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Ignoratio Elenchi

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Everything posted by Ignoratio Elenchi

  1. Free money just getting thrown at people right now in a battle for market share.
  2. The game's not until tomorrow night. I think 50 might be an underestimate.
  3. I guarantee if you get Rams +50 or whatever it ends up being and they lose by 51, FanDuel will pay it out as a winner anyway. It’s literally a can’t-lose bet.
  4. If you mean of the legal US sportsbooks I can only speak to NJ but I think the most betting options tend to be FanDuel, bet365, DraftKings (roughly in that order, depending on sport). And I guess PointsBet if you count all their weird markets. Best lines will vary all over, that's why you have to shop. Offshore you'll find better prices.
  5. ...that's partly why I like it. Edit: that wasn't a dig at you, by the way. Realizing now it might read that way. To elaborate on my comment: 1) Betting markets have varying levels of efficiency, but a big 3 NFL market a few hours before kickoff is likely among the most efficient markets you'll ever find. There's no way the under on an NFL game is ever a "low probability play," it's basically always by definition close to a 50/50 shot. 2) If you have a game where the general public sentiment is along the lines of "I am not sure they could print an O/U where I would take t
  6. Cheers is much closer in time to Happy Days than it is to now lol. Weren't they both on in the early 80s?
  7. It's easy to find people to discuss handicapping with you, there are forums all over the internet for that. As you noted, they're garbage. The people who actually know what they're doing have no use for discussing it with randos on the internet.
  8. Real answer is to get to know actual pros. Easiest way to do that is to offer to provide them with outs. People who do this for a living eventually get accounts limited to death and need fresh accounts to move money through. You can provide those accounts and then begin to learn the trade.
  9. Yeah, it's just a acquisition / reactivation bonus disguised as absurd odds. It's max bet of $50 so they're capping the cost from their end, but otherwise it is literally free money that anyone in an eligible state should be taking.
  10. I've entered this contest every year since the mid-aughts. This is by far the least amount of time I've ever spent on an entry. QB - Matthew Stafford - DET/5 - $14 QB - Jared Goff - LAR/9 - $12 QB - Drew Lock - DEN/8 - $8 RB - Derrick Henry - TEN/7 - $30 RB - Josh Jacobs - LV/6 - $26 RB - Devin Singletary - BUF/11 - $18 RB - A.J. Dillon - GB/5 - $9 RB - Antonio Gibson - WAS/8 - $9 WR - CeeDee Lamb - DAL/10 - $12 WR - Jerry Jeudy - DEN/8 - $12 WR - Sterling Shepard - NYG/11 - $11 WR - Emmanuel Sanders - NO/6 - $11 WR - Mecole Hardman - KC/10 - $10 WR - Parris
  11. Don't have a simple explanation this one but I figure it's just sampling 5 objects with replacement 20 times, and an online calculator tells me there are 10,626 possible combinations for that.
  12. For the most part there isn't. I've done it at just about every online book in NJ, typically you either get a 1x playthrough requirement, or the risk-free bet is refunded as a "free bet" that doesn't return the stake, only the winnings. In any case, it's all still free money if you do it right. Can easily clear $5k as a new user with little effort and literally no risk.
  13. Quick takes on the first two questions... a) 0.0024 b) 0.0012 c) 0.0006 Repeating digits gives you fewer permutations to win with. a) 10. If they play 6 games and one player wins 5 of them, the other player loses just 1. There are five possible choices for the 1 he loses (he can't have lost the sixth game, because it would have already ended). Either player could be the one to lose, so we double it to get 10. b) 140. There are (8 choose 4) = 70 different ways for the first 8 games to be split 4-4. For each of those, there are two possible outcomes in the
  14. Most people aren't handicapping NFL games, and most people who claim to be handicapping NFL games are terrible at it. In particular, anyone who's waiting for legal sportsbooks to show up in their state would be wasting their time trying to win money on NFL - if they were good enough to make money betting NFL they'd already be doing it offshore. Content that would be useful to most of this community is more along the lines of this: A new user in NJ right now could make something like $5k+ cash, completely risk-free, in no more than a week or so if they max out every sportsbook'
  15. There are tons of options here. You can wear tees and look nice, just get well-fitting solid colors or something. In between tees and button-downs you can go with polo shirts. Button downs always work, so I wouldn't dismiss them entirely - you can do long sleeve (with sleeves rolled up) or short sleeve. Make sure they're cut shorter to be worn untucked, don't wear your business casual Van Heusens hanging down past your ###. Any of those shirt options worn with a nice pair of shorts (again, well-fitting, flat front, not too long, no cargo pockets, etc.) and you'll look better than 95% of t
  16. A Woman Wrote An Amazon Vibrator Review That Was So Good, It Sold Out
  17. The person I quoted is asking why they’re allowed to play football but not sit in classrooms all day, so I’m assuming... no?
  18. Not an expert so I’m not saying it is safer, but kids playing football outdoors for a few hours seems a lot different than kids sitting inside a classroom all day. As a parent I’d be more comfortable with the former, given what I know about the disease so far.
  19. It would be just that, a novelty. You’d need it to be mandatory before any other businesses adopted the practice. Especially given the varying tax rates across different jurisdictions it seems like it would be a big headache for business with no tangible benefits.
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