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Actually, the polar opposite is true. If there a large number of players at a position producing big numbers, it is wise to draft one later rather than sooner. The time to draft one early is a year when there are only 2-5 of them producing big numbers with a significant drop off to the next tier.
Let me preface this by stating that I am a Reggie Bush owner. I am in an auction league, PPR - below you will find my preseason ratings for RB's
1a) LT
1b) Jackson
3)Addai
4)Johnson
5)Gore
6)Bush
7)Westbrook
8)Parker
I had Bush/Westbrook in a virtual tie projections wise, but Bush gets...
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