Recent content by ZWK

I am now doubly eliminated, and this one wasn't a close a call.

TreVeyon Henderson rosters tended to be better built than the rosters without him. Some comparisons of rosters with Henderson to rosters without him, mainly on features that I discussed in this earlier post: +0.7 more players: 20.54 vs. 19.85 total players +$1.8 more spending on flexable...

Missed it by 1.05 pts, 124.50-125.55. McBride did enough so that my head was temporarily above water when he caught a pass early in the 4th quarter, but the waterline kept rising. 0 of the 30 players on my roster had their highest scoring game of the season this week (unless you count Brandon...

Not looking good for me. Sitting at 105.5 with just Trey McBride (-0) left. So I'll need him to score 13 plus the MNF line movement. Mediocre week from almost everyone on my roster. Shaheed (11.8) is my only flexable player who reached double digits, and my highest scoring player besides the...

190.55 in week 8, 176.5 ppg so far. 26/30 players and $237/$250 have cracked my lineup. I did a breakdown by player after week 6. Here's my scoring by position: 266.0 QB (33.3 ppg) 193.0 WR1 (24.1 ppg) 168.6 TE1 (21.1 ppg) 150.6 RB1 (18.8 ppg) 131.3 WR2 (16.4 ppg) 122.5 FLEX1 (15.3 ppg), 4 WR...

152.3 in week 6. 176.7 ppg through week 6. 25/30 players and $230/$250 have cracked my lineup. The exceptions are 5 of my 14 WRs: 3 rookies (Higgins, Bryant, K Williams) and 2 guys who I knew would start the season on IR (Aiyuk, Coker). No every-week starters, but RB Barkley & TE McBride have...

Usually there's some combination of someone emerging as a RB2, or guys pingponging who has a solid week as a committee back, or guys getting elevated to their team's starting RB for a stretch when there's an injury. I don't know in advance how it's going to play out, but since 2021 I've had at...

I used to do that, but in recent years (including this one) I've been going with an expensive RB1 and some cheapish guys to give me a RB2BC. Often there's a good value play at RB which strengthens that group. This year I spent $36 for Barkley and $29 for 4 more guys (Mason, Tuten...

I thought that SF made a significant mistake when they got the ball on their own 1 with about a minute left, basically conceding the punt by running up the middle 3 times (including a QB sneak on first down). They were more worried than they should've been about taking a safety, which would've...

I reran these analyses with last year's contest entries and the results are very similar. 18-player rosters vs. 30-player rosters Number of $25+ players 2025: 3.0 vs. 0.7 2024: 2.2 vs. 0.4 Spending on flexable players (RB, WR, TE) 2025: $193 vs. $180 2024: $192 vs. $177 WR spending 2025: $86...

I took a look at some data on how the large-roster entries in the contest tend to differ from the small-roster entries. I've put it in this spreadsheet on this year's builds. Big rosters take fewer high-end players ($25+ price). 18-player rosters took 3.0 $25+ players on average, 30-player...

I do think it's something more like option 1. Having lots of players is better because it gives you more shots at production. One way to look at it: if you have $3 available to spend, you could use it to upgrade (say) a $15 player to a slightly better player who costs $18. Or, you could use it...

3 weeks in, none of these guys are doing great. Two of them are at least in the top half of players at their position by PFF grade, Thuney (36/76) and Dalman (11/36). Gordon hasn't played because of his hamstring and the other 3 are in the bottom half: Jackson (46/76), Odeyingbo (79/115), and...

164.65 this week, 178 ppg through week 3. I've started 19/30 players and $194/$250 salary. Trey McBride ($30) and Keenan Allen ($5) are my only every-week starters. Matthew Golden ($12) the only $10+ player who hasn't cracked my lineup yet, though Josh Palmer ($7) is looking like my worst...

I made a new spreadsheet with heatmaps of positional builds. See the cluster of the most common builds at each position, and the weird outliers. (Not sure if it's better to orient them horizontally or vertically. I currently have rb both ways, and the others just vertical - if you like...