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Everything posted by fredsavage

  1. Podcasts: The FF Dynasty is probably my favorite, mainly because the it’s the closest I've found to me and my buds casually talking some dynasty. Also really enjoy the previously mentioned Locked On and DLF.
  2. He has to be 2nd off the board in dynasty and perhaps even redraft at this point.
  3. I suspect the fact that he set records on championship week will stick in people’s minds. Guys I’m buying: Jerry Jeudy and to a lesser extent Henry Ruggs- remember when the 3rd or 4th year breakout was a thing? Neither guy landed in an ideal spot but both have upside for days and have lost a lot of value. No hesitation giving a late first for Jeudy or a high 2nd for Ruggs. Guys I’m selling: Shenault and Chark- I’ve heard a lot of chatter about Jags WRs upside with Lawrence and you can probably find buyers. My gut says there will be growing pains even with T-law and neither guy is special so neither will meet expectations. Viska reminds me of Cordarrelle Patterson, not in a good way. I see the team investing in a true #1 early on, possibly several big time pass catchers, early in Trevor’s career.
  4. Same boat, Thielen and Evans got me ahead so I’m playing it safe-ish rolling with Goedert.
  5. This line of thought got me several years of RB #1 overall, after Gurley’s 2nd year I think, I snagged him for a song. Like a first and change. When you manage a contending team with late draft picks you may have to wait until people give up on a guy to get access to high end talent.
  6. I’d say the Lockett comparison falls flat as Brown is a clearly superior talent. The whole regression idea is predicated on the notion that Brown isn’t really as good as his numbers suggest and that this outlier will be corrected. My stance is he’s a numerical outlier because he’s an outlier physically, with few rivals in terms of talent.
  7. What WR doesn’t blank from time to time. Metcalf is some people’s dynasty WR1 and just had a comparable game. It can be maddening to own even a guy like a Julio.
  8. I used Dak’s injury as a buy low opportunity. Traded 21 and 22 firsts and a 21 2nd and felt like I robbed the guy. If Dallas sucks and they punt the season (likely), they will feature Lamb imo.
  9. With his athletic profile and early production, Claypool is just behind Lamb for me. Which puts him in the conversation for top 10 dynasty WR
  10. High fives to actually having him in dynasty lol can someone please tell me the last 4 td Wr rookie game?
  11. Honest question, what percentage of NFL players do you think have never done coke with a stranger in a hotel room?
  12. Dynasty #1 overall. Seen everything I needed to in his first pro game. Reid is pot committed with him and he’s got the goods
  13. I’m a fan of Paul Charchian’s league format (Empire) that resets in the event that a team wins consecutive titles. If someone can do this it might indicate a competitive imbalance. Fixing this is one positive, and you can also make a side pot for the winner that could make things interesting. I think switching to this format could help invigorate stale leagues that might be in danger of folding. That said, my home leaguemates quickly rejected any notion of a reset when I brought it up a while back.
  14. Dynasty owners now is the time to flip 2020 picks for 2021 if you can upgrade your pick(s). Next years draft said to be loaded and my guess is the 20/21 fantasy season is a complete loss. Maybe a few games but not enough to determine a champion. You gain a year of guaranteed contract in the player and potentially an upgrade in talent. No brainer right? Aside from the fact that owning a shiny new rookie now can give a much appreciated distraction in these times. ETA next years draft may be much harder to evaluate if there’s no college football season, so this could devalue 2021 picks substantially.
  15. I love when people say there’s too much money to be lost to cancel the season. Um hello, the economic cost of coronavirus is measured in trillions. NFL overhead is a drop in the bucket and they will of course figure out a way to remain solvent. Franchises are canceling team activities due to positives left and right at the moment. Not looking good unless they move the league to New Zealand. ETA- Jerry Jones owns a $250 million yacht. That’s in the ballpark of the total construction cost for some teams’ stadiums. The NFL can and will weather this issue without risking lives.
  16. .75ppr 1qb Best #1: Gave Gurley, Aaron Rodgers Got 2020 1.10, 2.10, A.J. Brown (pre-breakout) Best #2: Gave: Julio Jones, some filler Got: George Kittle, 2020 1.3 Worst: Gave 100% FAAB dollars Got Josh Gordon 🤮
  17. This is a big buy low opportunity imo. People are saying “I told you so” after he finished RB15 when the whole Rams offense basically imploded. If I’m a contender I don’t hesitate to give up a late first rounder, like Edwards-Helaire or what have you, for the proven commodity.
  18. I’ve heard it bandied about during bama broadcasts that Smith had the talent to be considered in that range. Obviously he would have declared if that were true today but this is also a loaded class so maybe the draft grade isn’t absolutely reflective of his talent. My point was, sharing an offense with three other potential NFL starters easily explains his and Jeudy’s less than eye popping dominator ratings. ETA- try a quick google search for “Devonta Smith first round” I think you’re underselling his talent and reputation
  19. He was part of a receiver trio that had an outside shot of all going in the first round (4 including Waddle?). 28% of his career touches went to the house. If he goes to say the Broncos or a similar situation I’d say he’s a strong candidate for rookie WR3 behind Lamb and Jeudy. He seems to be valued as a late first dynasty pick which I think is a steal.
  20. Aging studs can be had. Use 2020 draft capital to buy older WRs: Julio, OBJ, Evans, Adams. I think the luster of this class will help to get some really favorable deals done.
  21. My reasoning is that I took singletary in the 2nd round as an underwhelming athlete but good situation and potential to make some noise on an ascending offense. From what I had seen up to the time of the trade I really liked singletary but I expect the bills to invest in another competent rb if not a true feature back through draft or FA. Singletary could lose value between then and the draft, and not likely to emerge as a bonafide stud worth a top 5 pick, whereas the 1.8 will have a constant value which fits my goals in a rebuild. Can’t say I wouldn’t love to have the Motor on my team but I wanted lots of bullets to fire at this acclaimed draft class.
  22. 12-team QRRWWWTF 0.75ppr Trade 1 - made just prior to playoffs, I'm rebuilding he's contending Gave: Devin Singletary Got: 2020 1st (8 overall) Trade 2 - Made just after this guy was eliminated from the playoffs. Gave: 2020 1st (will fall between 9-12) Got: Odell Beckham Jr. I know some of you will kill the guy who gave me OBJ, but I can understand his desire to move on. And yes I realize it's crazy I got more for Singletary than I gave for Odell. I'm sure Odell is very available in many leagues right now.
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