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I think Novak is the best bet of this group to have the most "normal" game conditions, but who can tell with kickers this year. SD might win 28-17 and net you a whole 4 points.
I'm so tempted to roll with MIA over KC's defense; last week's point onslaught by OAK showed how vulnerable KC can be if the turnovers aren't there to bolster the fantasy points. But getting McCluster back on special teams is a small boost, so weather might actual be a determining factor for me...
I'm not using weather as anything other that a tie-breaker decision factor, all other things held equal. If, for instance, I can choose between Jay Cutler and Alex Smith with both rated evenly for this week, then I *might* check the weather for each to see which QB's weather situation is more...
This is why I'm still going with Alshon Jeffrey over Keenan; the TDs have been there but 4 TDs on 5 receptions over the past two games? Just can't count on that kind of ratio.
I'm torn about whether to keep KC in or roll with the Rams; I'm worried about a few trends with KC DEF. They gave up a ton of points last week, and I doubt Luck will toss that many INTs. Also, their sack numbers have been anemic in the last few weeks (0 sacks in 4 of the last six games).
Just two areas this week:
QB:
Cutler or Alex Smith
WR:
Alshon Jeffrey vs. Keenan Allen: Worried about the effect Cutler has on Jeffrey's targets, but Allen hasn't exactly been getting a ton of receptions lately.
I'm still vacillating between Romo and Alex Smith; I love Smith's matchup, and the weather shouldn't be a factor in Oakland. But I'm concerned about how much Smith will be passing with Charles getting his usual workload. Smith has the greater ceiling here (especially with potential rushing...
I suck at predicting when to sit Cameron; I've benched him twice this year. Here are his numbers in those games - 6/66/3 TDs, and 9/121/1 TD (this week). I guess I'll just pencil him in for the remainder of the playoffs and just take the 2/31/0 he puts up this week.
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