AAABatteries
Footballguy
Vegas has a pretty good track record with these kind of things. They aren’t fond of losing money.
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***2020 Democrat Primary/Caucus Thread*** Biden Is Your Demoractic Nominee (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter BassNBrew
- Start date
Capella
Footballguy
Capella
Footballguy
Implied odds have Bernie at 37%. Next closest is Bloomberg at 18. Biden at 16 and Pete at 13.
Shula-holic
Footballguy
Makes sense. Even though she finished 3rd, the strength of Bernie has Warren's prospects looking very dim.
Capella
Footballguy
Huh? I'm seeing 12.6% with 62% reporting. She won't get many (any?) Delegates, but she's getting what I'd consider to be a meaningful portion of the vote.
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joffer
Footballguy
Capella
Footballguy
Phil Elliott
Footballguy
And the latest count is...still only 62% reported. 
IC FBGCav
Footballguy
IC FBGCav
Footballguy
IC FBGCav
Footballguy
We saddled the youth with impossible healthcare costs and education. Just a matter of time.
IC FBGCav
Footballguy
Not about Pete. Just voter turnout. It looks like it will be closeR to 2016 than 2008. That means dems need a moderate to get some old white people. Klobacher and Biden best option.
IC FBGCav
Footballguy
Sam Quentin
Footballguy
Has Perez resigned in disgrace yet? I am guessing know because the Ds never own up to anything.
Shula-holic
Footballguy
The turnout projection has been lost in all this. When these numbers finally get in, it will be interesting to see the totals. To be honest though, we may have a projected winner in New Hampshire before Iowa. Maybe they are trying to get that other 38% in all at once, but the fact this thing hasn't moved at all from 62% and we have no guidance from the IDP as to why, speaks volumes.
How come republicans know all the details when it comes to the other side? Hilarious.
IC FBGCav
Footballguy
If the turnout is low Bernie is done. Will freak everyone out as it should. I’d like Bernie. But it’s not the time.
IC FBGCav
Footballguy
KingPrawn
Footballguy
I like her and hope she gets the nomination. My guess though is she ends up as the VP choice. Checks a lot of boxes, especially if the nominee is somebody like Bloomberg from the east coast
Shula-holic
Footballguy
Everyone has been focused on how bad for Biden this is. These numbers aren't good for Warren either, especially if Bernie does indeed go on and win NH.
caustic
Footballguy
Pete was ahead 363-338 in the first batch of results so his lead has not changed at all.
KingPrawn
Footballguy
If Biden gets the nomination (and that's a big if) no need for Booker. According to Tim he's already strong among blacks. A midwestern like Amy would serve him better. Pete will need Booker.
OK, I think we're talking past each other. You're asking will Pete's lack of African American support be a problem that you need to worry about. And the answer to that is probably not in the south, though certainly it might be a concern if the pattern repeats itself outside of the south in cities like Detroit, Philly and Milwaukee.
A separate question is whether it's a problem that Pete needs to worry about, and the answer to that is absolutely, because it's one of his biggest hurdles to winning the nomination.
I have no idea who anyone will pick as their VP, but a good rule of thumb is that if you pick a VP to cover up a weakness, you're really just highlighting your weakness.
timschochet
Footballguy
ShamrockPride
Footballguy
All the major Bernie strongholds still missing from the data.
Sam Quentin
Footballguy
hagmania
Footballguy
parasaurolophus
Footballguy
I know you can online, but didnt think you could in vegas. I found a 538 article saying you cant, but that is from 2016, cant find anything more current.
IC FBGCav
Footballguy
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