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JPeso

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Everything posted by JPeso

  1. Well giving this some more thought. How many more seasons do you see Peyton playing at such a high level and therefore providing excellent opportunity for Thomas?Your question assumes DT needs Peyton. I'd argue quite the opposite. Same with Tebow last year, as alluded to a few posts above. This guy's name translates to the worst pass offenses in the league. I only wonder what he'd do with a guy that chuck it.
  2. You're not watching football if DT isn't a top 5 dynasty WR
  3. If you claim to have loved CJ Spiller for dynasty I want to see it on your teams. If you claim to love anyone in dynasty and have loved them then you own them before they appreciate. No better chest thumping than actually owning the cat pre-ascension.
  4. Don't remember seeing that a "year" ago. When you guys launched, which wasn't a year ago I don't think, he was around 20 for you and much lower for your partner, IIRC. You actually just had bumped him down to 13-14 range before the injury as well based on a light pre-season I assume. Do you own him on your squads?
  5. martin will outscore spiller over the next 6 weeksI would bet heavily on the Spiller side over the next 6 weeks.As would I.Me three.
  6. That's surprising. I've offered a bunch of low WR1s in various leagues for Spiller straight up and been rejected every time.The league I'm referring to is a work league, with government employees. Risk averse by nature.That explains it
  7. Spiller is not a top 5 dynasty back and McCoy is still worth more than Julio, in most formats. VORP dictates that HUGE value be placed on a young, proven, elite RB. While Julio is a top 2 WR, his advantage over the next tier is much smaller than Shady's, compared to the next tier of RBs. And Spiller for Jennings/Moore is not a steal. Very fair. Why treat Spiller as a top 5 RB already? There is no margin for error in doing so. Market will dictate top 12 - why pay more than that? He is not going to eclipse that top 5 ranking this season, most likely, so why jump the gun? There is a very real chance that he doesn't reach that top 5 tag, too.I don't consider VORP in my valuations, nor do I even know what it stands for. All's I know is Julio is my #1 dynasty WR and has been - I put more a premium on his next 10 years over McCoy's next 5, and I love McCoy with most of my heart (Julio just with all of my heart). I suppose I like my ability to get the next McCoy in the 5th round of start-ups (or in an established league, buying lower-level RBs that will appreciate in value). Jennings/Moore for Spiller is very fair on market, I concur, but that doesn't mean there is not a CRYSTAL clear side I'd rather be on.Different strokes is all.I'd say very even trade. McCoy is worth only slightly more than Julio IMO (#1 RB vs #2 WR), and Spiller for Jennings/Moore I'd take Spiller. A month ago, obviously not, but Jennings value is in free fall with the concussion, talk of possibility leaving next year, Cobb & James Jones nipping at his heals and now he's injured already. Moore is a very nice throw-in IMO, but still a throw-in.This is a whollllllle separate discussion but...I said the trade was fair. Very fair. This is the way you have to trade with owners who aren't asleep at the wheel - fair. Or if you have a strong team, less are willing to deal with you, you have to be fair or in most cases, overpay the market. This is an even market trade. But that's how you get ahead is by making market trades where you are forced to make a call. Some guys rely on rapes in trades to get ahead. But you cannot always do that and instead have to make trades where you lose on the market, or like the deal above, it's an even market trade. But you are making a call on the future. This is an even market trade with an edge to McCoy/Jennings/Moore. That doesn't mean you must follow the market and assume it's too expensive and thus not do the trade.
  8. Spiller is not a top 5 dynasty back and McCoy is still worth more than Julio, in most formats. VORP dictates that HUGE value be placed on a young, proven, elite RB. While Julio is a top 2 WR, his advantage over the next tier is much smaller than Shady's, compared to the next tier of RBs. And Spiller for Jennings/Moore is not a steal. Very fair. Why treat Spiller as a top 5 RB already? There is no margin for error in doing so. Market will dictate top 12 - why pay more than that? He is not going to eclipse that top 5 ranking this season, most likely, so why jump the gun? There is a very real chance that he doesn't reach that top 5 tag, too.I don't consider VORP in my valuations, nor do I even know what it stands for. All's I know is Julio is my #1 dynasty WR and has been - I put more a premium on his next 10 years over McCoy's next 5, and I love McCoy with most of my heart (Julio just with all of my heart). I suppose I like my ability to get the next McCoy in the 5th round of start-ups (or in an established league, buying lower-level RBs that will appreciate in value). Jennings/Moore for Spiller is very fair on market, I concur, but that doesn't mean there is not a CRYSTAL clear side I'd rather be on.Different strokes is all.
  9. getting Julio would make me do that even if I have to move McCoy. is it ppr?Yes, but man that is NOT cheap.Closer to cheap than it is sky high if this deal is an indication.Let's see here. Top 5 (top 10-12 to market, we'll say) dynasty RB acquired for Jennings/Moore = steal. McCoy and Julio are a wash. What am I missing here?ETA: Top 10-12 for market will be after Spiller continues to do work. I understand his market value in PPR dynasty is currently still probably RB16 or so. Not for long.
  10. Are you suggesting 70 rushing or 70 total? 70 rush/30 rec/.5 TD is still average of 13.
  11. Turrible. Spiller > Jennings alone.
  12. No way I do this in dynasty or redraft. For reference I gave Charles/1.7 for Spiller/2.1 several months ago.
  13. Because he consistently beat the DB off the LOS Wednesday, even deep into the 2nd half. No longer are route tree and fatigue issues relevant arguments for Dez. Don't get me wrong, I can understand not believing he will "take the next step," but when the next step is...right...there...it's tough to suggest there's a less than 50% chance he will take it. Redrafters have one more week to buy Dez from a league mate that believes 4/85 is a "letdown" (I have to believe they must not have watched the game). It would seem there may be several owners who would dump him, if this thread is any indication. But perhaps those that felt this week as a letdown don't own Dez? I'm not sure. I can't imagine anyone selling in dynasty if they watched the game. He looked phenomenal. 1-2 more targets and he's got 5/100/1. TDs will come. I would suggest Dez' TD rate is .7-.8 per game. Yes, he will have some games with no TDs, but that's something I can live with. I was very happy with what I saw on Wednesday, but perhaps I have goggles in to where I'm missing something I have not considered hundreds of times.
  14. The breakout 3rd year WR mantra isnt one for the elite WR prospects. His rookie year was better than most of those 3rd year breakout guys. The question is if he can take it to the next level, where he's annually considered a Top 10 lock type WR.I got him in the 5th rd rt around his adp. He was definitely being drafted as more like a top 20 WR. He is my Wr2. Maybe last yet he was considered top 10 in most defts but this year his value has been adjusted. I think he will far outperform his 5th Round adp and best his numbers from last season.My point was that he has Top 10 talent, good enough to be a yearly lock for that matter, but at this point only flashes it. He's been valued appropriately this year, as a 4th-5th rounder. The question, once again, is can he take that next step?!!?!Do you think he's going to take that next step?
  15. Guys, Dez not being Julio doesn't mean Dez isn't a pimp. It's Julio.
  16. He looked good, I agree, but he disappeared in the 2nd half again. I'm not sure why this trends keeps happening.This argument again?
  17. It's the guys who aren't possession WRs and thus are less dimensional as route runners that typically don't do well with poor QB play.
  18. Bennett has a nice athletic upside. He runs very well for a man his size. But he's far from a natural pass catcher. He's more effective on TE screens and other short routes because you can get him the football without the catch being the biggest focus. Anytime he goes vertical he has a tough time getting his neck around. I like that he at least attempts to catch the ball with his hands, but his hands are just not very good.
  19. The guy widely thought to be the 2nd best RZ threat in the game behind Megatron isn't tall enough to be a dominant RZ threat? Ok.Actually a year before it's "widely thought". Settle down!
  20. You lose all credibility with a statement like this.
  21. I will just add that I actually got them to add on MAX service WITHOUT extending my contract, which was to end in June 2013. He was hesitant but ended up saying yes. He then sent me to the confirmation department and the confirmation department guy tried to say they were extending my contract. I asked to be sent right back to cancellation again as that was not we agreed upon. Just be sure you are clear you are not extending your contract.
  22. Huh? We are exactly 2 years and 1 month from when he was drafted. 3 years later is just an incorrect statement, as is the silliness to think that after two years you can already write him off from being a stud. Did you write off Calvin when in year 3, he finished #21, his second sub top 20 in 3 seasons? Andre Johnson never finished above #18 until year 6. Fitzgerald had sub top 20 seasons in year 1 and year 3 as well, you probably dumped him as well thinking season 2 was an aberration. Greg Jennings has almost exactly the same year 1 and 2 as Dez. Tons of other WRs didn't break out until year 3 or later. I wouldn't say year 2 was disappointing by historic measures and knowing he was hurt (I posted that before the article last page) and had no offseason, I think he had a good season. I also know that it is a really silly statement to think he won't ever be a stud. I read the same article and it sounded more like he has his head on straight and wants to improve on last year.Some awesome stats here (too lazy to double check them so I'll assume they're all true) Signed, Satisfied Dez Owner Straight from FBG's rankings on the player pages. I don't know if Dez will be a stud or not and I have only owned him once in 6 chances the last two years. Not sure if I will even keep him as it would be for a 3rd, but I am targetting him if he falls. There aren't many AJ Green's out there that have great rookie seasons. In their rookie years, the best of all guys mentioned above was Andre who finished 23rd and then he finished 22nd and 46th the next two seasons. Fitz, Jennings and Calvin all finished 30+ in their rookie years. All the studs mentioned above had at least 2 out of 3 20+ finishes in their first 3 years. It happens, even to the guys we consider the STUDs today, so to say a 23 year old (pretty young for a 3rd year NFLer) can't be a stud when he finished 19th in year two and now has less competition is just plain silly.Part of it is from unrealistic expectations in previous years. It wasn't unusual last preseason to see people projecting Miles, Dez and Witten all having 1k+ yards and about 30 TDs spread amongst them. People made such predictions despite only the Chargers with Winslow, ever had a WR/WR/TE trio that all had 1k yards each.Maybe, but if Dez doesn't return that darn punt, he easily gets 1000+ with 10 TDs (had 928-9) and according to FBGs, that extra 80 yards and 1 TD would have put him at #12 right ahead of Nicks, Marshall, AJ Green and Laurent Robinson. Would that really have been a disappointing second year for a 22 year old guy?I drafted him in the 4th round (2 keeper, 12 team) and while he may have underperformed for me a tiny bit, I know he was just one stupid call by a coach away from being a WR1 and outperforming where I drafted him. Nicks, Green and Robinson all missed a decent amount of time due to injuries. Had they been healthy, Dez had no way of catching or passing them. That's worth pointing out if you are going to throw hypothetical's out there for Dez.That's not a fact nor a foregone conclusion. Dez outscores all three this year over 16.
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