timschochet
Footballguy
You think they’re testing it just for the hell of it?Yeah, they are testing that out from what I've read
You think they’re testing it just for the hell of it?Yeah, they are testing that out from what I've read
Cuomo did his daily news conference today and said he has ventilators in reserve that he hasn't needed to used yet.Well there is the real life example of New York hospitals having to attach one ventilator to 2 people because they’ve run out. That would seem to be evidence to me that the modeling was accurate.
So them testing 2 ventilators for 1 person is enough to prove the original forecast correct?You think they’re testing it just for the hell of it?
According to Dr. Fauci, that's what he has done.I agree, but he has every opportunity to not go with his gut and listen to the real experts with potentially better results across the board imo.
Eventually, yes.According to Dr. Fauci, that's what he has done.
It suggests that we’re going to run out of ventilators. Which suggests that without flattening the curve hospitals will be overwhelmed. So I would say yeah it does.So them testing 2 ventilators for 1 person is enough to prove the original forecast correct?
Cuomo said they are paying $45K for ventilators and "he doesn't want to pay that". So if you project you need 30,000 ventilators but you can use one ventilator for 2 people, then it changes the projections on the total amount of ventilators you need from 30,000 to 15,000 and it also changes the costs.You think they’re testing it just for the hell of it?
That’s fine. It doesn’t really have bearing on my point though. Which is that we can’t afford to stop sheltering in place at the current time.Cuomo said they are paying $45K for ventilators and "he doesn't want to pay that". So if you project you need 30,000 ventilators but you can use one ventilator for 2 people, then it changes the projections on the total amount of ventilators you need from 30,000 to 15,000 and it also changes the costs.
Don't disagree. There isn't really a valid reason to throw caution to the wind and go back to normal life. Just shelter in place for another 6-8 weeks. Think we'll be better prepared in the Fall for the second wave.That’s fine. It doesn’t really have bearing on my point though. Which is that we can’t afford to stop sheltering in place at the current time.
It is really the Federal government that holds most of the mortgages in this country...Another thing I would do if I were President right now: I would call a meeting of banks and urge them to adopt a national 2 month moratorium on all mortgages. Then I would publicly urge all landlords to have a 2 month moratorium on all rental payments. Then I would ask the utility companies to do the same. Basically I would call on the nation to suspend all regular monthly payments for 60 days. This is essentially what FDR did at the start of his Presidency when the Great Depression was at its worst and we were facing complete collapse of the economy.
Check the number of people dying in the USA and the reports from hospitals right now. Don’t be ignorantAny more models other than the one done by the Imperial College of London you want to share with us?
I'm pretty sure splitting the ventilators is a last resort option that is very risky. i'm no expert either but from what I hear ventilators are calibrated to each person based on how much oxygen they need. When you split them you can't do that. Nobody's going to do it just to save money.Cuomo said they are paying $45K for ventilators and "he doesn't want to pay that". So if you project you need 30,000 ventilators but you can use one ventilator for 2 people, then it changes the projections on the total amount of ventilators you need from 30,000 to 15,000 and it also changes the costs.
EDIT: I'm not a ventilator expert so I don't know the difference between a 1 person ventilator and a 2 person ventilator. Apparently they used them in military field hospitals. I suspect it would be more like a last resort move than a plan.
So you are suggesting then that we should have let this just play out and see what happens? That's pure insanity...cloppbeast said:Years and years of research is different than reacting to a worse-case-scenario without following up. We've known about this virus not even 4 monthes, only using the first model somebody came up with is not science.
No that's not what I'm saying.So you are suggesting then that we should have let this just play out and see what happens? That's pure insanity...
Does that apply with every new pandemic or only the ones you deem worthy (because the scientists are mostly siding the opposite of what you are saying)
While I agree that the media are generally a bunch of clowns and will do anything to make Trump look bad (which he doesn't need any help doing), this isn't the time to be getting snarky with the media and trying to clown them. Trump's bashing of the media appeals to a lot of people, which I get, and even I, despite not being a Trump supporter, think it's funny sometimes, since I think almost as little of the media as I do of Trump, but, again, with the crisis going on in the world right now, Trump needs to stop being petty and maybe act a little presidential for once. It ain't gonna happen, but it sure would be a refreshing change.That reporter was asking if Trump could “guarantee”, it went back and forth and finally Trump got frustrated and resorted to the “cutie pie” remark. The reporter was just trying to trap Trump, no way any reasonable person would think that Trump could “guarantee” this with the shortages that are happening across the country. Trump was describing the steps being taken to increase the number of ventilators, but it wasn’t good enough for the reporter.
If we are curious if hospitals can be overrun, all we have to do is ask the Italians. Or, maybe, doctors in Wuhan. The Spanish might have something to say, as do New Yorkers.My whole point is about whether hospitals will be overrun. This is a presumed scenario based on the first model anybody came up with. Legitimate scientists are thinking maybe this would not happen. Follow up research should be done; like the UK is investing in finger-##### tests which can tell how many people have already got it and have the antibodies.
If we are curious if hospitals can be overrun, all we have to do is ask the Italians. Or, maybe, doctors in Wuhan. The Spanish might have something to say, as do New Yorkers.
Harris/Hill poll shows a drop from 56 to 50 on his handling of the pandemicjonessed said:Gallup has him at 60%. There really isn’t a need to grab obscure pollsters.
Italy isn't a great test case for the US. Italy only has 12.5 ICU beds per 100,000 people. The US has 34.7 ICU beds per 100,000. Also, the median age in Italy is 45.5. The US is 38.1. So Italy has an older population and lacks the same medical ICU capabilities the US has. Italy also only had 3,000 ventilators. The US has some 60,000-150,000 (depending on the source) with many more coming. I don't trust the number from China, but they only have 3 ICU beds per 100,000 people so they really shouldn't be a comparison either.If we are curious if hospitals can be overrun, all we have to do is ask the Italians. Or, maybe, doctors in Wuhan. The Spanish might have something to say, as do New Yorkers.
were you wearing your wife beater when you wrote that?cloppbeast said:married a woman who doesn't clean the house or put out and you eat hot pockets for dinner because she won't cook.
I've already pointed out we discovered this virus 4 monthes ago. And you guys think we have it all figured out already...
Thank you. Let's not ignore the evidence of our eyes amd ears, of scientists, epidemiologists, of actual conditions observable in order to say "It's only one study". It's like the "the science is not settled about climate change" except perhaps worse
Wat?shader said:I didn't really appreciate your post in the other forum. The issue in that forum is that only positive Trump news can be posted there. The moment someone writes anything that can be construed as negative, it's labelled as "political" and I have no doubt that a host of people report the post, which brings in the admins to tell us to bring it to the political forum.
But you can't have it both ways. If we can't talk about negative Trump news in that forum, we shouldn't talk about positive news either. That thread should not be a place where some alternate version of the truth about Trump is allowed to flourish because we can't speak negatively about him, especially when he's making so many terrible decisions.
Oh there are still people expecting us to "eat crow" because it is all a liberal media overreaction. They are just that much smarter than us.Curious how many deaths in a day it will take for the "wait and see before we overreact" people to get fully on board?
The US was at 268 deaths Thursday and 400 yesterday. Total deaths are doubling every three days.
So what's your number? At what point do you abandon the idea that this is anything other than a full blown crisis that should be/should have been met by the strongest reaction the US can/could have mustered?
5,000 in a day? 20,000? Is there *any* point where you change your thinking?
burn the witchesSo Rhode Island is going to go door to door to find NYers
I'm sure that's very comforting to the 400 people who died yesterday. They should probably suck it up because hey, its probably the flu?I've already pointed out we discovered this virus 4 monthes ago. And you guys think we have it all figured out already...
And there other, you know, scientists questioning the validity of the some of the assumptions we have about covid19. I've posted the links in this thread. I'm sure none of you read them because the science is already settled. Whatever though.
I don't think this is a bad point.cloppbeast said:This is a government's response to corona virus thread, not a bash Trump thread.
Ok, I'll bite.... People die everyday, a lot more than 400 in fact. Maybe we could shut down the economy forever, never travel outside our villages so people would live forever. What do you say?I'm sure that's very comforting to the 400 people who died yesterday. They should probably suck it up because hey, its probably the flu?
You know people died from other stuff yesterday too? The 400 CV deaths is on top of that. We aren't far from a thousand americans dying from this every day - we will cross that threshold this week. Is that a number that will get your attention?Ok, I'll bite.... People die everyday, a lot more than 400 in fact. Maybe we could shut down the economy forever, never travel outside our villages so people would live forever. What do you say?
Btw, did you read the articles I posted?
I don't know, my perception is, and this may be all wrong, but I'd see the CDC as being a firewall of prevention and maybe the folks to do the post mortem for the future. I think were are a management and hopefully response /containment phase.I don't think this is a bad point.
The CDC's actions early on are worth noting, but then it was directed by someone Trump appointed (Jon made a claim about Azar really being the culprit there but I dunno), and then there's the disappearing of Messonnier from this whole thing. Where is the CDC in the press conferences? If we're speaking of the federal response unfortunately all roads to lead back to Trump.
However I'll say locally I'm thrilled with our governor's response, thank goodness it's him in charge and not his opponent. I think even people who voted against him feel that way right now, the man is ably qualified for this crisis. Having a good governor makes a big difference. Unfortunately the federalization of our system these last few decades means that the states even still are very dependent on federal coordination.
Yes this is correct. Ventilator settings are complex and can be difficult to manage for a single person. Two would be a nightmare. You would have increased risks of complications for sure. It would almost certainly also make it more difficult to get people off of the ventilators.I'm pretty sure splitting the ventilators is a last resort option that is very risky. i'm no expert either but from what I hear ventilators are calibrated to each person based on how much oxygen they need. When you split them you can't do that. Nobody's going to do it just to save money.
Detroit would agreeIf we are curious if hospitals can be overrun, all we have to do is ask the Italians. Or, maybe, doctors in Wuhan. The Spanish might have something to say, as do New Yorkers.
The thing about the burning of the witches is you notice we don't have no problems with witches no more?burn the witches
Cops pulling over anyone with a NY license plate. Go home Yankee.So Rhode Island is going to go door to door to find NYers
Lets be real, this should have always been the protocol.Cops pulling over anyone with a NY license plate. Go home Yankee.
When you don't have the necessary data to make such a forecast then such a request can't be done.C) Plan for the worst, then figure out if it's going to be that bad before we destroy the world economy.
collateral damage, bruhWhen you don't have the necessary data to make such a forecast then such a request can't be done.
Pence probably had a word with him.Sounds like after all the dust up, Michigan is getting support. It is so dumb all this in-fighting is done in public. But that's just how he is. At least the help is coming.
He should have know how bad this was going to be before anyone else. Yet he ‘started slow.’Yep!
The good news is that despite a slow start he has been leading in these efforts since.
Except if you were at the bar and said you were not it is a lie. So this makes no sense at all.Snorkelson said:I’ll have to try this with my wife- “I didn’t lie about being at the bar, it was just misinformation. I twisted it on purpose. Now, there are also some lies I did tell tell, and you can call me out on those.”