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Shutout last won the day on August 2 2013

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  1. It's a short drive and, imo, Lexington is a lot more convenient for a couple days around the Derby. There's so much going on in Louisville at Derby time that Lexington is just a less hassle. But if you are in Louisville, 4th Street is the activity center to be at, of course.
  2. The actual racing is closed. But the activities and the betting windows are open. A lot of people go there and make a day of it.
  3. I lived in Lexington for years. My two cents: For lodging, one of the best experiences you will find is to stay downtown in the Gratz park inn area. Hotels are hotels all over the world and the Mariott is the Mariott and nice but if you want a unique experience that is very cool and screams Kentucky Derby vibes, try the Gratz Park area and nearby. They are small, quaint, have character. Can't be beAt and that puts you in walking distance of the campuses which means fun, bars, food, etc. Book EARLY. For things to do, the bourbon trail tours are cool if you're really into bourbon b
  4. Climate change is a worldwide problem, not exclusive to America. What we do here will mean little unless China, India, Russia, the rest of the world all play ball also. It IS a real issue but, realistically, it is also a balancing act and no country is going to fall on the sword unless everyone agrees to have skin in the game and, as of now, no country could, acting by itself, save the rest of the world. The issue is as real as saying the sun will burn out one day and then...oops..big issue...but I don't think climate change is the problem with the things mentioned above. Somewhere in between
  5. I think Ben & Jerry's is pretty accurate here. I don't think any of those things were all that likely to occur for various reasons (for example, the Constitution explicitly says D.C. is a federal territory that cannot be a state so you'd have to carve a doughnut around a 10 sq. mile plot and carve it out, deal with the electoral votes it has, and probably repeal the 23rd amendment. Just seems messy. And Puerto Rico has all the protections of US states yet doesn't have to pay fed taxes...I think they have been asked if they want in before and they said "no, we are good". And they have ha
  6. A key item to keep in mind is how this works out. Scenario-Biden is the president, lower house is Des but weakened, Senate is Republican by a small margin. So, we are in "gridlock" and the "moderate" president faces significant pressure from the more-left partners like his VP, Bernie, etc. IF Biden can't get things done like cabinet seats for Bernie, Warren, etc, and he can't get some of the more left wish list things going, will he face enormous pressure from that group to sign executive orders to make small appeasements? Because if he does, there is very strong evidence,
  7. The long game inroads made by Trump are enormous. Probably the wrong thread to discuss but it is real: -He broke and exposed the pollsters -The number of young lifelong appointed judges at all levels, SC notwithstanding -He shattered the world the Dems wanted to enforce in terms of Demographic destiny. The Republican party has obviously drawn in people of all races, genders, etc. They are now the party of inclusion and the working person. According to Edison exit polling, as of election night, Trump had gained 2 points with white women; 4 points with black men and 4 points with
  8. Then you don't know what is. I know that will put some on the defensive but it is the truth. What you describe in the bolded is the literal definition of Democratic socialism (which is different than socialism but is what true moderate/centrist in the country are really striving for when we toss around the term socialism casually in the country). The reason this is true is because once you understand how that "option" becomes an option, it clarifies it. In order for Government to give the public an option, that has to both regulated (big government influence) and, more importantly,
  9. Isn't this what they are supposed to do, as professionals? Isn't this what would be done in real time on the fly in ,say, a patriots-giants game spread? I'm not sure we can give them a pass and say "it was crazy" ..This is a big deal. This is their one job for a hugely important event. This is like a moon shot. They have their methods they are said to have been working on for 4 years to get this right and they simply did not.
  10. https://theweek.com/speedreads/947823/polling-terrible-again-isnt-going-anywhere For your review. 2nd paragraph, released this morning. But not to bury the lead in the story, the point is these are MASSIVE errors occurring over and over again and there are at least a dozen media outlets using words like "fiasco" and "colossal errors". The pollsters need to rethink their methods if they want to survive.
  11. Its hard to defend 538 (or a lot of others). they were off in Ohio by about 8 percentage points, in Florida by about 5 points, and in Texas by about 4 points, etc. You have to do a lot wrong to get it that wrong. After 2016 there was all this talk that they were adjusting models, this wouldn't occur again, etc, and after 4 years of work it is actually worse. The trashing seems warranted when you see 10-12 point errors across the spectrum. In any industry you could make a comparison, this degree of errors across a 4+ year span would have led to people being fired or replaced for errors
  12. I don't thin they are worthwhile at this point. I believe it has become very clear that pollsters have largely lost their finger on the pulse in getting good information. The reason-The trust is gone. There is absolutely no incentive for a person to care to give information because there is such a lack of respect for an opposing opinion these days. Nobody wants to deal with being "labeled" and judged instead of just listened to.
  13. I'm not sure that is entirely true because many pollsters have been very off the mark for 3-4 elections in the last few major elections and mid-terms...yet a lot of people keep listening to them.
  14. or...we could actually put forth effort to set rules and enforce them instead of rolling over like a dog and surrendering to what is the fatal flaw of socialism in that Socialism believes it can regulate a system that believes it can make better decisions for people than people can make for themselves. We tend not to like that. We tend to value our freedom, especially since socialism has been shown to fail in every attempt that has been made to implement it.Even if you tailor that to "democratic socialism" you need look no further than Venezuela to understand how mandated practices simpl
  15. They are better than pollsters. I suppose because there are people actually putting their money where their mouths are with betting.
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