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mdlane

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Posts posted by mdlane

  1. Worthless hype. The guy has two good games vs the same crappy team. It's still Tate's job...

    Because 11 carries for 55 yards and a TD is not a good game and the BAL defense is crappy

    Keep starting him thinking he's better than Tate, like I give a crap.

    You're right, Crowell's worthless. Please keep throwing Crowell back to the waiver wire, and convincing others to do the same.

    I wish there were more people like you in my leagues :(

  2. Right but my understanding is that 10 months is for 4 incidents under the new rules, and he only has 3 incidents even if we assume, for now, that the old rules applied to his last positive test.

    Does your understanding that ten games is for four violations come from the same place as your understanding that he's having the four-violation penalty applied to him?

    I suspect that if one piece of that puzzle is wrong, they probably both are. If Gordon has only three violations, I think it's likely that he's having the three-game penalty applied to him, and that ten games is for three violations.

    I'm just guessing, though. You're right that it's odd that the "four violations" thing is being thrown around without further explanation (or retraction).

    Pretty much. The simplest explanation is that "four violations" was a misstatement

  3. Ian Rapport just said they are using the old tolerances to charge Gordon but the new drug suspension rules to suspended him. It's his 4th offense, 10 games in this case. Looks like the NFL picks and chooses what they want to follow. BS

    The new policy is retroactive back to the beginning of the league year, which is March 11, 2014.

    That's not BS. That's perfectly sensible. In fact, it's quite favorable to the players.

    Think about how rules are changed in your own fantasy leagues. They're usually not retroactive at all. They usually don't take effect until next year. But when they do take effect during the current year, they'll only be enforced back to the beginning of the year. They're not going to go back and change results from the previous year.

    Gordon's positive test occurred during the previous year. His suspension was handed down this year. That's why they're not disturbing the test results, but are adjusting the length of the suspension.

    Right but my understanding is that 10 months is for 4 incidents under the new rules, and he only has 3 incidents even if we assume, for now, that the old rules applied to his last positive test.

    So why is the penalty for 4 incidents being applied to him?

  4. People get too caught up in the running. 150 yards passing and three turnovers is awful. Wilson was the better QB and that was the difference in the game.

    Wilson had a running game, with Lynch over 100 yards.

    Kap had no running game support, with Gore averaging 1ypc.

    Wilson was a supporting actor in the Lynch show. JSmith and the pass rush slowed down in the 2nd half when they had to read run first each time. No such threat excited for Kap, and the DL just teed off on him. Kap had to shoulder the load and was the entire offense.

    I don't see how any discerning NFL fan could compare the two based on last night's game.

    It's actually pretty easy to compare the two as both teams are built similarly. Wilson was actually under a lot more pressure the entire game yet still made better decisions.

    Seattle had an effective running game in the second half because they continued to pound the ball even when they couldn't net the yardage in the first. San Francisco probably could have had similar luck had they decided to run their backs instead of their QB.

    Wilson was the better regular season QB, the better post-season QB , and the better QB in head-to-head match- ups. He's just better right now. Kap always has next year to catch up though.

    Wilson was not significantly better in the post season or the head to head matchups.

    In SF, Kaep had more yards than Wilson, the same number of TD/Ints, and of course won the game. There is no way you can say Wilson was significantly better unless you just like Wilson a whole lot and are biased.

    In Seattle, where a QB can't call an audible due to crowd noise, Kaep had 283 yards, 1 TD and 2 Int, and Wilson had 215 yards, 1 TD. Wilson is obviously ahead on turnovers, but overall his performance was very Alex Smithian and not significantly better than Kaep's. Without Kaep, the Niners had no offense, period. The Niners are not even in that game without Kaep. Whereas Wilson has the luxury of being mediocre/below average and and just not turn the ball over.

    The joke here is how anyone outside of Seattle could have called Wilson the MVP.

  5. The thing about Kaepernick that cannot be understated is how much better he is this year. WTH did his accuracy come from?? The offseason reports were middling, at best, then out of nowhere he beasts in the second preseason game, and hasn't slowed down since. Who developed and coached this guy? That is the coach that should get a huge contract - a QB whisperer.

    It's Geep Chryst, who if Roman leaves for an HC job will probably take over as OC. So you don't want him to leave of you're a 49er fan.
    Wow, no, I don't. Not knowing anything else about him, he is a genius for his work on Kaepernick.
  6. I really don't like the 9ers and hate for it to be true, but kudos on finding an obviously super-talented QB and a great coach.That was amazing.Also: The pro game is changing. What happened to "this is a passing league." The QB position is looking to become more run oriented than any time since the 1940's if this keeps up.

    Harbaugh is the kind of coach that bends his offense to put his players in the best position to win. If the Niners were lucky enough to get Luck, Harbaugh would not be running the pistol, and we'd all be extolling the virtues of a pocket passer.
  7. Matt Maiocco ‏@MaioccoCSN

    49ers inactives: Tolzien, Jenkins, James, Looney, Tukuafu, Robinson, I.Williams are inactive. Brandon Jacobs is active.

    Cam Inman ‏@CamInman

    #49ers announce inactives & "no lineup changes." Alex Smith is listed as the starter on depth-chart gamecard. But Kaep was in last lineup

    Cam Inman ‏@CamInman

    We're trying to get clarification from #49ers on what "no lineup changes" defines regarding QB situation. Developing ...

    I really give this about a 60/40 chance of Kap actually starting. Which is enough for me to have him active in all leagues.. so far. :P

    Matt Maiocco ‏@MaioccoCSN

    49ers inactives, and 49ers officially say, "Kaepernick is expected to start."

    The most interesting part is that Tolzien is inactive. Niners obviously confident about Alex's health and preparation.

  8. Matt Maiocco ‏@MaioccoCSN

    49ers inactives: Tolzien, Jenkins, James, Looney, Tukuafu, Robinson, I.Williams are inactive. Brandon Jacobs is active.

    Cam Inman ‏@CamInman

    #49ers announce inactives & "no lineup changes." Alex Smith is listed as the starter on depth-chart gamecard. But Kaep was in last lineup

    Cam Inman ‏@CamInman

    We're trying to get clarification from #49ers on what "no lineup changes" defines regarding QB situation. Developing ...

    I really give this about a 60/40 chance of Kap actually starting. Which is enough for me to have him active in all leagues.. so far. :P

  9. So many people would be upset if A.Smith was the starter 5 mins before game time..

    Or even worse, 5 mins after. Kap trots on to the field, hands the ball off to Gore for a play, and then Smith takes over. I really don't trust Harbaugh, and it's hard to feel 100% confident unless Smith is inactive. I hope it's Kap, though, as a fan I am really looking forward to watching more plays like the option on the Hunter TD. Just looks so slick.
  10. this seems pretty stupid after one good game. time will tell.

    Not really. Nothing makes this move permanent- if Kaepernick sucks, Smith is still on the roster ready to resume his duties. Don't try to tell me that this will rattle his confidence, because that ship has long sailed- 49er fans have been calling for his head for years, every major football analyst was labeling him one of the biggest busts ever and comparing him to David Carr, and he played with something crazy like 7 offensive coordinators in his first 7 years. Last year, he finally had a great season and led his team to the NFCCG, and Harbaugh rewarded him by going hard after Peyton Manning and letting Smith test the free agency waters. And Smith responded to that vote of absolutely no confidence by coming back and having another extremely solid season. At this point, being benched so the coaching staff can evaluate his backup is nothing Alex Smith isn't used to. And if the coaching staff, after giving Kaepernick an extended audition, decide that their best chance to win lies with Alex Smith... well, Alex Smith will be right there to step back in and provide the Niners with their best chance to win. Evaluating Kaepernick is a no-risk, no-downside move. While it doesn't provide a downside, it provides plenty of upside. I think we all agree that the Niners offense is potentially more explosive with Kaep taking snaps. Moreover, Kaep was drafted high to be the quarterback of the future (#36 overall), so at some point the coaching staff has to see what they have in him. Smith's deal is essentially a 1-year contract, so if they don't evaluate Kaep in live action, the Niners are essentially flying blind this offseason- do they let Smith go and roll with Kaep, or do they need to keep Smith around for another couple of seasons? At some point, the decision needs to be made. This is the perfect point- they've built up enough of a lead that they aren't risking a playoff spot (although they are risking seeding), Kaep already has a lot of goodwill from the fan base after last week's performance, Smith is still nominally recovering from an injury, Kaep can take some live bullets from playoff-caliber teams so Harbaugh can decide which way to go in the actual playoffs. Plus, it gives his opponents one more thing they have to prepare for. High upside move, little to no downside (Kaep can be replaced at any time, and at the very worst all you're risking is seeding), it seems to me like this is the only smart play available.
    Also, it's not just one good game. Go back to the fourth preseason game and you will see the same ability to extend plays, play action, run the ball, accuracy, etc. Kaepernick is not the same player he was last year. I'm not sure if he'll excel, but starting in the middle-end of offseason, his accuracy was getting a lot of hype (until the mid/end of this offseason, the rap was grim re: all the Niners QBs so far as accuracy), and he and Johnson were the only QBs willing to push the ball deep.Calling it "just one good game" only proves you haven't followed the Niners for the last several months to be honest.
  11. The thing I like most about Kaep is his ability to extend plays. It is unreal watching him take these long strides away from DEs toward the sideline while looking downfield. None of this was visible last year, and then in the fourth preseason game this year against the Chargers he was suddenly untouchable. Obviously it doesn't translate into fantasy, but it is exciting to watch.

    But yeah, I picked him up in every league I play in two weeks ago just in case, but didn't start him against Chicago. Definitely starting him in NO, but keeping a late-starting QB on deck because Harbaugh is one of the most untrustworthy coaches out there. As likely as it is that Kaep will start, it is doubly likely that Harbaugh is playing mind games on NO to get a slightly more than trivial advantage in a regular season game.

  12. He was drafted as a low end RB1 and, at least in PPR, has performed like a low end RB1. A lot of people that didn't draft him think he has sucked worse than his statistical performance, but you won't get to trade with those people since they didn't draft him.Overall, he's not a buy low unless you think he'll start performing like a mid RB1.

    He's actually performed like a low-end RB2 in 1PPR. As I stated, he's ranked 22nd in average PPG. Saying a RB is a RBx isn't subjective.
    It is, depending on your choice to include or exclude early season outliers like Spiller, Kevin Smith, Andre Brown, and LeShoure.
  13. He was drafted as a low end RB1 and, at least in PPR, has performed like a low end RB1. A lot of people that didn't draft him think he has sucked worse than his statistical performance, but you won't get to trade with those people since they didn't draft him.

    Overall, he's not a buy low unless you think he'll start performing like a mid RB1.

  14. assuming denver were to part ways with tebow, where do you think he could end up?who would take a chance building around him?from a marketing standpoint alone it could be worth it, no?

    Niners.
    I keep seeing people mentioning San Francisco and I certainly see the point, as San Fran has a stout defense and leads with the running attack. But with the re-emergence of Alex Smith, why would they change from their present course?
    I'm not sure Tebow would be a full time QB. But I think Harbaugh would LOVE a guy with that kind of versatility and those kinds of intangibles.
  15. He's one touchdown away from being a Top 25 RB.

    Where would he rank if you arbitrarily gave everyone an extra touchdown?
    Still only one ppg less than the RB25. I got his point - that the RB3 tier is very closely clumped together. What's your point?
  16. While ingram doesn't look headed to the HOF it appears Ingram owners are locks for the Whiners HOF and also the Excuses HOF. The excuses are getting old, it's to the point of thinking it's stinky bait.

    Does anyone actually moderate these boards?
  17. What would you define as a typical run play? Pretty sure Sproles is outperforming Ingram anyway you want to spin it.

    Sproles rarely gets a straight handoff. Most of his damage is being done on gadget plays and such. Comparing apples to apples, when Sproles does get a iso play or whatever he generally gets stuffed.
    The subtitle of this thread should be The Excuse Bandwagon
    More like "Troll Farm."
    As long as the trolls you are referring to are those who keep mindlessly hyping Ingram for no reason, then I agree.
    No one is hyping Ingram so no.
  18. What would you define as a typical run play? Pretty sure Sproles is outperforming Ingram anyway you want to spin it.

    Sproles rarely gets a straight handoff. Most of his damage is being done on gadget plays and such. Comparing apples to apples, when Sproles does get a iso play or whatever he generally gets stuffed.
    The subtitle of this thread should be The Excuse Bandwagon
    More like "Troll Farm."
  19. Why are you always so angry Chief?

    . Ingram has had the bulk of short yardage carries which has his ypc skewed. Defenses have really keyed on him in those situations

    This has been debunked multiple times in the thread. Ingram has sucked in all situations.
    No he hasn't, and I don't need this thread to tell me anything. I watch the games every Sunday. Maybe you should try the same.
    After the twentieth "moderated" troll rehashing the same crap it gets old. I wish people would stop quoting "moderated" when they feed his trolls because it defeats the purpose of blocking.
  20. I've been playing fantasy football for almost 20 years now, and I've often gravitated towards taking a flyer on a rookie RB whenever I feel that talent and situation allow a chance to greatly exceed draft position. This has helped me to nab the likes of Marshall Faulk, Edgerrin James, Fred Taylor, Chris Johnson and Matt Forte in their rookie seasons. However, the one rookie RB that I remember above all others was the one I drafted way back in 1995 - Curtis Martin.

    The reason I remember Martin so vividly is because I dropped him after week 7, due to disappointing production and losing my patience with the situation. Here's his statistical production through the first six games (when I finally gave up hope and dropped him):

    94 rushes for 288 yards and 2 TDs rushing along with 6 receptions for 39 yards and 0 TDs receiving.

    On a per game basis: 15.67 carries at 3.06 yds per carry (around 48 yds per game) and one TD every three games, plus one reception for 6.5yds.

    In the season's opener he rushed for 102 yards but in the next five games 40, 63, 44, 8, & 31 yards respectively. :X

    After being patient for 7 long weeks, I felt I could probably do better on the waiver wire than continuing to chase potential with Curtis Martin. Had there been a FBGs message board at the time I would have been the first to tell people, "drop this rookie BUST like a bad habit".

    Unfortunately after I dropped him, Martin exploded for 127 yds and a rushing TD in week 8, and subsequently another team with waiver wire priority over me promptly scooped him up and rode him all the way to the title game. I was left shaking my head while over the next 10 weeks Martin accumulated the following stats:

    274 rushes for 1,199 yards and 12 rushing TDs, along with 24 receptions for 222 yards and one TD receiving. In fact over those last ten weeks Martin rushed for over 100 yards nine times and still scored a TD in the only week he was held under the century mark.

    On a per game basis: 27.4 carries at 4.37 yds per carry, along with 2.4 receptions at 9.25 yds per catch, and 1.3 total TDs per game.

    My point in all of this is that Curtis Martin taught me a valuable fantasy football lesson. If/when I believe in a rookie RB's talent and situation, then I will hold onto him all season long if I have to, and I won't drop him just because of a slow start to his NFL career. Sometimes it takes awhile for a rookie to get comfortable and for the game to start slowing down, or for the coaches to properly scheme and match his skills to the offense.

    I'm not talking about the Bilal Powell's, DeMarco Murray's, and Jacquizz Rodgers' of the world, although certainly one of them could emerge. Rather I'm talking about very talented rookie RBs drafted to take over a #1 RB role in a decent situation. Ingram certainly meets those qualifiers.

    I might never start him all season long, but I'm damn sure not going to miss out on the intersection of talent and opportunity if/when they finally coincide. Now I can't tell you that Curtis Martin is a great analogy for Ingram... Brees and Co. are far more explosive than Bledsoe and Co., and Dave Meggett was no Darren Sproles, although he too was a valuable multi-purpose RB and out of the backfield receiving threat for Parcells in 1995. However, the opportunity is ever lurking in N.O. for Ingram to emerge in a big way. If it happens this season I will be taking advantage in several leagues. If it doesn't, oh well...

    Great story, thanks for sharing (seriously). With a little cleanup/editing, I think this could make a nice, entertaining FF article. :thumbup:

  21. I was high on Ingram before the season, I was still high on him after week 1, and even week 2. I'm no longer high on him. It's obvious the Saints have no interest in establishing the run. For the people that think once the Saints get in games where they can control the clock with the lead they'll start feeding Ingram, I disagree.

    I disagree. I dont see why you were high on him after 2 weeks and now his best game, in a shootout, makes you think otherwise. They have a cakewalk the next 6 weeks where the Saints should be up comfortably in most of the games. I dont think the Saints will run 3 times and punt when theyre up 10-14 points, but I do think Ingram will get considerably more work when games are going like that. If we are at week 8-9 and Ingram is still just 50-60yds and a TD 1 out of every 3 games, I'll agree with you, but I think his touches and TD opps will increase noticeably over the next month and a half.
    The problem is, there is way too much projected upside to Ingram's value to have rated him as a 2-4 round pick on draft day. It's not just FBGs, there were a ton of all-in's on Ingram in early September. And, barring injury, his upside isn't RB1 upside, it tops out at more like mid-high RB2 upside. This could easily go down as a Slaton-like bust, and all you can do is hold on and pray because his value is hovering around Brandon Jacobs-level. :) One of my more frustrating holds in years! Curse these enigmatic rookie RBs on draft day!
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