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pghrob

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Everything posted by pghrob

  1. Right. The only problem is he's doing it in a far superior situation to what Davis was in early in his career. As I said above, I think Davis would have thrived much sooner had he had Rodgers as his QB early in his career.Great post. It gets me angry when he celebrates like an idiot on the ONE catch he managed to not drop out of the 10 thrown to him. He's so talented but so Gdamn frustrating to watch. I'm not sure if I'm ready to send him packing, though. He just has so much talent, size and speed that if GB does decide to unload him they should at least get a 1st rounder for him. Maybe a 2nd? I suppose all of his drops has hurt his value though.I sold high just prior to the start of the 2011 season. Traded him for Santonio Holmes, a 2012 1st rd pick (ended up being #2 overall) and a 2013 and 2014 2nd round pick.Damn. Nice haul. I know! It was an unbelievable return. I could barely contain my excitement when he made the offer. He thought Finley was the final piece to his championship team. Thankfully, he had an awful season and that #2 overall rookie pick is looking pretty good.
  2. Right. The only problem is he's doing it in a far superior situation to what Davis was in early in his career. As I said above, I think Davis would have thrived much sooner had he had Rodgers as his QB early in his career.Great post. It gets me angry when he celebrates like an idiot on the ONE catch he managed to not drop out of the 10 thrown to him. He's so talented but so Gdamn frustrating to watch. I'm not sure if I'm ready to send him packing, though. He just has so much talent, size and speed that if GB does decide to unload him they should at least get a 1st rounder for him. Maybe a 2nd? I suppose all of his drops has hurt his value though.I sold high just prior to the start of the 2011 season. Traded him for Santonio Holmes, a 2012 1st rd pick (ended up being #2 overall) and a 2013 and 2014 2nd round pick.
  3. You got it right - but I guess in my mind, regardless of what you call it, as a DeAngelo owner languishing in that RBBC situation, I am thinking my team is better off with Stewart than without him, and so his addition at the expense of losing TB Mike Williams, seems an overall improvement. Not to mention, I view Stewart as an exceptional and still relatively young talent at RB entering the prime of his career.Edited to fix errant adjective: exceptional
  4. Not true, I own him in one league and have gotten zero trade offers in the last year, so people haven't been exactly beating down my door to try to acquire him.During this past season at week #2 in my 12 team PPR dynasty, I was able to trade for Jonathan Stewart by giving up TB Mike Williams. Edited to add: Correction, the trade went down on Oct. 5, 2011. That was week 5.Here are Mike Williams stats through the first 5 weeks:Week 1 - 4 catches 50 yards 1 TD Week 2 - 1 catch -4 yards 0 TD Week 3 - 5 catches 43 yards 0 TD Week 4 - 5 catches 66 yards 0 TD Week 5 - 4 catches 28 yards 0 TD I am a Williams owner in one league and by that time (through the first 4 to 5 weeks) the handwriting was on the wall that perhaps he was going to have a sophmore slump. Hindsight is 20-20 but I think that tends to support my contention that Stewart didn't retain top trade value last year. FWIW, my thoughts at the time were that Mike Williams was losing value quickly. As a DeAngelo owner for 2 years, I coveted Stewart and was absolutely thrilled to get him for TB Mike Williams whom I had drafted in the 2010 rookie draft at pick 4.08. Now maybe Mike Williams will turn it around and be a PPR asset if the Bucs right their ship, but I am thinking I got the better end of the deal with Stewart both as a young gifted RB and as the handcuff to DeAngelo.
  5. I was going to post something similar. Jonathan Stewart is far from an aging or washed up wasted away type player but instead very much a fantasy commodity. He is younger than Arian Foster and has been gently used. He has one year left on his contract with the Panthers and he is not turning 25 until March of this year.
  6. Not true, I own him in one league and have gotten zero trade offers in the last year, so people haven't been exactly beating down my door to try to acquire him.During this past season at week #2 in my 12 team PPR dynasty, I was able to trade for Jonathan Stewart by giving up TB Mike Williams. Edited to add: Correction, the trade went down on Oct. 5, 2011. That was week 5.
  7. I only play redrafts, so this is only for this season. The converse of your statement is that with no one competing with AJ Green for catches he willalso be double teamed on most plays. Jones, on the other hand, will almost never be double teamed because of Roddy White.Seems that the performance of Dalton is what will make or break Green this year. Simpson and Gresham and Shipley all appeared poised at the end of last season with Palmer. I am not classifying them as all world, but they were able to produce. If Dalton can demonstrate an ability to connect with the open receiver, then defenses are going to need to respect those three as well as Green. Add to that the fact that Cedric Benson is a proven runner, and I have a hard time understanding where people keep coming up with "Green is going to be constantly double teamed" type statements.
  8. Well, if you are thinking of taking Jones over Green, and you have a high pick (1st or 2nd overall) see if you can dangle it to an owner who might want Ingram or Green and try to bank some additional picks.
  9. You can't beat that at Cas Walker'sDamn, that guy must have stayed at a Holiday Inn Express last night or something.
  10. I hear ya and give some credence to situation as being a factor in success, but don't lose sight of the fact that Cincy passed on the King's Ransom offer from Atlanta for the 4th pick and then let Carson, TO, and Ocho go, choosing instead to go with the youth movement in Green and Dalton. They will feed Green, loading him with as many targets as he can handle. His pedigree is such he won't have too many drops. Gradkowski is more than capable of getting him the ball. All this leads me as seeing Cincy as having the better situation for bringing about a new WR1.You know, when I think of savvy front offices and organizations that are making the right move at just the right time...I think Bengals... Lmao.....gotta love those bungles....er um Bengals.Eta that Mike Brown could do a lot to dispel bad reputation by getting something in a trade for Carson Palmer.
  11. I hear ya and give some credence to situation as being a factor in success, but don't lose sight of the fact that Cincy passed on the King's Ransom offer from Atlanta for the 4th pick and then let Carson, TO, and Ocho go, choosing instead to go with the youth movement in Green and Dalton. They will feed Green, loading him with as many targets as he can handle. His pedigree is such he won't have too many drops. Gradkowski is more than capable of getting him the ball. All this leads me as seeing Cincy as having the better situation for bringing about a new WR1.Was Atlanta going to take Green? Cinci could have restocked their team thru the draft with 5 extra picks and hunkered down and took a WR? I saw this movie once in Detroit and it didn't play out too well until Calvin arrived.Yes, reports are that the Falcon and Bengals held discussions for the Falcons to move up to #4 and select Green.http://www.cincyjungle.com/2011/4/28/2140956/2011-nfl-draft-bengals-felt-falcons-trade-offer-was-undervalue
  12. I hear ya and give some credence to situation as being a factor in success, but don't lose sight of the fact that Cincy passed on the King's Ransom offer from Atlanta for the 4th pick and then let Carson, TO, and Ocho go, choosing instead to go with the youth movement in Green and Dalton. They will feed Green, loading him with as many targets as he can handle. His pedigree is such he won't have too many drops. Gradkowski is more than capable of getting him the ball. All this leads me as seeing Cincy as having the better situation for bringing about a new WR1.
  13. http://mattwaldmanrsp.com/2011/08/01/eye-catching-tweets-from-nfl-camps-82/
  14. People seem to bring this up a lot around here, certain WRs not having the "bulk" to play in the NFL. Is there anything to back this up? Many WRs have done just fine without having to bulk up. It seems to me it's not about bulk, it's about technique. Is there evidence to suggest that WRs need to "bulk up?"Wasn't Randy Moss 6'4" 210 lbs while terrorizing db's over his illustrious career?Look at #5 on this list Green is 6'4", 211 lbs.Exactly.....I am not worried about his frame/build at all.
  15. People seem to bring this up a lot around here, certain WRs not having the "bulk" to play in the NFL. Is there anything to back this up? Many WRs have done just fine without having to bulk up. It seems to me it's not about bulk, it's about technique. Is there evidence to suggest that WRs need to "bulk up?"Wasn't Randy Moss 6'4" 210 lbs while terrorizing db's over his illustrious career?Look at #5 on this list
  16. This is not my argument at all. Go back and read my original post. I'm saying that things being relatively equal, the guy in the better situation should get an edge. The question is really then, whether or not Green's talent is significantly better than Jones' talent. I don't know that the gap is big, or even there at all.I disagree that Jones is in a better situation to put up fantasy numbers.That's great. Why?Jones has to fight with one of the best wr's in the game for targets. AJ Green has to fight with...nobody significant.From a real life point of view, it's better to have multiple threats to defend against. For fantasy purposes, I'll take the guy who is the lone weapon and is force fed the football. Green has to fight double coverage and Jones doesn't Shipley, Simpson, and Gresham should be able to draw safeties and other nickel/dime backs so as to free Green up from continual double coverage.
  17. I get a kick out of people who characterize Dalton as having a noodle arm. He comps well to Drew Brees when he came out of Purdue in 2001.
  18. Chris has AJ Green ranked below Julio Jones based on situation. http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/37892/69/dynasty-rookie-ranks?pg=2 I know the Bengals have been weak in the front office and are essentially a mess right now with the Palmer issue, but historically they have had decent production at wr. Chad 85 had some rather monster seasons from 2003 to 2007. http://subscribers.footballguys.com/players/JohnCh01-2.php. When Calvin Johnson came out, there was nothing in Detroit to indicate he was going to an offensive juggernaut...yet things seem to be turning out okay for him. How many people are avoiding Green and going with Julio instead because they perceive the Bengals situation to detract from Green's development and performance? Dalton is no Ryan but he should be able to feed the ball to Green just as other lesser qbs have been able to count on top flight wrs. Look at the monster years that Delhomme delivered for guys like Mush and SS. I think people who pass on Green due to situation are passing on a real gem of a wr.
  19. I like what you're trying to do but why do you have such a specific formula when the majority of your input is subjective? Also, it seems like you might be adjusting the formula and your inputs to meet a predetermined view of what the output should look like. It seems like it would be better to come up with your weights and inputs first and accept whatever outputs you get until next year. At that point, look back and make adjustments to your formula, if needed (unless you did this last year, then just make adjustments to the formula from last year and apply it to your inputs this year). Trying to match the outputs to a predetermined subjective ranking doesn't seem very helpful. Something like what he is doing here might be useful as a rating tool to be administered by numerous raters. So while subjective, if it is precise and accurate, it might end up being a decent tool. But then it will only be as good as the people who use it.
  20. Wow. Looking at that list I would say your system is flawed. I know he had a bad year compared to last year but I have a hrad time seeing Chris Johnson out of the top 5.This system might do better if he made the rushing and receiving metrics the average of the player's last three years. Or maybe better yet, the average per game for each from the total games played over the last three years. That would seem better than just going over the 2010 production.
  21. There is no case to be made. I think the Steelers have been throwing the ball more than they would like to, even still. I think that if the offensive line allowed Mendenhall to eat up more clock, he would be asked to do so. Big Ben is getting by off of one top 3 finish and I don't count on that happening year in, year out. The distance between Big Ben and the elite is big. The distance between Big Ben and the lower end QB1s, is exaggerated. I don't think Big Ben is any more likely to finish top 5, any given season, than the likes of Matt Schaub. I agree with this. In my dynasty rankings I have my #2QB Rivers 14 points higher than my #5QB Big Ben, and Big Ben only 9 points higher that my #16QB Josh Freeman.Not sure what Ben needs to do to gain respect. Since week 6 of this year he is 4th in fantasy points scored for passing behind Brady, Vick, and Rodgers...trailing Rodgers by less than a point.http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/d...att%2Brsh%2Brec Talk about twisting stats. Why start at week 6? Most QB's had their bye in those weeks, and Ben had his in week 5. Big Ben in the 10th ranked QB since week 5, and since week 6 he is the 14th ranked QB in PPG.Bad technique on my part. I was just trying to compare his passing performance straight up with all others since his return. I see the folly in that since it is foolish to discount the other qbs performances leading to that point while also penalizing those who may have missed games since week 6.
  22. There is no case to be made. I think the Steelers have been throwing the ball more than they would like to, even still. I think that if the offensive line allowed Mendenhall to eat up more clock, he would be asked to do so. Big Ben is getting by off of one top 3 finish and I don't count on that happening year in, year out. The distance between Big Ben and the elite is big. The distance between Big Ben and the lower end QB1s, is exaggerated. I don't think Big Ben is any more likely to finish top 5, any given season, than the likes of Matt Schaub. I agree with this. In my dynasty rankings I have my #2QB Rivers 14 points higher than my #5QB Big Ben, and Big Ben only 9 points higher that my #16QB Josh Freeman.Not sure what Ben needs to do to gain respect. Since week 6 of this year he is 4th in fantasy points scored for passing behind Brady, Vick, and Rodgers...trailing Rodgers by less than a point.http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/d...att%2Brsh%2Brec
  23. The Mendenhall owner was looking to trade him because he does not like having Steelers. I know that is a recipe for losing but it is his team. Anyway, last Sunday night , week 7, he sends me an offer of Mendenhall for Knowhon. He called me and told me he sent the offer online but that he is unsure and is thinking of withdrawing it. I tell him I like it but I can't accept as trades are frozen until Tuesday but would as soon as I could. He ended up withdrawing it. He ended up rolling him up in a trade as follows: Mendenhall and Eddie Royal for Shonn Greene and Jordan Shipley and the guys first rd. Pick in 2012. The Mendy guy called me before finalizing that trade to tell me what he was close to getting and give me a shot at getting him. He had indicatedd that he would want Knowshon and his own 2011 first rd. Pick back that he traded me earlier this year for Dwayne Bowe. I passed on the chance. FWIW Shonn Green was traded during this years rookie draft for the 5th overall pick that ended up being Dez Bryant. 12 team ppr league.
  24. I do not think Moreno had a "very good rookie season." When you're outplayed by Correll Buckhalter, you have a ways to go IMO.NAME TM RSY TD RCY TD FPTK Moreno DEN 947 7 213 2 170 C Buckhalt DEN 642 1 240 0 94 P Hillis DEN 54 1 19 0 13 L Jordan DEN 86 0 0 0 9If Buckhalter blew away Moreno...the stat line doesn't show it. Maybe he had more yds/carry?
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