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DexterDew

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Posts posted by DexterDew

  1. Playoff team available for active devy owner. Premium TE scoring (Kelce finished 1st and Weller 7th above all RBs and WRs)

    Highlights of league and team:

    Deep roster of 30 in season, 35 off season
    10 Man Devy Taxi Squad (devy can be on active roster, too)
    Start 11, No K or D
    Brady, Roth, Tua, M Thomas, Jeudy, Boyd, KELCE, WALLER
    Devy players Slovis,  JT Daniels, and Breece Hall
    Devy pic 1.09

    Devy draft ready to start when new owner is up to speed.

    Link to full roster:

    https://www79.myfantasyleague.com/2021/options?L=32421&O=07&F=0002

    Message here, DM or email me at hesbonafide@yahoo.com

  2. looked at the snap splits at Rotowire and saw some interesting nuggets in terms of usage:

    Snaps

    Kelce 1019, Waller 992, Hock 767, Fant 732

    Lineup Tight/In Line

    Fant 84.7%, Waller 64.9%, Hock 62.1%, Kelce 39%

    Routes/Snaps

    Hock 60%, Fant 55%, Waller and Kelce 52%

    Routes/Targets/% Targeted

    Waller 516/146/28.3%

    Kelce 536/145/27.0%

    Fant 406/93/22.9%

    Hock 460/101/21.9%

    All this indicates to me that Pitts will run routes between 50-60% of his time on the field. By the second year, I would expect at least 20% of those routes he will be targeted... and all that matters in FF is targets. So landing in a place like CIN or ATL in the short run seems to be preferable to MIA. Where he lines up doesn't matter.

    I think stylistically, Pitts is a better Graham/Fant. Don't know if that means he gets a Kelce/Waller target %, but i would think any OC would want to maximize match ups. YMMV

     

     

    • Like 2
  3. with established teams, i try to shore up my rosters for playoff runs if i think i have a Top 4 team...  but i don't think i have ever gone "all in" to the extent that i trade valuable young assets. Draft pics are different. I mainly play in devy leagues and rarely keep my rookie 1sts since they are later and the pool is depleted (3 years ago netted Ebron before the season, 2 years got Jackson/Samuel for Roth and my 1st, this year during the season RJIII). I keep my devy players and picks longer to try and replenish the youth pipeline.

    I construct rosters in rolling 3 year periods, laddering the ages at each position like bonds or cds. The older players have zero trade value and I am willing to let them die on my roster. Guys like White, M Jones, Hilton may be a bye or flex filler... but to have the chuztpah to start in the playoffs? Jones, maybe.

    I respectfully disagree with CC about playoff appearance volume. Any chance to get money back and have a weighted coin flip for more money should always be taken. I'm realistic with three teams that are 6 seeds, but on any given Sunday, Monday and sometimes Tuesday and Wednesday, anything can happen. I rather have that than the 1.06 rookie pick. Any team that has no shot at the playoffs i am always looking to acquire youth/picks. But some leagues picks are thrown around like manhole covers

    as for finding value on the WW besides Robinson, last year Higbee before his run and Tonyan after week 3 are hits... usually you find some emergency depth like Bridgewater or Edwards Balt RB. But if its a 14 teamer and/or larger rosters, there is very little out there on the WW.

  4. have quite a few shares of AJ, some handcuffed, some not...

    i thought holding him out vs Min was because GB felt like they could win without him at home, and wanted him 100% healthy (which nobody really is week 9).

    this game is pretty much a must win game for GB to right the ship, and even though SF is very dinged, they can still run the ball and play keep away against a poor GB Def, so i think AJ will play and I will start with confidence

  5. Good talk on the lower tier RBs...

    I've sold Robinson for a later 1st, and have him in my weekly lineup for contending teams. I have no problem turning a quick profit. And almost had one owner accept a straight Robinson for Akers trade. Robinson has a high floor in PPR. I don't know what kind of competition or coaching staff he will have in 2021, but he's making a case for Jax to spend resources elsewhere. I'd buy for a late first if i was a contender, maybe high second if not if i had lots of draft capital (down on RBs in 2021, but WRs, TEs and QBs will fall to the 2nd and 3rd next year)

    I sold Montgomery early this year in a rebuild (late 1st and 2nd), and targeted him in a couple leagues when I lost McCaffrey. Had to "settle" for Jones for a devy depleted 1st round rookie pick. Liking that trade since he has performed well and is still young enough to get better.

  6. On 10/6/2020 at 10:14 AM, DexterDew said:

    didn't think i would make it, but did by a whole 0.25. Not optimistic with my WRs and losing Goeddart

    made another week by a whopping 2.25.

    i should feel good knowing the only injuries i have had are Goedert and Bryan Edwards (and a K was cut preseason), but i'm barely scraping by with a healthy roster... so not so much

  7. Appreciate the write up and forthcoming approach EBF!

    We all have "our guys" in rookie drafts, and end up with them in multiple leagues. I agree this is a draft to load up on WRs early an often.

    I've done 8 rookie drafts so far and have three starting today. Not a single QB taken so far. A couple late fliers at TE  (Asiasi and Trautman). My favorite later RB has been Kelley, so a few shares. I'll edit the post for my WRs after this weekend's drafts

    • Like 2
  8. On 4/25/2020 at 11:45 AM, DexterDew said:

    took over a rebuild with only two pieces (Jackson and Kupp) and somehow finished well enough to get 1.06, etc.

    12 team graded PPR (0.5, 1.0, 1.5)

    Sent Kupp

    Got 1.07. 2.07, Washington (Pit) and Cohen (i have Montgomery)

    was able to trade back from the 1.07 so this is the net results:

    Sent Kupp, 3.06 and 4.06

    Got Ruggs, Higgins, Edwards (plus Washington and Cohen). Plus my 1.06/2.06 netted Lamb and Shenault

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