Recent content by Charley

I kind of agree. But more important, I think both Brady and Manning have a huge amount riding on the outcome of Sunday's game and the SB. If either one of them wins the SB, they will silence all the critics -- that Manning chokes and can't win the biggest games -- or that Brady's career peaked a...

In my opinion, Peyton has a great opportunity to silence all of his critics. If he wins the Super Bowl this year, then all talk about him choking in big games should end. Also, his place as one of the greatest QBs of all time will be solidified in concrete. However, if he loses this Sunday's...

Actually, the point spread is down to 4 points at some places (4.5 points others). I think it'll drop to 3 or 3.5 sometime this week. This poll, that started off even (when the point spread was 6), is now 62.7% in favor of Peyton and the Broncos -- which is exactly the opposite trend of the way...

Interesting - right now, the poll is exactly even (15 votes apiece) - while Vegas has installed Denver as a 6 point favorite. I voted for Brady, even though Peyton has 2 major things going in his favor - (1) home field, and (2) much better group of receivers. I think everything else combined...

Yeah, of the 4 games this weekend, I think the best bet, by far, is the Colts plus the points. If you include the 2007 post-season, Brady's playoff record is 5-5 (since 2007). Although it doesn't compare to his pre-2007 playoff record of 12-2, a .500 record in 10 playoff games isn't that bad...

Called yesterday to cancel ST. Final deal - (1) ST for 6 payments of $34.99, (2) free SF, (3) free Showtime for 6 months.

I think there's a large subgroup of all FF participants that won't touch anyone who had a problem year "last year." For each draft pick, they evaluate last year's statistics and select the player with the "best prospects" for the coming year (based mainly on the prior year's performance). Using...

Here's my "career" list using the "excess above baseline" method described above (limited to players who had all (or almost all) of their careers after 1977 with 16-game seasons). Thus, Hutson, Berry and the older players pre-1978 are not included. 1. Jerry Rice - 1239.5 "excess points above...

Interesting topic. I’ll throw in my $.02.IMO, to determine the “best” WR seasons in history, you need to (1) pick a single performance measure (like TDs or yardage or receptions), or (2) combine all relevant performance measures by weighting the individual measures somehow, or (3) use another...

My thoughts were pretty different. Granted, all of the visiting teams looked stronger than the home teams. However, "Yes" means either (1) all the home teams had to lose, or (2) exactly one home team would lose. My odds of the road teams winning were a lot lower than 60%, 65%, 80% and 65% --...

Interesting. I'll throw in my $.02 on the Peyton/Eli question. Initially, when I read the question, I thought of course Peyton will have more passing yardage than Eli. If they were both to play only one game, then I'd put the odds about 70-75% in Peyton's favor. But the differences were that (1)...

1 to 5: y N n n N6 to 10: Y N n Y Y11 to 15: y y N N Y16 to 20: N N Y Y y21 to 25: Y N Y Y N26 to 30: y y N N N31 to 35: Y N n N N 25 picks of the underdog picks by me. 18 different picks than QG. 17,951 total potential points. Without doing any historical analysis, my strategy was to take...

I'll throw in my $.02.1. The annual results in this contest basically reflect how each season evolves. The 2008 season did not have extremely dominant performances by high-priced stud players, and the major difference makers in weeks 14-16 were players like A. Bryant, Rivers, D. Williams, etc...

Looks like the key difference makers during weeks 14-16 were: P. Rivers, QB D. Williams, RB A. Bryant, WR V. Shiancoe, TE No one in the top 10 had all 4 of these players. Thanks to FBG for another great Contest!! Thanks especially to DD for all his time and efforts to support the contest.

I agree in general. But I think it's possible (not probable) to jump to the top if you're less than 40 points behind -- which would be about 27 teams currently at the top. You'd have to be lucky for sure and have a couple of your low-owned players have huge weeks -- and outdistance the...