Recent content by ZWK

Building an offense around Kmet & Bowers is tricky to do well. If the coaching staff wants Bowers and has a plan to make it work then they could go for it and that could be good (especially if they get him after a little trade down, e.g. see who falls to the early teens out of...

I've put together a rookie draft board here. This is basically what I'd use if I had a draft today. I put it together by starting with a blend of projected NFL draft position / dynasty ADP / rankings from people whose opinions I value, and then adjust guys up or down based on my own takes.

I haven't posted about the RBs yet, partly because I think my RB rating formula (which I made several years ago) is pretty out-of-date and worse than many of the other models out there, and I haven't gotten around to making a new one. Also, applying the formula accurately to a new draft class...

Great athleticism and great pressure rate / pass rush win rate / PFF pass rush grade (basically any way of evaluating pass rushers besides sacks). See graphs like this and this and this.

2024 Pre-NFL Draft Rookie WR Dynasty Rankings Now Scott Barrett's take on the WRs: 1. Marvin Harrison Jr. 2. Malik Nabers 3. Rome Odunze 4. Brian Thomas Jr. 5. Ladd McConkey 6. Troy Franklin 7. Xavier Worthy 8. Ricky Pearsall 9. Roman Wilson 10. Adonai Mitchell 11. Jermaine Burton 12. Xavier...

My preference order for what to do with pick 9: 1. Trade down to the late teens or so and draft Jared Verse, Laiatu Latu, Byron Murphy, or Brian Thomas 2. Trade down to the last 1st and draft Chop Robinson 3. Stay at 9 and draft Nabers or Odunze 4. Trade down and draft someone else 5. Stay at 9...

Hayden Winks: 2024 NFL Draft RB Rankings, Grades, and Profiles His top 10: RB1 Jonathon Brooks (Late Round 2, 84th percentile in model, Comps: Matt Forte, Melvin Gordon, Trey Sermon) RB2 Trey Benson (Early Round 3, 77th percentile in model, Comps: Travis Etienne, Lamar Miller, Rashaad Penny)...

Bob McGinn: Part 1, WR/TE: Hall of Fame talent at the top, then (many) questions 16 scouts for NFL teams ranked their top 5 WRs in this draft class, and votes were scored as 5 pts for each first place vote, 4 for 2nd, etc. Out of a max possible 80 points, the leaderboard was: 72 Marvin...

Here's a rough take on how I see this year's WR class, compared to where they're being projected by Mock Draft Database. + means that I like them more than where they're projected, - means I like them less, = means that it's about right, and a few guys get combinations like =- (similar or...

I was looking at a new mix of production stats for this TE class, and got this top 10 in production (among the guys who were invited to the combine) Brock Bowers Jaheim Bell Ja'Tavion Sanders Cade Stover Ben Sinnott Theo Johnson Tanner McLachlan Jared Wiley Dallin Holker Tip Reiman This...

Jeremy Fowler reports that "the #Browns reduced his salary cap hit from $15.85M to $6.275M". He would've counted $4M against the cap if he'd been cut (from past bonuses), so that means Chubb's basically getting a 1-year $2.3M deal for 2024, with incentives that can increase that a lot.

2024 Pre-NFL Draft Rookie RB Dynasty Rankings from Scott Barrett, with a film score from Brett Whitefield Excellent mix of analytics & film. Gives a top 10 of: Jonathon Brooks Trey Benson Blake Corum MarShawn Lloyd Audric Estime Jaylen Wright Braelon Allen Bucky Irving Tyrone Tracy Will Shipley...

This means that the "4 year, $96M extension" that Diggs signed in 2022 for 2024-27 winds up being a 1 year, $43.4M extension for 2024. Buffalo pays him $20.9M for 0 years, Houston pays him $22.5M for 1 year.

Here's a look at how this year's top 8 quarterback prospects performed under pressure, compared to the 20 quarterbacks who were drafted in the first round in 2018-2023. Data from PFF since 2014, and I've put most of these stats in this spreadsheet. First stat is career Sack Rate under...

Rome Odunze at pick 9 was tempting. If it was Nabers I would've just taken him; I'm still trying to sort out how close I think Odunze is to that level. I don't see a big enough gap between Dallas Turner and the later 1st round DL options (Verse, DT Murphy, Latu, Chop Robinson, DT Newton) to take...