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Recent content by Justin Bonnema

  1. Justin Bonnema

    Dak Prescott Player Spotlight

    I appreciate all the thoughts and discussion on this. Here is the link to the article. I'm obviously bullish on Prescott but tried to keep it grounded in logic. Lots of questions with a totally new offense but his ADP is so tasty. Feedback welcomed, of course...
  2. Justin Bonnema

    Dak Prescott Player Spotlight

    To that end, his splits with Zeke vs without Zeke last year are night and day.
  3. Justin Bonnema

    Dak Prescott Player Spotlight

    He was 32nd in deep passing attempt% and 5th in deep passing completion%, so this supports your argument. 100% this!
  4. Justin Bonnema

    Dak Prescott Player Spotlight

    Yup. This plot from airyards.com shows his completion% compared to the rest of the NFL in 2017. He was great short (obviously) and struggled in the short-intermediate area. If you include 2016, he was pretty much above average all over the field.
  5. Justin Bonnema

    Dak Prescott Player Spotlight

    I can't vouch for this person's analytics, but some interesting stats about how Prescott handled various defenses, including depth of throw: https://cowboyswire.usatoday.com/2018/05/20/dissecting-dak-breakdown-of-prescotts-spatial-throwing-accuracy/
  6. Justin Bonnema

    Dak Prescott Player Spotlight

    I think it's too early to dump shares of him but given the depth at the position I don't blame you. I respectfully disagree that he throws a terrible ball. He has thrown terrible balls, to be sure, but even the highlight reel you posted shows some great throws. Checkout this clip of every...
  7. Justin Bonnema

    Dak Prescott Player Spotlight

    @STEADYMOBBIN 22 34 rushing touchdowns might be a tad overly optimistic but everything else for sure.
  8. Justin Bonnema

    Dak Prescott Player Spotlight

    That's a reasonable projection and not all that far off from David Dodds and Bob Henry.
  9. Justin Bonnema

    Dak Prescott Player Spotlight

    I'm not overly excited about Hurns. But when healthy, he has been excellent. Unfortunately, I can't say the same about Terrance Williams (assuming he even stays on the team). I also thought this tweet was interesting regarding Beasley playing outside more, which would mean more snaps in the slot...
  10. Justin Bonnema

    Dak Prescott Player Spotlight

    @TheDirtyWord I think that's a good assessment in regards to taking flyers on late-round running backs or wide receivers (and tight ends) and letting waivers decide who your QB2 will be. I love that strategy. But I also think Dak's numbers were impacted by ineffective teammates like Dez Bryant...
  11. Justin Bonnema

    Dak Prescott Player Spotlight

    After a hiatus, we're bringing the Player Spotlight threads back to the Shark Pool. For those who are new around here, the Player Spotlights are a key feature of our preseason on the site. They're in-depth looks at key players, including pros and cons, and our staff projections. For years, we...
  12. Justin Bonnema

    Julian Edelman Suspended 4 Games

    This tweet by Hribar sums it best: https://twitter.com/LordReebs/status/1004787392430174209 Basically, you still want to draft Edelman assuming his ADP slips. He was already a decent mid-round guy. Now he's going to be a steal. Hogan, Matthews, Burkhead, and White will probably end up splitting...
  13. Justin Bonnema

    Question on the WR Consistency Ranking Article

    The formula for Ave EV is 21.5/(salary/1,000). The concept is that it takes 21.5 points per roster spot, not including kickers and defenses, to score 180 points and average 3x salary (for tournaments). You can read more in-depth about how and why I use this here...
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