Recent content by Jilez001

The 'gambling' vs 'skill' distinction is one entirely about public perception and potential litigation against the DFS industry. The real cost of this is that the industry's stance means they can't/won't be involved in anything that addresses gambling addiction. There should be gambling hotline...

except that those 'value' plays are going to be highly correlated. So if you look at lineups with Davonte adams week 1, they will have a higher percentage of other value plays than non- Davonte Adams teams.

Don't want to speak on his behalf but my interpretation isn't that there is a disagreement as to whether RB's or WR's have more VORP. The difference is that we as a collective seem to do a better job of predicting WR vorp. In particular his example of ~70% of RB's not repeating top 12...

I think I could check this without too much hassle. Would be an interesting piece of information if true.

Sure, Here goes, QB= 32 cases (presumably the projected qb's for most teams), this position has notable omissions on my part. I chose not to include projected backups as my calculation of ppg for projected backups was all over the place. I assumed this was mostly due to them not projecting full...

I did a little analysis of FBG's projections and thought I'd share the results with whomever was interested. I've uploaded a pdf to mediafire that I hope is accessible (never used it before). First, to explain the figure, I took Dodds season total projections and divided by his projected number...

Yes Go steelers + Pack! Team 100566. If it so comes to pass, I'm going to be hoping for defensive scores for both teams and james starks TD's. While non-wallace pit wr's must suck massively. We'll see if it even comes to that though.

Ben Roethlisberger $28 0.00 Rashard Mendenhall $18 0.00 Mike Wallace $22 0.00 Heath Miller $11 0.00 Pittsburgh Steelers $14 0.00 Shonn Greene $11 7.00 Joe McKnight $2 0.00 Desmond Clark...

Everyone keeps basing these optimal number of player lineups on the costs provided for this contest. This is a fruitless assumption and skews the value towards less expensive players by removing the positional costs of players. Their is a spatial cost to keeping the one dollar players that far...

Funnily enough, one of my first team variants for this contest was to do exactly this (minus mcnabb)! Except I was planning on doing it with two full rosters. If you look at them most of a teams avaliable skill position run between 7 and 10 players. Early on I I really liked OAK because their...

Might be a little early, but based on the scoring system it would be interesting to see a breakdown of point production/cost on a positional basis. Looking at similar player costs originally, it seemed to me, that RB were overly expensive, and TE was severely under priced. On a cost basis my...

One thing that I'm sure will fall out of this, that has nothing to do with the poll itself :bowtie: , is that I bet their is an 'inertia' to favoring your own possessions. From the perspective of having the pick, I was less willing to trade it than. In particular I found about 4 situations...

Will at least one team that plays in the wildcard round play in the Super Bowl? no 40%This seems way high for the no to me. For the no to be true the only successful outcome giants and pittsburgh have to win both today and next week. For a 40% to be accurate they need to be ~80% favorites...

Another one of extremely high likelyhood. At this point its dependant on 4 specific game outcomes going forward for this to be a no ;/.Will at least one team that plays in the wildcard round play in the Super Bowl?

I'm interested to see the odds update after today. At a quick glance Will the Cardinals allow more total points in the postseason than the Steelers? Will Larry Fitzgerald have more total postseason receiving yards than Santonio Holmes? Will the total combined postseason points scored by AFC...