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About SoBeDad

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  1. 70 years ago, you would've been skeptical of a link between smoking and lung cancer. Science evolves.
  2. There have been many studies showing an association between increased neighborhood disadvantages and poorer health outcomes. If you consider the opposite (contrapositive), is this in play with COVID-19 vaccine distribution in Florida? Many of these wealthy neighborhoods also have lots of old money and old people, so the democrats need to make sure they don't overpay this. https://mobile.twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1367822202188496900
  3. My daughters responses range from imprison him to that type of stuff is so common, but I'm glad those who don't experience it are made aware of it and he shouldn't lose his job. Cuomo crossed the line because he was with a subordinate. The fudging of the COVID nursing home deaths is worse. And the promo for his COVID book is timely: >>“Real leadership, he shows, requires clear communication, compassion for others, and a commitment to truth-telling — no matter how frightening the facts may be.” <<
  4. Wearing a mask depends on the setting. In a hospital elevator, should it be mandatory? Yes. Taking a walk outdoors on Lincoln Road? No. In a jury room , probably yes. In a University lecture hall with 100 students. Yes. In Trader Joe's. Yes.
  5. How many COVID deaths that would be prevented by simply wearing a mask for 2 more months, or until the curve flattens, are in the future?
  6. With the Dolphin's 3rd pick of the NFL draft, the the entire Alabama receiving core picks: Mac Jones!!! https://mobile.twitter.com/AndySlater/status/1367212798644748288
  7. First round picks are very valuable with that extra year of control. Can Miami convert 2 first round picks into 3?
  8. The combination of masks and ~50% vaccination rate has reduced flu hospitalizations by 98%. We're not quite there yet with the COVID-19 vaccine. Masks have definitely reduced COVID deaths, but it's hard to quantity since there are so many confounds. More evidence - how many have died in densely populated cities in Asia.
  9. Is that after adjusting for age?. About 20% of Floridians are seniors (only Maine is higher) compared to about 13% of Texans (only Alaska and Utah are lower) per 2018 census estimates.
  10. Here's another projection from South Beach, which is hopping right now due to Spring Break and people up north fleeing the cold and the lockdowns. There are so many possibilities in the draft this year - maybe more than any in recent history. Many of my thoughts are influenced by Herald writer Barry Jackson, a great beat writer who uses lots of analytics and has many Dolphin connections. LB Kyle Van Noy was just released to create cap space. He was good last year, and a major reason the defense improved. He was A replacement needs to be found - maybe the LB from ND with pick 18. This wou
  11. Opening up may be correct, because there are some economic (and mental health) benefits to offset the added cases and deaths. But what is the benefit of eliminating the mask mandate? It may contribute to some deaths, maybe one, maybe dozens or even thousands. We'll never know, so there is little political risk. I suspect that opening up the economy in Florida and South Florida in particular may have contributed to cases and deaths - the only evidence is curves on ActCovidNow which were taller in July& August than almost any regions and seem to be declining more slowly now than in other s
  12. 2024 is looking better for Biden, Harris or anyone not named Hillary. Trump's face looks refreshed, but his spiel is the same.
  13. My favorite from Bee Nguyen: Georgia lawmaker scrutinizes Trump campaign list of allegedly illegal voters https://www.snopes.com/collections/trumps-election-fraud-claims/ https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-ap-fact-check-joe-biden-donald-trump-technology-49a24edd6d10888dbad61689c24b05a5 https://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/article248246980.html https://www.bbc.com/news/55561877
  14. If I were a betting person, I'd put some money on Rick Scott, if Trump decides not to run. He's not eloquent, people make fun of the way he looks, but he knows how appeal to the GOP base and moderates. In the Senate run, he strategically reached out multiple times to Peurto Ricans, and his appeal to seniors on taxes with great advertising was a success. He also just said at national TV that Biden is the president. Unequivocally. His message is simple, jobs - let's get to work. Most voters don't care about Medicare fraud that happened over 20 years ago.
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