Recent content by joshuautt

Week 9 Picks based on Game Predictor: Washington Baltimore Houston Chicago Detroit San Francisco Jacksonville Denver St. Louis Cleveland New England Tampa Bay Oakland Green BayRanked by Confidence Points. For example, since Game Predictor predicts a...

I don't have any interest in betting on games, I am tracking this stuff purely from an interest in stats and probabilities. But in answer to your question, I don't think anyone would ever claim that they could pick all NFL games, and obviously there are going to be tons of upsets.I focus on a...

Bri, Your welcome. I guess. For clarity, I wasn't sharing a theory that I already determined to be "flawed". I was sharing my results to date using a theory, and like I said during the original post, I expected the Game Predictor results to at least converge to 50% over the balance of the...

This week's picks using Game Predictor vs Spreads. DGP = Dodds Game Predicted score Fav DGP Under DGP Dif Spread PICKS CI Phi 26.3 Jac 18.3 8 7 Phi 4 Cin 21.7 Atl 21 0.7 3.5 Atl 8 G.B 18.4 Ari 16.8 1.6 4 Ari 6 Ten 19 Hou 21.2 -2.2 3 Hou 12 K.C 25.3 Sea 16.2 9.1 6K.C 9 N.O 20.4 Bal...

I posted about this HEREI'll reply to that one with this week's picks...

I sent the model. Thanks for checking it out.

I'm in an NFL Pickem league. I don't care how I finish, and in fact I kinda believe that Pickem is all luck and most people forced to pick all games, end up converging on a 50%. But I digress. I am here to talk about something different. I didn't feel like making my own picks this year, I made...