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Everything posted by oldmanhawkins

  1. I think this is spot on, the steady progression, surprising early season struggles then the more surprising late season surge - but especially the low floor/high ceiling part. His success is dependent on Luck’s health, his maturity, and his role in the new offense, all big question marks. If everything comes together he could have a nice season. I’m holding for now.
  2. Is Doyle a legit #1? Asking because I don’t know. Knew he had some bad games early in the year with fumbles and drops but end of year stats look ok from volume. And what’s the problem with his twitter? Just scanned and saw he posts pictures of his kid and him getting baptized. Seemed harmless but maybe I’m missing something.
  3. Correction...trade was 4.12 for hogan. And a public service announcement to not attempt dispersal drafts through MFL’s chat function. You only get 50 or so messages before they start to delete and then chaos ensues.
  4. My First impression was he sold low on kupp. Though, he owns woods too and said he expects the rams and McKay to regress. He has bell and DJ (win now?) but had little at WR. Other owner was in the dispersal and getting Kupp for the vets that won’t be around by the time his team is any good was big. I can see both sides. I picked up blount. Needed RB depth badly and our rookie draft only goes to 4.12 so what the heck.
  5. Some trades that went down during a dispersal draft: Kupp and 4.07 for 2.06, fitzgerald, and jordy Chester Rogers for bridge water Blount for 4.12 exciting times!
  6. I was going to say the same about mariota. He stunk this year but I don’t think he was ever healthy. And the coaching/young WRs didn’t do him any favors. Still, he lead the team back a bunch late in games and is the only one in the group who has won playoff game. That suggests staying power. I’d easily rank him first among this group IF we were ignoring situation. All things considered i’d say: Goff, mariota, dak, mahomes. Winston isnt close. Probably underrating Dak bc he’s a stinkin cowboy.
  7. Oh crap, they all say 2017. Can I get a refund?
  8. I just bought 1,000. I plan to give one to myself after every championship.
  9. This is my current battle. I can’t access the lines without cutting a hole in the ceiling. I could cut the drywall behind the shower but I’m not sure if I’ll be able to get to the frozen parts. Instead, I ripped out the molding and used a hair dryer for awhile through the cracks. Wasn’t directly on the pipes but it did enough to get it going again. Should I do whatever is possible to get to the pex lines or can I trust that they will do their job?
  10. The rule for free agents is ADP plus 2. So if you picked up agholar, and his ADP is r7, you can keep him for a 9. I hate that rule, should be at ADP tops because you already got use of the FA all season plus the draft is already watered down by the 40 keepers
  11. I’m just after picks. I traded away picks in round 5-8 for guys like golden Tate and Jarvis Landry in a failed effort at a championship run. Keepers aren’t due until August. No one in my league really trades for keepers until things are more settled. I should be able to move wentz for a haul (philly league) but I doubt anyone takes on the risk of sitting him half a season. perhaps I should be trying to move 2 or 3 keepers for one stronger keeper and leave the picks out of it. Might see what the kamara (costs an 8th) owner would want in return. I’d give Michael Thomas (costs a 4th) plus ertz (6th). That might be light.
  12. This is exactly it. Except instead of an upside guy like mike Williams (that at least I could guess their interest in), the other team might even be planning on keeping mike Wallace or someone that I perceive as having little to no value. Last year, a team that I thought had no significant keepers kept rejecting my offers without counter. He ended up keeping gillislee and ty Montgomery right around their ADP. Apparently he was very high on those two and thus my offers weren’t worth it to him. We are all guilty of overvaluing our own guys, and that make these keepers for picks trades very difficult. I’d obviously prefer to keep my favorite four of the nine guys I have and deal the others but will instead have to shop all of them and deal whoever brings back fair value.
  13. I’m in a 10 team keep 4 League. Round drafted minus 2 each year. I’m loaded with about 9 potential keepers. Wentz, Thomas, ertz, engram, juju, Dede, Collins, Dion, hogan all at great value. Anyone have any advice on how to trade these guys for picks??? It gets tricky to find a Trade partner because they need to a. Like the player b. Need a keeper c. Have some picks to spare d. Agree with you on their value I can’t ever seem to get a fair offer
  14. Thanks. I looked at that earlier and was hung up on the “forward initially” part and wasn’t reading through part b.
  15. I don’t know why, but I think something feels wrong about that interpretation of the rules. If you attempt a forward pass but the wind were blowing so hard that the ball travelled backward, it would still be a forward pass. If it hit the ground it would be ruled incomplete. Meanwhile if you make a backward pass while running fast enough to make the ball travel forward, that’s called a forward pass? Pretty sure that happens in rugby frequently and it isn’t against any rules. the answer that I keep hearing is that forward/backward is determined relative to a fixed point on the field. But I didn’t see that in the rules. And if it is, why? sorry for the hijack, should have started another thread.
  16. Is the determining factor simply whether or not the ball ends up ahead of where it begins? Because I don’t think that is the definition of a legal forward pass.
  17. That was awful. The Saints throwing on 3rd should have told him they would go for it on 4th. His clock management at the end of the half may have been worse.
  18. While I agree the ball went forward (and that a challenge was the correct move because of the stakes), I'm not sure the refs would have overturned it. I thought it was clear Wilson attempted a legal lateral. Neil deGrasse Tyson weighs in I think the definition of a forward pass says something about initially moving forward. Would it matter if the lateral initially moved backward?
  19. He wasn't drafted in my dynasty league but he currently has more catches, yards, and TDs than all of the first rounders (corey davis, mike williams, and john ross) combined.
  20. Sorry, was referring to Tyron, not Rod: http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/21378545/dallas-cowboys-lt-tyron-smith-ruled-atlanta-falcons-back-groin-issues
  21. I have him in over Martin/Lewis but after reading the Smith is out I might change my mind.
  22. That’s Jason wood’s ranking, correct? And pre-trade? I think most would place him above Murray and Martin on age alone. Lamar Miller over ajayi seems off as well. Henry seems like a good comp. So maybe not so far off from mixon? I agree with your take that Ajayi is on shaky ground due to the incoming class. And because of the trade, he needs to perform now or his value will fall even farther. That’s my concern - but maybe others are optimistic on his outlook after going from one of the worst teams in the league to the best.
  23. Thanks Bia, I’ve followed your analysis of ajayi over the last two years and you have generally been spot on and always consistent in your analysis of him. I don’t dislike him, I just don’t consider him a cornerstone dynasty player. So, if I can move him for that, I want to do it. I’m from philly and there are a couple homers in the league, so I’m unsure if I should throw some offers out now, or wait it out as you suggest. What kind of RB does he fetch now straight up? How does he compare to Kamara/mixon/cook?
  24. Is ajayi’s arrow pointing up or down? I bought semi low (before foster was signed) and have been looking to move on from him. Couldn’t get a top 4 pick in the off-season so I stood pat, thinking better opportunities would present themselves. They haven’t, and I’m not thrilled with the fact he was traded (though the consensus in philly seems very positive). What’s comparable RB? I’d imagine it will be impossible to find someone with a top 4 first that would be interested
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