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DAG

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Everything posted by DAG

  1. I moaned and groaned over the summer about the team’s approach to rebuilding - especially passing on Fields at 8. I’m glad to have been wrong so far. We’ll see how McCaffrey’s health holds up, and hopefully Horn heals up well. I’m still not totally sold on Darnold being a long term answer but he’s played a lot better than I thought he would and he showed real guts against HOU, standing in against pressure on several second half throws. The big thing to me is that the rebuild looks ahead of schedule, whatever this year ultimately brings.
  2. I’m sticking with NO over LV (the only decent streaming option left on waivers). I agree that they could bounce back.
  3. Maybe he tapped into Belichick’s feed?
  4. I think (as many people have stated) that it all comes down to health. If he can stay healthy a low RB1 finish seems fairly likely given volume and some improvements in the offense. I'm not so sure it'll be all systems go with Burrow this year after his injury. But the offense seems mostly positive. That said, I haven't been able to fully coming around to trusting him. I don't have anything empirical here, just the "perennial tease" feeling (which is probably unfair, because he has delivered solid production and hasn't missed as much time as it may seem). I only have him on one dynasty team, and the lineup requirements make RB less valuable than WR and TE. So I just need solid production from him. If I were in a different system I might look to move him more aggressively. The tricky thing with trading Mixon is his value will probably be deflated until/unless he puts together a stretch of RB1 production without health setbacks. My mindset is to hope that happens, then reassess whether I think it's sustainable. If not, that would seem the time to move him. So my approach is to hold and hope for the best. I think if you want out now, you are probably selling at a discount and you'd have to add a pretty valuable piece to upgrade into the next tier of RBs.
  5. Follow up story: tennis ball breaks Diontae Johnson’s right leg
  6. I had a rookie draft in late May I think, and MFL listed him as a WR (though his designation when the Rams drafted him was TE I believe). By the time I had another rookie draft in June MFL had changed him to TE. I’ve seen some Waller comparisons (as in oversized WR with a TE designation) which would be good for ff purposes. As with others, I have him on teams with short benches so hopefully he shows some promise soon enough to hold.
  7. Dane Brugler had him as his highest rated draft sleeper. Bloom was fairly high on him too in his post draft 100. I picked him in a couple of TE premium rookie drafts. It'll probably take a while for him to develop (if he does), but he seems like a really good flier to me.
  8. I read this too fast the first time and didn't see the word "celebration." I'm sticking with my original read, though, because it's better.
  9. Passing on Fields continues to sit in my stomach like a bad meal. Rappaport said on NFLN's broadcast that the team had him as their #2 QB. I don't know if that's true, but apparently McShay said they were really high on him before the draft, and there are some reports that certain members of the organization saw him as a "generational talent." Now, obviously I wouldn't care about any of that if I wasn't very high on Fields myself. This team just continues to improve at the margins and not at central/foundational positions. Unless Horn is a Ramsey or White type of CB, then he helps to improve the defense but not change the direction of the franchise. No LT help early (again). If Darnold improves upon his days as a Jet -- which I can see, though not to a top level -- then that's a few more wins. This team feels it is where it was last year and the year before, 7-10 wins, top 12-ish first rounder next year, rinse and repeat. I think Fields is a uniquely rare opportunity for a team that very rarely is bad enough to have a top 3 pick. Elite pedigree, college production, winner, and incredibly talented. I think this is a setback. Hope I'm wrong.
  10. I'm high on Fields and not too sold on Darnold finding a second life. I hope I'm wrong on one or both things. But I'm disappointed they passed on Fields. Horn is a very solid pick at an important position. So my concern is less about taking him and more about passing on Fields.
  11. Darnold working out seems unlikely to me. If Rap was right that Panthers were high on Fields you take him. Team has the #8 pick all the time for a reason. Stay on the treadmill.
  12. Panthers keeping up the tradition of being the least fun
  13. I think he may come at a discount in some leagues, just because of perceptions that he fell well short of the preseason hype that he would ascend as a top 5-type dynasty WR this year. That didn't happen, but the trajectory still seems there. Anderson's proximity in production plays in too, as he was widely regarded as more of a role player before this season. It all depends on your trading partners of course, but Moore was a subject of persistent frustration all season, even though his numbers we better than perceived.
  14. Good post (as is @Andy Dufresne's follow-up below). I've been someone who likes to build around WR for years, but the depth really is remarkable right now. The Dynasty Value Discussion thread documents this well. Look at the names rotating into peoples' top tiers every year (e.g. Lamb and Jefferson this season, who could be displaced or joined by at least a couple guys from the 2021 class). I don't know if I'll be able to resist drafting guys like Chase or Smith high (old habits and all) but there's a strong case for prioritizing other positions depending on format. The tough thing with drafting rookie TEs is the anticipated wait. But I wonder if Pitts profiles more like big-WR types (e.g. Jordan Reed, Evan Engram) who had early volume and success.
  15. I have a similar concern. I'd like to sell Kamara in the one league where I have him, but I think the window may have been in-season (for teams not competing this past season, obviously). Maybe I'm wrong but I think many people will lower his value because of the QB change.
  16. This is a superflex dynasty team that lost Dak, Barkley, Fuller among other good players. I'm grateful to have made it to the final, but I'm planning on second place. Before you ask "you don't have a better option than ____?" the answer is "no." L. Jackson/Dalton Gio AJB/Godwin/Diontae/Lockett/Gage Kelce WFT
  17. Everyone is already discussing durability and mental consistency, both of which I agree are primary barriers to solidifying his value. But I also wonder (as @travdogg mentioned) about the QB situation. If Ben comes back next season then that’s another year of delaying a transition that probably needs to happen. Ben won’t be so bad that they’ll get a high pick, and not good enough to threaten the field beyond short to intermediate passing, so Johnson could be valuable in ppr based on accumulation but that seems like best case. Then we’re hoping for maybe a later pick hitting at QB or a good FA acquisition. Claypool is in the same boat.
  18. I have both the WFT and CAR defenses in one league. Back and forth between them. If Haskins starts the CAR is tempting since he’s a little more likely to throw picks. But I think WFT is going to play hard.
  19. I’m going to lose to a team starting Coutee, Bowden, among other studs. I have the #1 seeded team.
  20. 😄 Yeah my team started out as a license to print money but has been decimated by injuries. I’m pretty fortunate to be in the semis.
  21. I have him in right now over Lamb, Gage, and Hines. I’m not excited about any of those options though I may switch to Gage if Julio is out. The appeal for Edwards, as mentioned above, is the potential for a positive game script. But I’m not starting with confidence.
  22. I need to start Hill in a superflex due to injuries (and he’s been saving me for sure). I will again this week but I’m a bit nervous that he could be pulled for Winston if he struggles again. There’s no evidence to base this on, but turnovers are a concern and they can’t afford to lose.
  23. As someone who needs Hill to do something (anything) I'm afraid they're going to remember this in the 2nd half.
  24. Not on in South Carolina. Yes, we have televisions.
  25. I've typically been an eye test guy but the last few years I've tried to work in analytics content into my thinking more (I don't do my own, mainly because I don't math well). So I'm all for a holistic approach, and I'll continue to pay attention to analytics for sure. That said, last summer I started to consume more analytics-focused content (podcasts and writers) and ended up talking myself into some guys like Taylor (jury's still out to be sure) who really didn't wow me when I watched them. So I will probably tilt the needle more heavily toward eye test , which has served me pretty well in the past.
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