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Everything posted by Babooya

  1. You know what. I’m not leaving. The show goes on
  2. Great point. Smoke is a filthy route runner. His highlight reel the year before Diggs when he went off as WR1 is great. His problem was soft tissue injuries and sickle cell that causes him to heal slower. Such an under appreciated guy. I think Ruggs has a chance to be very good. He just needs short and intermediate catch and run situations. He has great speed and great hands. It used to be a 3 year acclimation. I feel like it’s closer to 2 now. Especially a covid rookie year. Team is invested. Selling now is moronic unless you are in a roster spot situation.
  3. I wouldn’t take a 2nd for Laviska. I understand it’s like taking crazy pills with Urban, but Shenault is the hybrid WR/RB that’s too good a WR to smash into the line. I know he will be misused just as I know he has the skill set to thrive. This is a train wreck I’m seeing through with a front row seat
  4. The Carlos Hyde signing was such a tease. You figure Oscar found his pet backup back from college. The itch was scratched. There were so many other needs in the trenches and defense. There were impact tackles on the board. You accept it’s a volatile situation having an UDFA atop the depth chart of a new regime with little motivation to produce fond memories of the priors player evaluation efforts. But it was a historic season, and you’ve locked up 5-7m in excess value per season on his contract. You have 100m+ in excess value with Lawrence’s contact. You can draft and buy the D and compete immediately. Tom Coughlin did it with far less advantage. JR goes from a community chest card to a chance card. His his trade value will never be above his hold value. He has elite vision and he seems highly driven with good ethic. I think he’ll get better. Baring Etienne being unable to run with power between the tackles, JR is a backup/maybe GL. also sad for Laviska as it seems he is in for the same fate. Pining for Toney. The writing is on the wall. New regime wants faces of franchise to be new regime players :sadtrombone:
  5. It’s a question of perspective. Who is making the valuation and through what lens? 2 observers will have two different opinions, infinite observers infinite opinions. Are you pleasing a random observer or yourself? That is the only consideration
  6. What are the feelings on Miles Sanders? I wonder if he is teetering towards a 3rd down back/committee if he doesn’t take a fairly large step forward with his interior rushing. I wonder how a healthy line impacts that he was a favorite of a regime that is gone
  7. Robby Anderson. Minimal investment or for dynasty owners who’ve seen flashes of dominance and route running for years, one last shot in a new situation with a coach who believes in him. put up a remarkably consistent year even if it somewhat leveled out as the season wore on. Solid WR2 returns. Chance card as opposed to community chest moving forward very similar to John Browns campaign the year before
  8. Fair enough. My last point, if you look at each owner within the league as an individual market with unique determinations of asset values the analogy works fine
  9. Depends on how you look at it. You aren’t selling for universal currency, you are trading value for value. Essentially bartering. Everyone has differing perceived asset value. My extraordinarily simple point was that you use rankings and mocks to figure out how to exploit that perceived value difference in trades as much possible.
  10. I doubt we are disagreeing but meme away
  11. You have it backwards. You evaluate what the market thinks and if you are more bullish or bearish you arbitrage for value. None of these rankings are ‘right’, they are a snapshot of perceived value.
  12. All this is fair. I’d easily take Tua over Hurts for a couple of reasons. I want my backup QB with upside and job security. They will either play once a year on bye, or their value will ascend to a point they can be traded for an asset and the QB2 process begins again. if I’m worrying about job security I need to burn an extra roster spot on a QB with zero long term dynasty value. That roster spot has value in my league.
  13. I think Tua and Burrow will end up being fairly close. Burrows has Rodgers upside but will likely be a QB8-14 type. Tua’s range is wider but is more likely to be a QB12-16. I like Tua’s accuracy and his composure. I think he will improve outside the numbers but this is a ? my opinion on dynasty QB (like TE) is that there are the top 5 and everyone else. I’m not sure I feel very strongly either one is more likely to get there. guessing on Fields is premature without fit and commitment to build around him, but his dynasty position moved a lot closer to Lawrence yesterday
  14. Stations are into drumming up controversy to have hot takes and get people to listen. They are right that this issue will be prime content for them for the better part of the next year.
  15. I’m not aware of the local talk radio stuff. He should be the “#1” going into camp with a healthy team. Doesn’t mean he will leave camp that way, and the leash will be tight. My point was that they aren’t going to know the direction of their team until mid season
  16. He played with Dobbins, Campbell, McLauren. Chase Young and Nick Bosa amongst other NFL players. It was my concern with Burrow as well. Sussing out degrees of dominance against inferior talent is harder to figure out chicken vs egg when it’s an all star college team
  17. Couple different ways to look at it. If the OL was healthy Wentz wouldn’t have looked like that. Give him the job next year until he shows he’s the same guy with a good OL. Corollary is that Wentz has proven that he is a bad QB under pressure. He may be a great QB unpressured but playoff games are won and lost by under duress throws and decision making. I agree w DJax that who knows what you have with Hurts. He was more effective in a bad situation. Might be a great time to sell high, might be a better option than Wentz. I think this goes into 21 season, you know Hurts will mentally embrace it being it’s a reverse redux of his college career. And the report is that Wentz doesn’t want to accept the challenge. I think one will be traded but it will be mid or post season next year
  18. H2H tiebreaker is fine within division or for wildcard. If it’s more than 2 teams tied it goes to total points, and if H2H is split its total points. It’s not punishment, wins matter. whether or not you have complaints about bye weeks or injuries. Those are the breaks
  19. I don’t like paying a first for Lawrence. The margin for error on return is so low in a 1QB league. He could ‘succeed’ and be in the muck of replaceable QB starters in the low QB1- early QB2. You are really looking for top 5 fantasy production. In a situation that will likely highly variable in the outset with new coaches/scheme/players. You draft an RB and top 24 production becomes an asset, or a WR and top 36 becomes an asset. The math points you where to bet. Lawrence will be good, but not sure I think he is a better prospect than Watson other than height. Watson went late 2nd
  20. It’s interesting. I go back and forth on Dobbins because he is such a natural Ray Rice comp on the same team. But I also think his ceiling is a bit capped by LJ scrambles taking away those cheap golden PPR touches and TDs. Not to mention it seems like a high production offense with multiple backs getting consistent efficient touches. Swift is explosive as advertised. Have to discount the situation/organization. That’s probably enough alone to lean Dobbins
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