After some post-election angry MAGA, pseudo militia activity, I expect protests will cool down, including BLM. Why? Less incendiary rhetoric, more acknowledgement of the legitimacy of the movement from the Biden administration.
https://www.rlslawyers.com/experts-spar-over-data-suggesting-blacks-commit-more-crimes/
"Experts Spar Over Data Suggesting Blacks Commit More Crimes
From: The Christian Post
By Leonardo Blair 1/13/17
NEW YORK — Four law and order experts sparred in New York City Wednesday night over evidence-based data suggesting policing isn’t racially biased in America and blacks do in fact commit more crimes than other racial groups.
Opposing the motion that “policing is racially biased,” Harry Stern, managing principal for the law firm Rains Lucia Stern, stated “an uncomfortable but inescapable truth.” “And here it is: black people commit more crime per capita than other groups.”
“It’s not something that I say cheerfully, but it’s true. And the real problem with that statement is not only that it makes me personally uncomfortable and it’s hard to say, but that people hear it as, ‘He’s saying, black people are bad, or that black people are criminals.’ And the natural response to that is a reflexive reaction which puts it back on the police,” he explained....
.....“In 2015, cops killed 991 people — the vast majority, armed and dangerous. Fifty percent of the victims of police shootings were white, though you would never know it from the press coverage......
.....
“According to the Justice Department, blacks die of homicide at six times the rate of whites and Hispanics combined. That’s because blacks commit homicide at eight times the rate of whites and Hispanics combined … In the 75 largest counties of the United States, which is where most of the population resides, blacks commit over 50 percent of all violent crime, though they’re 15 percent of the population in those counties,” she said. “These crime disparities are repeated in every big American city. Here in New York, blacks commit 75 percent of all shootings, though they’re 23 percent of the population. How do we know that? That’s what the victims of and witnesses to those shootings, who are overwhelmingly minority themselves, tell the police.”
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https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/what-the-data-say-about-police-shootings/
"Recognizing that ‘lethal force’ does not always involve a gun and doesn’t always result in death, two other media organizations expanded on this approach. In 2015 and 2016, UK newspaper The Guardian combined its original reporting with crowdsourced information to record
all fatal encounters with the police in the United States, and found around 1,100 civilian deaths per year. Online news site VICE News obtained data on both fatal and non-fatal shootings from the country’s 50 largest local police departments, finding that for every person shot and killed between 2010 and 2016, officers shot at two more people who survived.
Extrapolating from that, the actual number of civilians shot by the police each year is likely to be upwards of 3,000.
The results paint a picture of definite disparity when it comes to race and police shootings. Although more white people are shot in total, people from minority ethnic groups are shot at higher rates by population. One paper published in August found that a black man is 2.5 times more likely than a white man to be killed by the police during his lifetime."
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https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/16/us/us-police-officers-resigning/index.html
https://nypost.com/2020/06/19/amid-black-lives-matter-protests-cops-explain-what-drove-them-to-leave-the-force/
https://www.11alive.com/article/news/local/atlanta-police-resigning-leaving-for-other-departments-low-morale-and-lack-of-support-cited/85-2e642568-981c-4f32-94d2-a442ef9d29f3
https://www.denverpost.com/2020/08/18/colorado-police-resign-retire-reform-law/
https://www.newsweek.com/police-officers-across-america-quit-homicide-rates-rise-americas-biggest-cities-1524648
https://www.police1.com/police-jobs-and-careers/articles/considering-leaving-law-enforcement-go-elsewhere-young-officer-go-elsewhere-IvuzvS245FDnH7Kv/
https://thecrimereport.org/2020/08/13/why-are-americas-women-police-chiefs-resigning/
https://www.wfaa.com/article/news/police-chiefs-officers-across-america-quitting-as-defund-the-police-conversation-continues/287-7ad9a505-efef-46b8-aaae-2f4f35c40058
In Seattle on Monday, Police Chief Carmen Best resigned the same day the council voted to reduce her department by as many 100, while reducing her salary and the salary of her command staff.
Early retirements and resignations are happening in law enforcement across America.
“We see officers walking out the door, we’ve had more police officers retire this year at this point than we have in the last 30 years,” Fort Worth Police Officer Association President Manny Ramirez said. “Just last year, we saw a 60% decrease in the number of applications around the nation to become police officers and we know it’s going to be far worse this year."
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You are not looking at the math of all this in real time.
Police officer related shootings are about 3000 plus annually and about 1,100 of those will be fatal shootings.
Blacks in major cities, usually represented by Democratic leadership, commit a disproportionate amount of crime in general/violent crime relative to their actual numbers in the total population.
These large cities are having police officers resign, lateral to other agencies or outright quit in record numbers. Applications to join departments, despite the failing economy which would make you think would explode upwards for the perceived job stability alone, have dropped in record rates all across America. This will leave many large cities without proper staffing and further "Defund The Police" movements, like in Seattle plus all the cost of the rioting in terms of overtime will sap law enforcement budgets in those cities to hire and train replacements for those lost officers. Police officers who lateral to other agencies, usually smaller ones in neighboring areas, will be the officers with good resumes, as the best and brightest will always have the most desirable options in any industry/niche. These large cities are the hotbed of all these riots and subsequent looting.
The responses of the Democratic leadership in these major cities have been roundly criticized, esp by small business owners who have been looted and burned out. The rioting has created many food deserts as well and robbed many, esp the elderly, of essential needs within practical proximity of where they live.
Gun sales across America have skyrocketed in the last year among civilians, many who are on record stating they fear the rioting and the pandemic and just want to keep their kids safe.
What does all this mean?
You will have police officer related shootings be an absolute statistical reality and the odds of a call for service/confrontation with a black male who has committed a crime or is under suspicion of committing a crime that will be most prevalent in large cities where nearly all of the rioting/looting happens and likely under the leadership of Democratic mayors who have faced the most criticism for their lack of response. The stretched too thin responding officers will come from agencies under financial attrition from THREE directions ( defunding, cost of new hires, overtime for rioting) and be short staffed by having their most marketable/desirable candidates leave with a difficult time in recruiting young quality new officers. And while facing a society that has decided to increasingly arm itself with firearms at record rates to create more potential shootings/violent encounters and not less of them.
And your position is all of this will stop and change because Joe Biden will walk into a microphone and remember he's not running for Senate, and restrains himself from calling someone a "dog faced pony soldier" and avoids talking about a thug at a pool named "Cornpop" and enjoying little kids sitting on his lap, long enough to "acknowledge the movement"?
“We hold these truths to be self-evident. All men and women created by — you know, you know, the thing.”
What would you define as "protests will cool down"? Do you mean small business owners, across all demographic lines, who have been burned out and looted, already suffering from the financial losses of the pandemic and essentially abandoned by the likes of Ted Wheeler, Jenny Durkan, Lori Lightfoot, Bill de Blasio and others, will suddenly hear this magical Biden "acknowledge the movement" moment and they will feel so much better about being inches of away from being homeless and being unable to feed their own children while still be expected to pay all their individual and business taxes anyway?
Do you what some people will find incendiary? That Seattle's first BLACK woman chief of police quits because her city is being burned to the ground and the best response from her City Council and Mayor is to slash her pay, reduce her departments operational budget, increase her department costs dramatically in three different directions and drive out over a 150 officers and make it impossible to recruit quality Police Officer candidates for the future.
Is this tone deaf "avoid the actual logistics" narrative , clearly steeped in political tribalism since you want to lay this mess on this nefarious "angry MAGA militia", your right to free speech moment here?