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Everything posted by moleculo

  1. As a guy who needs to have things made, I think the opposite. I mean, good on the people who don't have to do manual labor, but manual labor still needs to be done. I mean, how much would we have to pay people to make it worth their while working on an assembly line? I think it's more than 2x baseline..maybe 3x? All that gonna do is push jobs overseas and jack up distribution costs (who would want to work in distribution for marginally more than baseline?) I would be up for something like UBI after you have 20 years of accrued work or something like that. Something to ensure we still
  2. My factory is across the street from an amusement park. I can literally see rollercoasters from my parking lot. Despite everything being able to fully open, the park is still shut down. There is a big banner in front that they are hiring - I have never seen that before. It's the labor shortage preventing them from opening. Here's where it gets interesting: this amusement park has a history of hiring foreign nationals to work - most of the ride attendants are 20-somethings from Eastern Europe - Poland, Ukraine, etc. I think they have been bringing these kids over and paying them jack
  3. I'm sure this is has all been discussed; I'm late to the party. Let me give some anecdotal stories: My company is a manufacturer. When SHTF last summer, our sales dropped roughly 50%. to compensate, we furloughed 50% of the staff including labor. We had 50% of people on the assembly lines, which meant our thru-put was 50% of what it should be - i.e. where we could get a unit out in 1 minute before, it now took 2 minutes. The furloughed employees were technically laid off - separated from the company to they could collect unemployment and the additional stipend. When things norma
  4. I think it's absolutely fair that the WHO should use the virus as leverage to force their way into inspecting Chinese labs and ensuring safety protocols are appropriate and followed. That should happen regardless of cause.
  5. from a curiosity stand point, I get it. What happens next? sanctions? restitution? China isn't going to want to play ball, so is it worth risking WWIII over it?
  6. Assume we know 100% for sure that COVID was created in the Wuhan lab and escaped somehow. What difference does that make?
  7. I'd believe it. Certain groups have done a masterful job of sewing seeds of doubt and decoding trust in our institutions. This moment predates COVID by a lot. I'm not saying Fauci didn't make mistakes - he did. But, IMO this eroding trust I'm Fauci correlates strongly with eroding trust in all of the institutions that keep us safe.
  8. Yup. Be intelligent, witty, insightful, concise, etc or be ignored. I've found more than a few people (from both sides of the ideological divide) who are go on the ignore list. It had nothing to do with opposing opinions.
  9. I can't believe this guy was so high in the military/government.
  10. I think they should call it Livebetes. that way, instead of moping around saying, "oh no, I have diabetes", they can say "Look out world, I've got livebetes! Here I come!"
  11. yeah, that math behind epidemiology fascinates me...the way that overall populations can behave in predictable ways, even though on the micro level it doesn't appear to be so.
  12. I'm just sayin - if whataboutism is in play then I want to whatabout too.
  13. The reason it would be lower than that is demographics. Once the virus tears through the elderly, killing 5-10% of everyone in that population segment but an aggregate CFR of 1.5-2%, things would slow down. That's where the math gets murky, and this is what @Dr_Zaiuswas talking about above (He'll never make a monkey out of me). We can argue about true numbers of infected people across the entire population vs reported positive tests. But it's widely assumed the COVID death toll is underrepresented as well. There are errors on both sides of the equation. My general premise is that
  14. the media absolutely did not keep quiet about last summers race riots.
  15. What about protesters murdered by 17 year old vigilantes?
  16. I think so but once we reach that 70% immunity threshhold, COVID will be a part of our lives similar to the flu or chicken pox...something that is out there and deadly but we can deal with it. We will go get our yearly boosters and that will be that.
  17. Does he really claim to hate hyperbole?
  18. Thanks for posting. Their model projected 483k deaths by Feb 1 as a worst case. Actual number: 462K. Projected: 2k deaths per day in mid Jan. Actual number: up to 4k per day, so they under shot there.
  19. As a reminder: herd immunity comes with ~70% of the population being immune. With 330M citizens, that means 231M much have immunity via infections or injections. Assuming no vaccine, we are up to 33M now - 10%. We would have had to endure 7x more infected people and therefore, 7x more deaths, or roughly 4M dead Americans total. Until we hit 231M vaccinated or recovered people, COVID will continue to be a part of our lives.
  20. IMO, the real risk WRT kids is that they could carry the virus and transmit to someone who can't be vaccinated - i.e. the immunocompromised - cancer patients, transplant recipients, etc. I'm not worried about kids giving it to folks who choose to not vaccinate - that's the risk they have chosen to take. i'm also not concerned about health risks for kids - it doesn't seem a whole lot worse than the flu (for the most part) - yes there is a chance for long-haul symptoms but I don't think that is well documented at this point. That being said, the immunocompromised would be just as susc
  21. hold on a min... (A) I neve said anything about mandatory vaccinations. I said mask mandates and closures, but I would include capacity limitations, social distancing mandates, etc. That being said, what is the difference between mandatory polio vaccinations and COVID vaccinations? (B) what's the difference between public health and vehicularly safety? My general point is we already have laws on the books to regulate personal safety. Virus mitigation, IMO, falls under that same umbrella. This is precedent for the State to impose public health measures. (C) you say my exampl
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