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plastik

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  1. I'm pretty sure you can be put on the COVID list for simply reporting that you've been in close contact with someone who tested positive. I think that was the case for many of the players placed on the COVID list so far, as the NFL reported only 10 positive cases among all players and personnel between Aug 21-29, but many more than that were on the list.
  2. If outcomes were random, I suppose you'd win 8.3% of the time, so after Yeldon the rest were all losing propositions. The top four of those RBs would have all gone very late. If there is any lesson here I guess it would be to try to nab one high upside RB in the late rounds who's 2nd or 3rd on the depth chart.
  3. Big time. Thanks, Broadway! One thing concerning the rookies... Rookie running backs were probably pretty helpful at times, I think. Especially at their predraft value. There were some real landmines in Rookie WRs, though... White, Agholor, Perriman, and all of them were going in the first 8 rounds for significant spans if I remember correctly. If it's easy to run the breakdown of rookie RBs vs. WRs, it would be interesting to see. For me, diversity was key, as I made sure to expose myself to almost everyone, but tried to avoid overexposure. As I was drafting I was keeping track of exposure with this google document. I was highlighting players to target with green, made them yellow as I felt I was becomming too exposed, and red if I didn't really want to touch them or felt really over exposed to them. I put players I felt were being over drafted in purple and would only take them at extreme ADP value. I made this list of players with early season ADP. I'm not very savvy with spreadsheets and data, though, and I wished I could have re-sorted players according to ADP as it changed, but I just made due and paired this sheet with current ADP from MFL. In the end, all of my winning teams had either Freeman (3) or Martin (2) at RB, one had both. With all the discussion about early RB being important, it turned out just the opposite this year, with mid-round RBs doing very well. I feel like there will never be a consistent strategy (e.g. take a WR in the 1st and 2nd, or 3 RBs in the top 5, etc.) that can be taken as a rule, because success will always be about picking the players that blow up and avoiding those that get injured or bust. So to me it seems like diversity of approach is key, and to mine value at ADP at all times. If you can do that I suppose you can probably outperform the average. Next year, like this year, I'll probably try every different strategy in at least a few leagues... Early QB with Cam, TE with Gronk, RB early, load up on pass catching RBs late, and so on. Early in the year I'll also be looking to draft players coming off injury like Benjamin or Jordy, as I imagine they'll start with later ADP and creep up as the season approaches. Anyway, my two cents for now...
  4. Yup... and that one change kept me in 1st by .3 points which kept me profitable on the year. I was really unhappy with what I thought was a very narrow loss in that league, a loss that would have put me in the red on the year. In the end I paid for 38 leagues ($380). I won 4 ($400) and came in second in another 4 ($40 credit). That puts me at about 16% return. I feel good about that and will likely roll my whole bankroll into 2016.
  5. Cool and thanks. I did use a similar name ('e'), but I'll wait to ask you for this favor until mid season. I've been manually tracking my 39 leagues. Currently my average place is around 4.6. Hoping to climb a bit as Lamar Miller seems to be rebounding and I am heavily exposed to him (26%).
  6. I've got Freeman in 21% of my leagues, so that's good. I have Miller in more, and that hasn't been so good. I'm doing alright. My best team is at 964, a Gronk team with Freeman and Dalton. I actually have Dalton in 18%, which has also been nice. How do you compile and monitor your stats, Broadway?
  7. the problem IMO is the philosophy and the # of touches. 14, 15 and 10 from your lead back and then you have Jonas Gray come in from nowhere and get 9 carries for 49 yards to Millers' 7 carries for 38 yards. That's not a trend that I'd like to see as a Miller owner. The big appeal in Miller was the "high powered offense" and the fact that he was the only real option in the backfield. Fast forward to week 3 and the Fins offense has been terrible and all the sudden last week he's on the short end of an RBBC with cast away Jonas Gray. I was thinking of buying Miller but I think I'm going to do the cheaper thing and try and add Gray at the end of my bench and see what happens there. Box score scouting. Six of Grays carries For 45 yards came on Miami's final drive when they were basically running out the clock in a blowout. Miller was questionable in this game with an ankle injury, he had no reason to be in on that drive. I agree with the 'buy low.'
  8. Wow, that is some terrible writing. And I mean that completely independent of its content.
  9. I'm curious why you think they'd do better with taylor than someone like Cassell. Yeah, but also some other things too. Taylor looked really accurate in the preseason and both Harvin and Clay are great after the catch, and better yet, they've gone very late in drafts. Harvin is on WWs in one of my short bench redrafts. I could see a situation where BUF is very run heavy so Ds load the box and there's a lot of opportunities in the short to intermediate passing game, where either Harvin or Clay could pick up some nice chunk yardage and post lines like 3/75 with an occasional TD. Nice value for guys as cheap as them, with plenty of upside for more.
  10. Can't wait to see ownership stats. Who will be more highly-owned, Adams or Royal? Probably Adams. Use the querier. Adams (7740). Royal (4970). Adams by a landslide.
  11. Is it just me or does Tyrod starting make guys like Harvin and Clay, almost undraftable in most leagues, now sneaky upside plays? They seem like great end of the bench guys who migh hit early, and if not they're easy to send back to the player pool...
  12. Minor point, but I believe Joique Bell was a UDFA for BUF, then had stints in PHI, IND, and NOS.
  13. Adams way more valuable than Floyd now, wouldn't even think of doing that. Me neither. This guy habitually makes lowball offers, tagging them with: 'it's fair by FF industry standards.' Lol. What a jagoff. I'm in that league with you and I know EXACTLY who you're talking about without even looking to check his roster. Same guy offered me Antonio Gates and a late 3rd for my 1.10 during the rookie draft.
  14. I have Jordy in about 15% of my leagues... Oh well...
  15. We had discussed 'Gronk Teams' a while back, and I recently finished one that I think worked out pretty well. Of course, it all depends on how you feel about certain players, but for me this is one of my best (of six teams where I took Gronk in the 1st): Manning, Eli NYG QB 10.07 Smith, Alex KCC QB 16.07 Artis-Payne, Cameron CAR RB ® 17.06 Ellington, Andre ARI RB 4.07 Forsett, Justin BAL RB 2.07 Miller, Lamar MIA RB 3.06 Polk, Chris HOU RB 15.06 Ridley, Stevan NYJ RB (O). 19.06 Robinson, Khiry NOS RB 20.0 Agholor, Nelson PHI WR ® 7.06 Decker, Eric NYJ WR 8.07 Johnson, Andre IND WR. 5.06 Maclin, Jeremy KCC WR 6.07 Randle, Rueben NYG WR 11.06 Smith, Torrey SFO WR 9.06 Green, Virgil DEN TE 18.07 Gronkowski, Rob NEP TE. 1.06 Rudolph, Kyle MIN TE 12.07 Bills, Buffalo BUF Def 13.06 Texans, Houston HOU Def 14.07 One thing I wish I had done differently would have been to take a WR flyer rather than Virgil Green. I also waited really long on rB4 and went a bit overboard when I probably should added a WR in one of those spots too, maybe a 3rd D. It's certainly far from perfect but I'm generally happy with this roster.
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