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Everything posted by maf005

  1. And in that format those values are probably correct. But the OP in which I originally posted the trade I did say "standard lineups", which is what values should be based on.
  2. How many more 4.5k+ passing yardage seasons does Brees have left? What is MT's production potential with a league average qb instead of Brees?
  3. You are in the minority then. DJ, Bell, and Zeke all carry more value than any WR in the ~6 leagues I play in (0.5-1.0 PPR, 12-16 teams, mostly standard lineup reqs) So in one thread we have a unanimous consensus that A>B, and in another thread we have a unanimous consensus that B>A. How are those threads not perfect examples of echo chambers?
  4. Thanks. Have you tried trading for one of the three stud rbs this offseason? OBJ alone isn't getting it done. And you were/are correct. The AC advice, and what you said, was pretty much spot on with my thinking initially. The stark contrast of opinions confirms my thoughts that the Shark Pool, and this thread in particular, is a bit of an echo chamber
  5. Nope. In fact, I leaned on the Assistant Coach Forum to help analyze a previous iteration of this trade. And the consensus was to NOT accept the initial offer, nor to counter with this. https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/756841-huge-dynasty-trade-offer/ I posted this trade because it was interesting to weigh the value I'm receiving against team needs and timeline. The other owner is very active and knowledgeable about dynasty values, and he wanted Thomas and Mixon. Also, this offer didn't just show up in my inbox one day, it was the result of extensive negotiations
  6. 12 Team PPR standard lineups Gave: Michael Thomas (NOS), Joe Mixon, 2018 2nd round pick (fringe contender) Received: OBJ, Lamar Miller, 2018 1st round pick (unlikely playoff team) Overall, I think I got more value here. My team is entering the 3rd year of a rebuild and I've been very fortunate with trades/draft picks thus far to the point where my team should compete for the playoffs just one year after earning the 1.01. However, my team isn't in a position to consolidate assets quite yet, which is why I held out for a bit more value. These negotiations were a
  7. Must add in dynasty. ASJ was a Great prospect whose production was severely limited due to maturity concerns. If he's making progress to move past that (all indications over the past few months indicate he is), then he could be in line for a significant opportunity given the Jets just lost their two best receivers.
  8. 14-team PPR start 2-3 RBs, 3-4 WRs, 1-2 TEs Team A receives (fringe playoff team): Dez Kyle Rudolph Team B receives (contender): McCoy Jeremy McNichols
  9. I would argue Baldwin's situation improved given that Wilson should be healthier this year, and Carroll has said they expect him to throw more. Baldwin easily for me
  10. Coleman has been one of the most efficient rbs in the league since being drafted over the course of a non-negligible sample size. Seems you are maybe a bit stubborn on your pre-draft analysis. Also, these rankings, along with the analysis, are basically consensus. And your track record is no better than a casual dynasty league player. What value do you think this type of analysis adds to these boards or your own FF success?
  11. Those three (perkins, hill, and rawls) are all below average to bad athletes who are long-shots to have any sort of sustained success. Similar to spencer ware. I don't see Hunt being any better than Ware, and it's rare for non-elite rbs to beat out incumbents
  12. I'm just trying to debunk the ridiculous assertion that Reid is such a plus for RB situations. These forums are actually worthless at this point when someone can't present a counter-argument without being accused of having an ulterior motive. (which is I think related to one of the biggest problems I have with the dynasty FF community in general. People who don't *love* a prospect face far too much backlash. The Shark Pool is just one of the many places I've encountered this. Which is ridiculous because MOST PROSPECTS FAIL! The default should analysis assumes otherwise) What? When did
  13. Buckhalter's best season: 642 rush yards, 31 catches, 24 reception yards, 1 td Duce had 3 good (likely top 10 PPR seasons at the time) seasons only. During those 3 he averaged under 4.0 ypc Which year of Buckhalter would you classify as highly productive?
  14. Staley and Buckhalter support the idea that marginal talents, even in Reid's system, aren't highly productive
  15. If that's the argument you want to make, sure. But that's not the logic being applied throughout this thread.
  16. "Marginal talent" is generous given his athletic profile
  17. It feels sonewhat absurd to attribute this to Reid when those rbs were Brian Westbrook, LeSean mccoy, and Jamaal Charles. But yeah, keep finding reasons to overdraft a marginal talent and inflate his adp
  18. 14 Team PPR standard rosters Team A received: 1.10 Team B received: 1.15 (extra pick for winning toilet bowl), 2.05, 2.11
  19. Watson is (maybe) an upgrade over whoever was the Texans qb in 2016. But long term a qb with the weakest arm in the league throwing deep cannot be positive for Fuller
  20. ^^ Juju in the 1st would shake up a lot of rookie rankings bigly
  21. If you can't even admit that Watson was the preseason consensus top QB, then you are likely too entrenched in your take for this discussion to be very productive anyway.
  22. The first 6 working preseason 2017 mock links from the "2017 rookies thread" http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/news/top-prospects-for-the-2017-nfl-draft-deshaun-watson-myles-garrett-headline-junior-laden-class/14fyrtraxq59y1nnwbanilvpk2 http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2636967-2017-nfl-mock-draft-early-1st-round-predictions-for-next-years-top-prospects https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-shutdown-corner/way-too-premature-list-of-top-25-prospects-for-the-2017-nfl-draft-165556894.html http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/super-early-2017-nfl-mock-draft-pass-rushers-rbs-
  23. The projected #1 was either Watson or Garrett. I don't recall any qbs being ranked ahead of Watson, and now there are several
  24. Not exactly, no. I think the media scouts and NFL teams (tbd) agree that he regressed (raw #s and especially after adjusting for age). Why else would the consensus #1 overall pick (preseason) drop in the draft?
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