidence we're not dealing with the same situation as March/April. I'm sure shader's death predictions will come true any day now though.

The part in red ... over what time frame?

Over the past two weeks (6/18 - 7/1), it's been 38 per day. When you take out weekend-lag days (Sundays & Mondays) from that same time period, it's 45 per day:

     Date     Cases   Deaths  Deaths on day
---------   -------   ------  -------------
 7/1/2020   158,997   3,550   45
6/30/2020   152,434   3,505   58
6/29/2020   146,341   3,447   28
6/28/2020   141,075   3,419   29
6/27/2020   132,545   3,390   24
6/26/2020   122,960   3,366   39
6/25/2020   114,018   3,327   46
6/24/2020   109,014   3,281   43
6/23/2020   103,503   3,238   65
6/22/2020   100,217   3,173   12
6/21/2020    97,291   3,161   17
6/20/2020    93,797   3,144   40
6/19/2020    89,748   3,104   43
6/18/2020    85,926   3,061   43

Not an immense difference, but if Dr. Lockwood is going to speak authoritatively, we need to know something about his underlying data. For instance: "32 deaths per day" over what time period?

Edited by Doug B
added data

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Posted (edited)
20 minutes ago, DallasDMac said:

So a seven fold increase in infected (that would be 700%), and a death rate that dropped  only 60%, and you think the deaths are a joking matter? Wow.

As JaxBill posted earlier, the average age of infection in Florida a few months ago was over 50.  Since age is the single biggest factor in death rate that's out there, a much lower median age (right now it's around 40) will lead to a lower death rate.

But on the flipside, the number of people in Florida with covid is going to be much higher than it was previously.  With a governor that refuses to lock down, it's difficult to see a scenario where Florida isn't losing a lot of people within 2-4 weeks.  It's a sad thing, but worse damage can be stopped with quick intervention.

If you're in the South, wear masks when you're out, and stay home as much as possible.

Edited by shader
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It's gotten to the point where I wish people would just friggin' wear a mask not just because it's that simple to control this virus, but it would also bring the numbers down low enough that they can no longer be manipulated to serve agendas for either side. If someone gives the complete picture, it just might be the first time.

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Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, shader said:

As JaxBill posted earlier, the average age of infection in Florida a few months ago was over 50.  Since age is the single biggest factor in death rate that's out there, a much lower median age (right now it's around 40) will lead to a lower death rate.

But on the flipside, the number of people in Florida with covid is going to be much higher than it was previously.  With a governor that refuses to lock down, it's difficult to see a scenario where Florida isn't losing a lot of people within 2-4 weeks.  It's a sad thing, but worse damage can be stopped with quick intervention.

If you're in the South, wear masks when you're out, and stay home as much as possible.

 

It's important to realize that treatments for all ages are substantially better and will continue to get better until we get a vaccine in Q4.

People aren't dying at the alarming rate they were three months ago.  Death rates are inching closer to flu death rates.

 

Edited by TripItUp

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I don't understand.  looking at the data, the current spike in positive cases started Jun 19th.  That will be two weeks on Friday.  Yet, deaths continue on the same general downwards trend since early May.

Shouldn't the deaths start to peak along with the higher cases?  What's going on?  

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, jobarules said:

That was almost 2 weeks ago. Do you have any symptoms?

No, none. Neither did he. He golfed with a friend who got pretty sick, so he got tested. Tests are local, free, and pretty painless so I felt like I should get one. When I scheduled the test it said 2-4 days for results. After I took it, the lady at the window said they are pretty backlogged and it would likely be 5-8 days. 

Edited by Man In The Box
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4 hours ago, Ministry of Pain said:

So like 3% of 1%?

Yes. Like 3 percent of one percent of the population is already dead so far this year, and tomorrow is thr exact midpoint of the year.  

And those numbers are under reported. The total number of deaths in the US is up by more than the 130,000 reported deaths so far, compared year over year with 2016-2019. Florida in particular has been reporting a huge spike in deaths from pneumonia, compared with the last 5 years. 

And unless there is a miracle curw, the second half of the year will likely have many more deaths than the first half. We are already seeing hospital overrun and unavailability of ventilators on july 1st. We were nowhere near this point on January first. The vast majority of those deaths have been in the last three months, and the new cases are increasing, not decreasing.

By the end of the year, it may be close to .1 percent of the population dead from this virus.  And that's just the deaths. Many more will have permanent effects, while others will only cough up blood for a few weeks, be unable to work, lose their healthcare coverage and put anyone who visits them or lives with them in danger. 

But let's forget all that. What's a couple hundred thousand deaths compared to, say, heart disease, which kills a little over 600,000 Americans a year?

Have you personally made any lifestyle changes to avoid the fraction of a percent chance that you will die of heart disease this year?  Do you get your blood pressure and cholesterol checked? Take any medication? Did you lose weight or do cardio for something that only kills a couple percent of a percent of the population each year? 

Cancer kills around 600,000 people a year, but that's all forms of cancer. 

Skin cancer, colorectal cancer and prostate cancer kill about 120,000 people combined each year in the US. Do you wear sunblock? Have you let your doctor give you the wiggly finger?

Back in 1982, there were about 27,000 drunk driving deaths in the U.S. That number is down by about two thirds. Do you drink and drive? Would you let your friends drink and drive?  It doesnt kill nearly as many people as Covid. 

We routinely change our behavior for things that are far less dangerous than Covid, and in ways that are far more invasive. There's an ongoing debate in the medical community whether digital rectal exams are even effective, and since they are often followed by a colonoscopy it may make more sense to just have more colonoscopies and not have anyone put fingers up butts. Doctors and patients alike should be thrilled to think that might not be necessary anymore - yet people who routinely submit to a finger in their butt will complain about wearing masks. 

Wear your friggin mask. 

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Posted (edited)
17 minutes ago, bostonfred said:

And unless there is a miracle curw, the second half of the year will likely have many more deaths than the first half. We are already seeing hospital overrun and unavailability of ventilators on july 1st. We were nowhere near this point on January first. The vast majority of those deaths have been in the last three months, and the new cases are increasing, not decreasing.

 

Where is there a shortage of ventilators? I thought we currently have a huge excess of ventilators.

Bottom line, we will be able to handle this much better this time around. Deaths are still flat or declining while cases have been increasing for 2 weeks. There is no way in hell there are more deaths in the 2nd half of the year. Impossible. But keep with the we are all gonna die ramblings.

Edited by Coach Morris Buttermaker
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1 minute ago, Coach Morris Buttermaker said:

Where is there a shortage of ventilators? I thought we currently have a huge excess of ventilators.

Bottom line, we will be able to handle this much better this time around. Deaths are still flat or declining while cases have been increasing for 2 weeks. There is no way in hell there are more deaths in the 2nd half of the year. Impossible. But keep with the we are all gonna die ramblings.

Do you think posts like this are helpful?

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2 hours ago, renesauz said:

Been fighting with anti-maskers on Facebook. So frustrating. Purposefully ignorant of the data, generally pro-Trump, anti-government, conspiracy believing nut-jobs disguised as normal reasonable humans.

 

But....Even the most conservative Blue Lives Matter, Trump loving nurses at work are frustrated and angry with Trumps responses to this thing. (Nurses are generally all over the political spectrum, but there are tons of them married to cops)

A guy I know and have worked with previously was calling it all a hoax just yesterday.  My buddy that currently has covid bad also knows him and invited him to meet up and share a fully paid all-you-can-eat steak and seafood dinner. He has repeated the offer several times, as the idiot has gone completely silent.

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50k cases in the US today. Deaths seem to be down, but I think those are lagging behind cases, so I guess we'll have to see.

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1 hour ago, Mr Anonymous said:

This isn't even complicated. 

Seriously? I know you wrote much more but seriously? What's not complicated right now? Every action creates a reaction but if the action is the action you want to see in action then yeah it's not complicated. ;)

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I asked the Orlando doc I mentioned earlier for some clarification. He said they are preparing like there will be a surge, but they only have 7 ICU patients for Covid at the moment. He thinks 50 overall patients who are Covid positive in their system. I asked because he mentioned 50 patients in his worried post, and I remembered their expanded capacity was in the 60’s (28 ICU beds normally). 
 

Saw another post from a guy in Miami who is pretty connected. His admin friend from a local hospital group says they’re fine, but in the same post he pointed out there was an official release from another hospital group who was considering postponing electives. 
 

I think worry is fine. Fear is unnecessary at this point. 

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2 hours ago, Mr Anonymous said:

Further evidence we're not dealing with the same situation as March/April. I'm sure shader's death predictions will come true any day now though.

One more thing....

TWO WEEKS!!!!

Wait, what? 

Can you just clarify? Are you downplaying everyone testing positive? Are you saying that even though the numbers are staggering with positive tests that most citizens shouldn't be vigilant? 

Also let's not push Shader, his vertical/lane/POV is well established and it's wide with passengers so I wouldn't be so cavalier in assuming you might be right in 2 weeks...

I'll repeat that some hospitals in Palm Beach have filled their CV-19 units or sections of the hospital to keep others from contracting the virus. Even if you want to quarantine those folks who are sick there simply isn't room and eventually someone is going to get really sick and die that didn't need to. Do you not agree with this? 

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This just in... Connecticut still fighting strong against COVID.

Deaths - 2 dead for the 2nd day in a row, and single digits for 6 straight.  The last time we could say that, we had only 19 deaths.

Positivity - One half of 1 percent today - the lowest we've ever had.

Bars never opened here, and that is playing in a large role.  Masks are everywhere, and people are still "excellent to each other", which is all Bill & Ted really want.  I will try to speak for the bulk of the CT citizens when I say Gov Lamont is doing a great job.  He doesn't candy coat the bad stuff, and he's not all "Mission Accomplished" about the good stuff.

I am off for the next 4 days, so I think tonight is a good night to enjoy some local brews.  Cheers!

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, JaxBill said:

I give up let me know when I died.

4 months is the best you could do? Or is that just the pre-conditioned Jaguar fan allotment limit?   :D

Edited by BigSteelThrill
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How do I do one of those spoiler things for long posts?

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2 hours ago, Mr Anonymous said:

It's gotten to the point where I wish people would just friggin' wear a mask not just because it's that simple to control this virus, but it would also bring the numbers down low enough that they can no longer be manipulated to serve agendas for either side. If someone gives the complete picture, it just might be the first time.

I usually stay out of these threads (and the political forum) but what the heck are you talking about?  Agendas?  All anyone should care about right now is stopping covid asap.  One party seems to share the same opinion.  For anyone to try and compare parties "agendas" at this point would be laughable, if so many people were not dying.  The right has a lot of blood on their hands already imo.  And it seems to be getting worse by the day.  Thank god I live in RI. 

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22 minutes ago, TheWinz said:

This just in... Connecticut still fighting strong against COVID.

Deaths - 2 dead for the 2nd day in a row, and single digits for 6 straight.  The last time we could say that, we had only 19 deaths.

Positivity - One half of 1 percent today - the lowest we've ever had.

Bars never opened here, and that is playing in a large role.  Masks are everywhere, and people are still "excellent to each other", which is all Bill & Ted really want.  I will try to speak for the bulk of the CT citizens when I say Gov Lamont is doing a great job.  He doesn't candy coat the bad stuff, and he's not all "Mission Accomplished" about the good stuff.

I am off for the next 4 days, so I think tonight is a good night to enjoy some local brews.  Cheers!

Same in RI fwiw.  We are lucky.

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1 hour ago, Coach Morris Buttermaker said:

Where is there a shortage of ventilators? I thought we currently have a huge excess of ventilators.

Bottom line, we will be able to handle this much better this time around. Deaths are still flat or declining while cases have been increasing for 2 weeks. There is no way in hell there are more deaths in the 2nd half of the year. Impossible. But keep with the we are all gonna die ramblings.

https://www.kold.com/2020/06/25/banner-health-nears-capacity-covid-intensive-care-patients/

"The numbers keep going up and up and up and we don't know how high those numbers are going to go," Bime said.

He said the ICU at Banner Health is approaching an 80 percent capacity with the vast majority being COVID-19 patients. Nearly all COVID-19 patients in the ICU are on ventilators. The Arizona Department of Health Services shows 88 percent of ICU beds are in use and 46 percent of ventilators are in use which are the highest percentages for both ICU beds and ventilators on the data dashboard.

"This is the worst it has been," Bime said. "We went through the first wave and it was challenging but we did our very best."

That was a week ago. 

Arizona just reported a record number of new cases today. 

So did the United States, with our first day over 50,000 cases nationally. 

Newly reported cases are typically a leading indicator of deaths, not the other way around. 

You are welcome to consume disinformation but I would ask that you don't spread it because you are putting my family in danger.

 

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