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DawnBTVS

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Everything posted by DawnBTVS

  1. Sounds like somebody who saw the future and is merely trying to warn us all. I trust him. More important question is whether Washington covers the spread though?
  2. People forget how hard New England had to play just to go 16-0 in the regular season in 2007, with an offense where Brady and Moss played out of their minds. Indy played them tough then Philly (finishing 8-8) and Baltimore (finishing 5-11) nearly defeated them. Even the Giants game at the end of the year nearly knocked them off. Belichick always says that any team can win on Sunday and it's about execution and doing their job. No way does he intentionally lose a game (c'mon... really? This coach of all coaches would intentionally lose??) but putting them into situations they may find themselves in the future is a legitimate expectation. New England could go undefeated in the regular season but my gut feeling is they get a challenge and end up 13-3 or even 12-4. They don't have that easy a slate: @ Jets, Cleveland, @ Baltimore, @ Philadelphia, Dallas, @ Houston, and Kansas City is a pretty tough stretch IMO. At least 2 of those teams could defeat New England and the Jets/Dolphins always play them tougher than most opponents even if they often lose.
  3. I'm not too surprised with this move. The Patriots have enough depth with Edelman, Gordon, and Dorsett at WR along with James White coming out of the backfield that they didn't need to press an injured N'Keal Harry onto the field if they didn't have to. Belichick often plays for the long term and has constantly stated that Year 2 is when he expects the majority of his rookie players to make the big jump to NFL viability. I expect Harry to have some decent year end production and really make some noise next season.
  4. Always thought Treadwell fit the literal one-dimension 'high point the ball in the end zone' tall WR who really lacked the speed/separation for the NFL. Was stunned he went in the 1st Round (he never struck me as close to similar to guys like Josh Gordon, etc.) and it looks like Minnesota finally gave up on his potential. He could probably land on another team's roster but I'd be surprised if he ever becomes more than a 4th or 5th WR option for an NFL team.
  5. I can see this as last year Freeman still had 130 carries but only 14 catches. He struggled though with just a 4.0 YPC and horrible 5.1 YPR. Lindsay only had 192 carries but still topped 1,000 yards (notable 5.4 YPC) while hauling in 35 catches. Could there be a similar split this season? Absolutely but I also have a feeling this coaching staff will ride the hot hand rather than forcing a mix and if Lindsay's blowing away Freeman performance wise, it'd be baffling for the staff to give Freeman touches just for the sake of keeping a balance. I also think it's telling that despite being undrafted, Lindsay surged past Freeman, who was a 3rd Round pick, and was ultra productive in doing so.
  6. My Candidates (per FBG Redraft PPR) 19 Josh Jacobs - Has a chance to be the bellcow in Oakland. If the offense clicks on the passing side, Gruden is used to riding his RBs hard and features them a fair bit in the passing game as well. Jacobs has a chance to slide in the latter Top 10 if he can get enough passes thrown his way. 24 Phillip Lindsay - Kind of a forgotten player IMO. Has the job locked in Denver and I don't think Freeman's that much of a threat to him (in comparison to how people are reacting to say Carson/Penny or Michel/Harris). Good chance to hit 1,000+ rushing yards and could sneak into the 9th or 10th spot with a strong enough year. BUST 16 Aaron Jones - I'm just not sold on him. He's played 12 games in 2017/2018 and has a great 5.5 YPC but he's no Clinton Portis. As long as Aaron Rodgers is in Green Bay, I just don't think Jones can get enough carries or catches to be a legitimate candidate to crack the Top 10. Also LaFleur's already said that Jamaal Williams will get some action so there's a question around how much Jones gets touch wise per game.
  7. This guy is a Sleeper (when they are expected to be a Top 10 QB/RB/WR/TE). Sleepers should be that #2/#3 spot with potential to be a Top 10-12-14 finisher in your league. DEEP Sleepers are guys who are in that #4-#6 range who could end up being a #2 or #3 finisher with the right circumstances all falling into place e.g. Phillip Lindsay coming out of nowhere to outperform higher drafted teammate and lock the starting job down. I've also always loathed the phrase Reach. ADP isn't a be-all end-all and if the guy you believe in finishes where you expect him to, why outsmart yourself to get value and miss out on taking them? Sometimes it's worth reaching for a guy you think provides value at that spot even if the ADP doesn't agree with you. Example: I take RB David Johnson at 1.06 thinking he'll finish at RB1 after 4 RBs have been taken while his ADP says he should be taken later. There's value still there if you think you've taken the #1 RB as the 5th RB overall.
  8. Pretty sure Faust is the Fantasy Football equivalent of Adam Schefter. Are we sure that Faust isn't the guy tapping away on his phone at a random local Starbucks scooping news before anybody else? Keep an eye out, folks. We may need to start up a Where's Faust? picture book series.
  9. Even if Jackson remains a heavy volume runner, I think Andrews has some sneaky upside as the go to TE receiving option. His best fantasy comp is probably Alge Crumpler during the Vick Atlanta heydays of the early 2000s: While he didn't catch a lot of TDs, Crumpler from 2003-2006 put up the following - 44 for 552, 48 for 774, 65 for 877, and 56 for 780.
  10. I think Detroit is emulating a lot of what the New England Patriots are doing (and were doing in the 2017-2018 Seasons) as they transition to more of a power running team. Detroit is working on utilizing a legitimate FB, they are striving for RBs who can do multiple things on the field but also have a size aspect to them: C.J. Anderson's the shortest RB at 5'8" but listed at 220 while the 'smallest' (used loosely) RB is Ty Johnson at 5'10" 210. Zenner's a deep sleeper if injuries strike as he has the size to run inside as a backup but also some ability to be a receiving threat in a change of pace Rex Burkhead type role (25 catches between 2016 & 2018 with 10.1 YPR). Hockenson's a dual threat, Jesse James provides a well rounded balanced TE who can be a factor as an in-line blocker, and Nauta/Thomas/Traylor represent depth who can evolve their games. Outside of 5'8" Brandon Powell, they got a lot of size at the WR position with Golloday/Marvin Jones/Kearse all listed at 6'1"+ and 200+ pounds. Even Amendola is 5'11" 185 and has proven his mettle as a tough nosed receiver willing to get his nose dirty blocking outside. This team has potential to be really interesting from a value perspective related to the running game but also as a possible downfield passing team.
  11. 14 Biggest Questions for Green Bay Packers Entering Training Camp "Aaron Jones looks like the favorite to be the lead back in LaFleur’s offense, and for good reason, but the Packers coach has said all along that he wants a mix at running back." Curious if it's just coach speak or LaFleur ends up using more RBs behind Jones than people think, possibly capping Jones' upside as a potential RB1.
  12. With Dawson Knox (whom I picked up as a UDFA in my league and I only had ranked 7th in the 2019 TE Draft Class), I think there are some fears that athletic, fast TEs don't necessarily produce that way on the football field itself. He also had limited production coming out of Ole Miss (seeing his catches drop from just 24 to 15) so I certainly understand why owners may be leery of spending a higher pick on him. He's a perfect low buy/potentially high ceiling draft pick. Maybe he's the TE who utilizes his athleticism to be a down the seam legitimate threat... or he ends up the TE who is a marginal blocker, struggles to stay on the field consistently, and ends every season with just 15-20 catches while teasing owners.
  13. 2 QB/3 RB/4 WR/2 TE/1 RB/WR/TE Flex with 2 PPR 12 Team League. Good QB talent tends to be taken high, WRs tend to get a boost, and scarcity can also boost TEs some. This was also started on May 3rd. 1.01: QB Kyler Murray 1.02: WR N'Keal Harry 1.03: RB Josh Jacobs 1.04: RB David Montgomery 1.05: QB Dwayne Haskins 1.06: RB Miles Sanders 1.07: WR DK Metcalf 1.08: XXX 1.09: WR Marquise Brown 1.10: TE TJ Hockenson 1.11: WR Deebo Samuel 1.12: WR AJ Brown 2.01: RB Darrell Henderson 2.02: TE Noah Fant 2.03: QB Drew Lock 2.04: WR Parris Campbell 2.05: TE Irv Smith Jr 2.06: RB Damien Harris 2.07: WR Mecole Hardman 2.08: XXX 2.09: WR Hakeem Butler 2.10: QB Daniel Jones 2.11: WR Andy Isabella 2.12: RB Justice Hill 3.01: WR J.J. Arcega-Whiteside 3.02: RB Rodney Anderson 3.03: WR Diontae Johnson 3.04: WR Miles Boykin 3.05: RB Bryce Love 3.06: RB Alexander Mattison 3.07: TE Jace Sternberger 3.08: XXX 3.09: WR Jalen Hurd 3.10: RB Devin Singletary 3.11: QB Ryan Finley 3.12: TE Isaac Nauta 4.01: RB Devine Ozigbo 4.02: QB Jarrett Stidham 4.03: TE Foster Moreau 4.04: WR Kelvin Harmon 4.05: WR Gary Jennings Jr 4.06: WR KeeSean Johnson 4.07: RB Dexter Williams 4.08: XXX 4.09: RB Benny Snell Jr 4.10: RB Myles Gaskin 4.11: QB Will Grier 4.12: RB Trayveon Williams
  14. Rolling with Gordon against the Rams D. Raiders RBs had 13 catches (boosted by Jalen Richard but Richard was productive with 55 yards despite a long of 9) Cardinals RBs had 6 catches (on a day where Bradford completed 17 passes for 90 yards) with Chase Edmonds getting 5 himself. I think both could be sneaky starters if the Rams either blow out the Chargers or get into a shootout where Rivers is forced to throw the Bolts back into it to win the game. Gordon may not run for 100+ but I could see him finishing with a 30 Rushing + 7 catches for 50 Receiving and maybe 1 TD type game. Not especially fancy but solid in a PPR league and could challenge 100 total yards if he can generate anything on the ground in addition to his receiving potential. Ekeler could see 5-8 catches if he's on the field more to pass protect/be a safety valve judging by how Richard and Edmonds fared. A potential dirty RB2 if you need a flier.
  15. Just an observation from a Patriots homer but in re-watching the Stafford interceptions... Some of them were just poor reads/decision making. One of them was a bad read in which he tried to go deep sideline with a safety closing in whilst ignoring the blitzing Slot DB letting said Slot WR get matchup on a LB whom the receiver had beaten for a few yards. The Darron Lee pick was simply a well executed play. Lee beat the WR? trying to rub him going across and jumped the RB pass. If the rub were executed better, odds are this would've simply been a short completion for 4-7 yards. Can't really blame Stafford on this one. His final? pick was a really bad throw to a receiver down the seam covered by 3 defenders. Bad decision where Stafford just threw it up there.
  16. I always found these threads super helpful. Surprised nothing yet? Ian Rapoport‏Verified account @RapSheet 13m13 minutes ago - #Vikings CB Xavier Rhodes, listed as questionable with a hamstring injury, is playing today vs the #49ers, I’m told. He did practice fully Friday, which was a good sign. Ian Rapoport‏Verified account @RapSheet 5h5 hours ago - The #Panthers added TE Greg Olsen to the injury report Saturday with a back injury, but source said it was precautionary for tightness. He’s expected to play today vs. the #Cowboys.
  17. Gonna post my general thoughts re: Auctions that I've experienced/encountered over the past several years. Know your league's scoring and where the value lies there. Look at last year's end of year rankings. Depending on scoring, maybe QBs are more valuable and getting 2 elite QBs can push you over the edge whereas another league may prioritize receiving RBs higher than general allowing for better "middle" bidding bargains. Yet another league may reveal that QBs who ran a lot finished in the Top 10 and provided better value. If it's a re-draft, know you who want and go after them. At the end of the year, you won't be remembering if you got a "bargain" by paying $17 for Player X instead of $22 for Player Y despite wanting Player Y more. Last year I mostly went after guys I wanted and got lucky on the wire (Marquise Goodwin, Jamaal Williams) Don't get into bidding wars for players you don't want. You always run a risk of ending up with them at a higher cost than you expected because you got cute, trying to goad somebody else and it backfired. Let your co-league mates do the bid wars. Get your value in the end of the draft. Everybody knows about those guys who go for $1-$3 at the end of the draft, that's where you get your values and bargain picks. Don't be afraid to pull the trigger and overpay slightly for guys you really want that you know can push you over the top to a championship early on in the bidding. The overpaying gets balanced by getting a starting quality player for $1 later.
  18. 49ers @ Vikings is pretty good. Are the 49ers ready to make the jump and/or is Jimmy G for real? Are the Vikings for real with Cousins at QB or was last season a mirage? Does their defense remain top notch this year and retain the momentum it had last year? Rams @ Raiders is much for the same reasons. Are the Rams legitimate? Will Gruden and Oakland live up to the hype and/or showcase that preseason optimism that was seen prior to last year?
  19. I think Austin Hooper is kind of flying under the radar as a cheap, valuable pick at TE for potential breakout. While he has more competition with Ridley now, he did flash as a rookie with a 14.3 YPR and last year seemed like an acclimation year to Sarkisian's offense. Despite that, he improved his catch rate (to 75% with 49 catches), had over 500 yards receiving, and had a stretch over 6 games where he averaged 4 catches for 39 yards. Atlanta let Toiolo walk and don't really have a proven TE behind him unless you're eyeing Logan Paulsen or Eric Saubert. He could be a legitimate 3 Down TE on an offense that should take a step forward in Year 2 with their offensive scheme. I don't think he'd challenge TE1 numbers, unless his TDs rise dramatically, but he could be a bit of a sneaky late pick/FA pick up. Give him just 2 TDs last year and he would've jumped up from TE17 to TE10 in the year end rankings alongside guys like Witten and Hunter Henry.
  20. I actually think the Patriots have quietly amassed a really good, fast LB core with Dont'a Hightower at OLB, Elandon Roberts & maybe Bentley at ILB, and Rivers at OLB as their pass rush specialist. Christian Sam's flashed a little as well. I'm really looking forward to Eric Lee's progress at DE. He flashed a lot last year and I expect him to take a big step forward, possibly challenging 7+ Sacks if given a full season.
  21. My league does 2 DL, 2 LB, and 2 DB. Scoring generally has the top elite tier scoring around RB28 and WR/TE 43 level in my league. Part of the issue is the variance with IDP year to year e.g. who is a stud vs. who isn't and the scoring system in general. Also weigh whether tackles matter or "big plays" (Sacks, INT, Fumbles). In my scoring system, it skews heavy towards tacklers so the highest rated DL finished 16th overall (Cameron Jordan with 13 Sacks). Calais Campbell was 2nd at 19th with his 14.5 Sacks. With that all said, IDP are generally treated as afterthoughts on my offline draft as well, which is a shame. I've tried to push scoring for bigger plays but it's met mostly with resistance as league mates don't really want the IDP scoring to match the elite offensive players and their scoring.
  22. http://www.philly.com/philly/sports/eagles/dallas-goedert-malcolm-jenkins-zach-ertz-eagles-training-camp-awards-review-20180814.html "Shelton Gibson essentially had only one direction to trend after last year’s camp. But he’s locked down the fifth receiver spot ahead of Markus Wheaton– in this reporter’s opinion – and showed playmaking ability." "Donnel Pumphrey, Matt Jones and Wendell Smallwood. The Eagles have three running backs locked into roster spots – Jay Ajayi, Darren Sproles, and Corey Clement. They typically keep four and the job was up for grabs entering camp. Pumphrey showed improvement after a disappointing rookie campaign, but he suffered an injury and will miss at least the first two preseason games. Jones has also been banged up, but when he has played he has been underwhelming. Smallwood has been healthy – unlike in camps past – but his performance has paled in comparison to undrafted rookie Josh Adams."
  23. https://atozsportsnashville.com/tennessee-titans-jonnu-smith-will-matchup-problem/ "Smith seemed to struggle at times last year in that area of his game, but he says it is definitely improving and headed in the right direction. “I feel like [my blocking] getting there, it’s progressing. That’s just what I’m going to continue to keep doing, getting better every day, working on every element that comes with blocking—hand placement, my footwork, angles, striking. A lot of people think that to block, you have to be a big strong guy, but it’s really about angles.” That's always Step 1 IMO in getting onto the field is being a solid in-line blocker. If that's greatly improved, he'll definitely be getting his opportunities and Vrabel comes from teams (New England & Houston) which are used to using 2 or even 3 TEs.
  24. One thing I always try to do is to draft a guy on my favorite team whether it be a stud (ala Tom Brady last year) or somebody like WR Chris Hogan who's maybe further down on the depth chart. You get the bonus of watching your favorite team anyway, along with a bit more of an invested rooting for them to play well & win the game while knowing you can kill 3 hours at least without checking how your FF team's doing.
  25. I think it was less about making or not making the HOF and him pointing out the issue. What happened to Cris Carter (and TO) flies directly in the face of the mission statement of the HOF and I applaud Owens for having the courage to stand up for what he believes in. It took a lot more guts for Owens to call the writers out on this matter, while doing his acceptance speech from his college, than it would to just go, "Yeah, what they did was wrong and should be called out but I'll go through the motions and let it happen to somebody else down the road again."
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