Recent content by TylerDurden

Do you know why they put oxygen masks on planes?

Good idea.

Take the number of vehicles in the field, A, multiply by the probable rate of failure, B, and multiply the result by the average out of court settlement, C. A times B times C equals X. If X is less than the cost of a recall, we don't do one.

What about where IDPs fit in rookie drafts? Obviously the early portion of rookie drafts is heavily skewed toward offensive players, but when does it become reasonable to crack open the IDPs? For example, I assume everyone would agree that AJ Hawk is the #1 IDP this year pending anything weird...

I don't get this pick. Min seemed to be pretty well set at DT.(said a Kevin Williams dynasty owner)

I don't think this affects Williams' value much at all. He's still their best WR.

Surely they're projecting him to TE, right? Otherwise this pick makes no sense.

:thumbup: :rolleyes: :wall:

And it's sane to exclude Patrick Ramsey from the top 25?

Sorry, but I see this as a bad move for the Jets. As others have noted, this draft is very deep at DL anyway, so if that's what they're after, this trade seems completely unneccesary.

I checked out the 2001 projection compilation on your website, and I notice that the difference in the median PPG error from the worst set of projections to the best set of projections is only about 1 PPG. In other words, the BEST set of projections was only 1 PPG better than the WORST set of...

I can agree with all of this. I do projections myself mainly for the reasons you described. Doing projections forces you to gather info on all players and their situations. After putting together an initial list based on those projections, I basically throw the projections away and move...

Color me skeptical on this point. Everybody thinks they're above-average poker players, too. How do you conflate a mean and variance into one number? And more importantly, why do you think it's more accurate than gut-based drafting (GBD)? Not too important, admittedly. It matters if you draft...

I can more or less agree with that. VBD is a somewhat useful tool, but its foolish to follow it blindly.=I disagree that the variance thing is "the next major improvement waiting to happen." This is always going to be subjective, and I can't imagine how you would quantify that in any...

Notice that you benefited tremendously by having brain-dead owners in your league. Taylor at 3.08, Tiki in the 6th (!!), Henry in the 7th (!!!) and Bennett in the 8th (!!) were a function not of your brilliance, but your colleagues' ineptitude. I'm sure anybody in the shark pool could roll...