Good question:smoo'd
Could answer multiple things for 2 and 3 for multiple reasons
Significant impact on markets, negligible impact on my day-to-day life.
what about purely market related political impacts like further reductions in interest rates / QE? The election, etc?Good question:
For the purposes of the poll let's disregard purely market related unrealized-loss impacts.
However if you think those market issues could cause you to lose your job/house/etc that would be a day to day impact.
I'd say disregard those issues for the purposes of this thread, and focus largely on health-related and other impacts closer to home.what about purely market related political impacts like further reductions in interest rates / QE? The election, etc?
Down the rabbit hole we go!~@!~@
Gotcha. Totally interested in the results.I'd say disregard those issues for the purposes of this thread, and focus largely on health-related and other impacts closer to home.
Definitely could be other factors triggered by these existing supply chain disruptions that cascade into other more significant issues, but for this thread let's set those aside for now.
I want to know what I should be doing, Bell!Fn lawyers
Sell tuna futures to your neighbors. 4 can contracts with a June 1 expiration.My wife is a sale shopper. I just looked in our pantry. I think we could make it over 40 days on canned goods alone. Have 16 cans of Bumble Bee tuna on hand right now.
Doesn't really have to be "HORDING" status... I imagine folks might picking up an extra can of Lysol or disinfecting wipes to use in disinfecting surfaces/people in an effort to reduce risk of infecting family members."I've purchased sanitation supplies (Lysol wipes/spray, bleach, etc)"
Like more than normal? Why would you need to horde this stuff in preparation for the virus? Do the germs multiply?
Odds of dead people clogging well are .0001%. Odds of well being an awesome source of tasty water: 100%I want to know what I should be doing, Bell!
Should I worry about the water in my well? Is there a risk it gets clogged with dead people?
Agreed nothing worse than waxy ear canals.Could there be a run on Q-tips if things go south? I cannot imagine running out of Q-tips. Nasty ear wax.
Is the primary concern the risk of being quarantined and cut off from the normal supply chain? (I may be mistaken but I don't see folks being quarantined and being cut off from food and water and qtips)Doesn't really have to be "HORDING" status... I imagine folks might picking up an extra can of Lysol or disinfecting wipes to use in disinfecting surfaces/people in an effort to reduce risk of infecting family members.
Odds of dead people clogging well are .0001%. Odds of well being an awesome source of tasty water: 100%
Agreed nothing worse than waxy ear canals.
This is what happens when you shop at Costco for 2 people.Sell tuna futures to your neighbors. 4 can contracts with a June 1 expiration.
There are currently major shortages on masks, disinfecting wipes, toilet paper, etc in areas that are hit hardest by this. This also applies to OTC medications as well as other supplies.Is the primary concern the risk of being quarantined and cut off from the normal supply chain? (I may be mistaken but I don't see folks being quarantined and being cut off from food and water and qtips)
Or is it the supply chain more generally? Like fewer shipments because more sick people? More downtime at water plant because more people are sick, etc?
I have seen sketchy twitter videos showing lines for masks in China. I always question whether their are accurately depicting what they are claiming. I haven't seen anything on the other supplies. Toilet paper seems ... odd. Link? What kind of OTS meds would be a big concern? Like flu symptom meds? That seems likely.There are currently major shortages on masks, disinfecting wipes, toilet paper, etc in areas that are hit hardest by this. This also applies to OTC medications as well as other supplies.
Supply chain disruption is a factor but also so is everyone going to the store to buy stuff at once. Kinda like what happens to grocery stores when snow is forecast. Except now imagine the CDC tells everyone to be ready to shelter in place and not leave your house for 2 weeks or whatever it could end up being.
Some folks would rather have that stuff on hand in case there is a run on stores. Others don't see it being an issue.
That's why we have the poll.
I'm not positioning anything as rational, nor am I advocating anything as what others should do. I was answering your questions as to why someone might want to do it.I have seen sketchy twitter videos showing lines for masks in China. I always question whether their are accurately depicting what they are claiming. I haven't seen anything on the other supplies. Toilet paper seems ... odd. Link? What kind of OTS meds would be a big concern? Like flu symptom meds? That seems likely.
Do you think this is a possibility here? What percentage chance in your opinion? If you do this, do you still need a #### ton of clorox? If so, why?
And pointing to irrational hording milk and bread during snow storms and hurricanes is a pretty good example of why these things are always the most rational of behaviors, no?
I have no opinion. Just a massive lack of knowledge regarding why there is a realistic need to prep like its more like the zombie apocalypse and less like a super flu that's going to kill a ton of elderly, infirm, etc.I'm not positioning anything as rational, nor am I advocating anything as what others should do. I was answering your questions as to why someone might want to do it.
Your hyperbole (why do you need a ####ton of clorox) and tone makes your position pretty clear. I don't think there's any reason to pretend you have an open mind on this, and that's okay. You're probably right. Honestly I think everyone hopes ya are.
If your kid suddenly develops a bad fever/cough/pneumonia and you go to CVS to find the shelves bare, does it matter how logical the forces were that rendered you unable to treat your child's symptoms?
I would treat them with the stuff I have on hand. Just like I did when they got the normal flu. Parents tend to keep these things on hand.I'm not positioning anything as rational, nor am I advocating anything as what others should do. I was answering your questions as to why someone might want to do it.
Your hyperbole (why do you need a ####ton of clorox) and tone makes your position pretty clear. I don't think there's any reason to pretend you have an open mind on this, and that's okay. You're probably right. Honestly I think everyone hopes ya are.
If your kid suddenly develops a bad fever/cough/pneumonia and you go to CVS to find the shelves bare, does it matter how logical the forces were that rendered you unable to treat your child's symptoms?
More hyperbole...zombie apocalypse The CDC has directly called for all families to have at least 2 weeks of food and water on hand. Common sense would indicate making sure you've got enough of other supplies on hand (like toilet paper) for that same duration. Other public health experts have stated that "at least 2 weeks" is insufficient.I have no opinion. Just a massive lack of knowledge regarding why there is a realistic need to prep like its more like the zombie apocalypse and less like a super flu that's going to kill a ton of elderly, infirm, etc.
I want to understand the rationale case for prepping and why specifics, like toilet paper, are on the list.
"The armed robbery took place in Mong Kok, a district of Hong Kong with a history of "triad" crime gangs, early on Monday.
According to local reports, the robbers had threatened a delivery worker who had unloaded rolls of toilet paper outside Wellcome Supermarket.
Stores across the city have seen supplies massively depleted with long queues when new stock arrives.
Despite government assurances that supplies remain unaffected by the virus outbreak, residents have been stocking up on toilet paper.
Other household products have also seen panic-buying including rice, pasta and cleaning items.
Face masks and hand sanitisers are almost impossible to get as people try to protect themselves from the coronavirus, which has already claimed more than 1,700 lives."
Sounds like you have prepped with sufficient meds and cleaning supplies for a good flu season. You're ahead of the game. :highfive:I would treat them with the stuff I have on hand. Just like I did when they got the normal flu. Parents tend to keep these things on hand.
What about the pandemic changes this scenario? Is he/she going to need 2x more of the medication for some unique reason? Why won't what I currently possess be good enough? Same rationale for cleaning supplies? Why am I suddenly going to be consuming more cleaning supplies? Are we suddenly getting more germy? Less clean?
We were going on bike trip in the Dolomites (flying into Venice) in June. That's looking unlikely, especially now that my over-worrying wife and her crazy-worrying sister are losing sleep over it. Doctor and nurse friends say it should all be fine by then. I'm keeping my mouth shut.We were supposed to go on a cruise for spring break in March but we pushed it back to June.
So, significant impact.
SARS and MERS are also both caused by a strain of coronavirus.anyone know how this is different than, say, SARS or whatever virus outbreak we had in 2019, or 2018, 2017, etc.?
There’s some good stuff happening over in the Official coronavirus thread. Which has some other title that makes no sense.Is there a good prepper thread going? Genuinely interested in reading the thought process. Do some suspect our entire supply chain is going to break?
BOISE????We're heading to Boise in late March. Easily cancelled but I'm thinking we'll have a much clearer picture over the next few weeks before even thinking about it.
BOISE????
Boise is supposed to be gorgeous. Have two buddies who are considering moving their families there within the next 10 years or so.We're heading to Boise in late March. Easily cancelled but I'm thinking we'll have a much clearer picture over the next few weeks before even thinking about it.
so it's just rebranding something that already existed to drum up headlines?SARS and MERS are also both caused by a strain of coronavirus.
The timing of how symptoms present can be different but ultimately they all progress into a similar clinical syndrome.
It's amazing. Seems like a great place to raise kids too. Prices are really shooting up. That's kinda why we bought when we did even though we weren't exactly ready to move. @Getzlaf15 is a real estate agent there if they decide to make the move. He helped us get everything in order.Boise is supposed to be gorgeous. Have two buddies who are considering moving their families there within the next 10 years or so.
But are they grabbing an extra cans of lysol? Buying 2 instead of the normal one? If so, why? Is demand spiking? Or do you fear supply being depleted? That's the part I don't get, though I can understand supply chain issues a little better than increased demand for things like cleaning supplies.Sounds like you have prepped with sufficient meds and cleaning supplies for a good flu season. You're ahead of the game. :highfive:
I'm going to make a mental leap here, but perhaps the few folks who indicated that they were purchasing OTC meds might have been running low, or out? It's clear your brain is only able to address this in hyperbolic absolutes, but it's possible people are grabbing a bottle of Robitussin and a can of lysol, and not purchasing everything by the gallon.
Cheers, GB
No.This is a novel strain.so it's just rebranding something that already existed to drum up headlines?