Jump to content
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

Liquid Tension

  • Posts

  • Joined

  • Last visited


10 Good

Contact Methods

  • Website URL
  • ICQ

Profile Information

  • Gender
  • Location
    New Jersey

Previous Fields

  • Favorite NFL Team
    New York Giants

Recent Profile Visitors

4,056 profile views
  1. Dobbins, Hill and Edwards all with season ending injuries? Also Bateman with a bad one. Fire the trainer and the OC better ease up
  2. Gus is by far the best RB on their roster now. PFF had Gus as the 3rd best back last year (by their rankings). Anybody who understands and watches RB's can see he is a solid RB. He doesn't have great COD skills, but he is a big guy with good power and shiftiness and has speed as well. He is one of those guys that does not lose speed in pads, even if the 40 time wasn't good - not sure what it was). He can catch the ball but clearly has not been used in that role as others were better. But, do not underestimate his ability, he is solid! I view him as a Latavius Murray type of runner, but better than him now.
  3. Yeah, the Giants and jets are similar these days. I happen to like Judge so far, but if he was the one who chose our OC then I take a little back. First, just coming from Dallas was a negative. I will give him one last year as the OC. I just wish the OL was better because I can't even rate Jones as a QB because he has been tortured back there.
  4. Toney is talented and many people (Giant fans especially) didn't like the pick because he was supposed to be a late 1st early 2nd guy. Further, because he has been a non factor in the preseason, the Giants added Golladay, there are still questions about Jones, there are a lot of mouths to feed (Barkley, Golladay, Shepard, Slayton), and inexplicably, Gettlemen didn't add a single lineman (their biggest need) in a draft that was very strong in that department, makes one wonder how effective this offense will be. Jones was already one of the most hurried QB's in the game. BUT, that doesn't mean, Toney can't be excellent! Personally, I think it was a bad pick. While I am very big on trading back in drafts and I have been very critical of the Barkley pick and how Gettlemen never traded back until this year (I think he forced it to prove he could - he is that weak), I wanted the Giants to stay where they were and pick the linebacker Parsons (their other need). Ever since Gettlemen signed Jonathan Stewart, who was already done, for 7 mil for 2 years and then drafted Barkley, I knew he was a fool. BTW, I think Barkley is a terrific back, but nobody is ever sure about any pick (including my thought on Parsons), but I am very much into the value side of picks and Gettlemen thumbs his nose at it just like many people thumbed their noses at OPS type stats in baseball or using the shift. Back to Toney...I think the best things to do with him is let someone else take him and then after he has a fairly weak showing over the first many games, you try and grab him as a throw in later on (assuming deep keeper or dynasty leagues) Sorry for going off on Gettlemen, but as a Giant fan, I am so disappointed in him.
  5. I hope that most of us are not trying to win an argument as much as searching for the "truth." Defending your belief is 100% expected, but one shouldn't change their belief just because now they are the owner. That being said, changing/modifying your belief based on hearing/reading good info from other posters IS what this should be about and it is possible that is what changed your opinion...some. FWIW, I drafted Chase Edmonds in the 1st round (11th pick) of a 10 man keeper league (semi-dynasty).So it is kind of 11th round pick. In our drafts the top rookies tend to go 1st and then you get a few players that were not kept that should have been. Chase was dropped and the player kept Sony Michel and Henderson. I would not have done this, but that is why fantasy is fun.
  6. I think the same question hold water in many different formats (semi dynasty leagues (10 keeper) where does he go?) Also, and I think this is the most important question and maybe something for Bremel, but how have RB's come back from this injury? While everyone is different, understanding this can give yourself your own valuation.
  7. The act of catching a ball isn't what is at stake (what you list is correct), it is how valuable it is to the team by itself. A shovel pass or a bubble screen pass isn't very hard to catch and has no value unless the running side comes through. A forward pass you are already getting the yards for the catch (everything you described gets you those points/yards) and then you also get any yards as a RB afterward. A RB only gets the yards beyond the LOS. from PFF in 2018" "I’ve spent a lot of time in this space critiquing some of the most commonly used metrics (e.g. passer rating, yards per carry, etc.) and arguing for other metrics as being unfairly overlooked by the sabermetric and fantasy communities. Of all these statistics, I’m not sure anything is as underutilized as “first downs.” First downs extend drives and have a real positive impact on the game, far more so than anything like completion percentage or catch percentage. In 2014, Chase Stuart and Brian Burke found that a first down is worth the equivalent of 0.55 expected points or 8.7 yards. Leagues that award fantasy points for first downs are also widely becoming more popular in lieu of the now industry-standard PPR scoring. It makes sense too. "
  8. On Football perspective I found this interesting nugget "Brian Burke of Advanced Football Analytics fame, helped me determine the value of first down. His research concluded that a first down was worth about 9 marginal yards." This is inline with rewarding a point for a 1st down as most scoring is a point for 10 yards (on RB's and WR's) I also saw that QB's throw for a 1st down on on 35% of their attempts. I am not sure what the %'s for the other positions are, but I don't want to create greater positional discrepancies either. More data to be collected, but I need to get working
  9. Just for clarity,. I actually agree with both your comments. However, I do think there is a reasonable argument to be made to try and even out positional value a little, while rewarding the actual play on the field AND making it user friendly or easy. The bold above is 100% agreed and why I think PPR is the silliest rule and I don't understand how it became so widely embraced??? I think the "need" for positional value to be so even has really hurt the actual value of actual performance side that I think needs to be higher. I think PPFD should be used and I don't think PPR is a good rule I will try and find out the breakdowns of all 1st down and not just the top 5; if anyone else has that data it would be appreciated as well.
  10. A lot of good and fair comments about Tua and the Dolphins. The above sums things up for me. I am a Dolphin fan (and a Giant fan) and watched every Dolphin game. I agree that since Flores arrived the Dolphins have been different. As an organization, I think they have made mostly good moves. I was even fully in favor making the move to start Tua and then pulling him when we needed a spark. I think it is a great way to learn the NFL. In fact, I would have a rookie play every other (or 3rd) series so that he can absorb what he learned without going back in there without understanding what happened. As for Tua, coming off Covid and no off season and adding the serious hip injury, he performed very well overall. I will say that I was surprised that his accuracy wasn't as precise as everyone said it would be and his arm strength was on the weaker side without question. But, I agree with the above quote, this year will tell us a heck of a lot more and I anticipate he takes a large step forward as he had a lot working against him. BTW, he is a little small too and that is a little bit of a concern. Finally, I loved that the Dolphins traded down, but was not in favor of trading up - ended up being Waddle. Overall, both combined was still positive, but, I would have added Sewell. If they could have traded up and gotten Chase, I would have agreed it was a good move. At the end of the day, I don't know it Sewell will be good or Waddle will be good, but I don't have much confidence "they" know either and this is why I want more picks to help make better outcomes.
  11. Keeping my answers in bold, but underlined my last comment Thanks for all the thoughtful comments!
  12. This is excellent information and reinforces my thought about only allowing it for receptions. Do you know the breakdown for receptions (or anyone). Also, how many 1st down to QB's get running or catching the ball? Thank you for this Jedi
  13. Exactly, why not give people the option. I don't see how PPR can ever be better than PPFD, but more people than I ever thought would embrace PPR even though it has zero value on the field and is artificially used to try and level some perceived lack of equity. If we can find a to balance out any perceived inequity and do it in a way that makes people happy AND it is more representative of the actual benefit in the game, it is a win win.
  • Create New...