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ignatiusjreilly

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Everything posted by ignatiusjreilly

  1. Data is unclear. But what everyone seems to agree is that if you've been infected and then get vaxxed, that offers the best possible protection. If your own mother's health were at stake, wouldn't you take every reasonable step you could to protect her? And by the way, this isn't a theoretical discussion for me. My mother-in-law is immunocompromised, in addition to being a Covid widow, and you better believe that her situation has been a major factor in all our decisions over the past year and a half. To clarify, I meant "as soon as is recommended", not that he should run out and do it tomorrow. Anyway, don't want to sidetrack the thread any further. I wish Williams and his family the best.
  2. Long, fascinating thread by a veteran armorer. TLDR: he (assume it's a guy) doesn't know exactly what happened, but based on what he has heard there's no way this should have occurred if basic safety protocols were followed. An accident like this would require multiple points of failure, and the system has multiple redundancies built in for exactly that reason
  3. In fact, annual flu deaths are calculated using the "excess death" metric, which tends to produce higher numbers than trying to attribute specific deaths to a disease. My understanding is that this is because EDs take longer to calculate and, prior to coronavirus, there was little urgency to know the up-to-the-minute numbers. So your premise is backward. If we're comparing apples to apples, Covid has been even worse than the numbers would suggest relative to H1N1. I also find your effort to retroactively convince all of us that H1N1 was some kind of second Holocaust to be really weird. I'm guessing 99% of the people posting here were sentient adults during that time period. We know exactly how bad and disruptive it was, or, more accurately, wasn't.
  4. Let's check in on how things are going with the state's new surgeon general: There's being heterodox, or anti-science, or whatever. And then there's just being a jerk.
  5. If he’s not back until Week 10 then I’m out. I need a bye week fill in for Hock in Week 9 and a Kittle replacement until he comes off IR. Knox’s situation does me no good. Too bad. He’s been having a strong season and I hope this injury doesn’t derail it
  6. He was shockingly dropped on one of my leagues, so I scooped him up. My general impression is that Williams’ emergence seems to have capped his ceiling a little, but he’s still really talented and has an elite QB throwing to him. Does anyone know if his peripherals have changed at all this year? Is he due for any positive regression?
  7. I’m glad he’s doing better. I hope he can take advantage of this opportunity. But Damien, please get vaccinated as soon as possible, if not for your own career, if not got the good of the team, then at least for your mom
  8. Honestly, this should be the required permanent footer for every post on this site
  9. I thought about that. But how many cases are there of RBs being left for dead and then coming back? I'm sure it's happened, just can't think of any right now. But the more important point is, as an NFL RB you only get so many bites at the apple. Williams has now wasted two of them. [OK, just thought of Ricky Williams. But that kind of proves my point. He was uber-talented, so the Dolphins were willing to give him another shot. Williams just isn't at that level.]
  10. Right, he basically went from being the starting RB for a SB winner -- and arguably the second-best player on the field in that Super Bowl -- to third-string on an also-ran, entirely because of two decisions he made over the course of the past year. I think the initial opt-out decision was defensible, especially since he presumably made it with eyes open, and maybe his career would have tanked regardless -- every RB is basically always half a step away from the unemployment line. Still, the fall from grace is kind of amazing
  11. That was also when Mostert was active. By Week 2, when Mostert was hurt, Mitchell, Sermon and Hasty were all active.
  12. Well, as we've seen with McCaffrey this year, or Mixon last year, teams don't always act rationally when it comes to putting guys on IR.
  13. 3 1/2 redraft leagues. I don't really count the 8-teamer I co-manage with my son.
  14. Posted this in the NFL Covid thread, but Williams' decisions over the past year are truly inscrutable. First he opts out last year because his mom had Stage IV cancer; it's admirable that he was willing to put his family first, but the decision cost him his roster spot with the Chiefs. So then he signs a one-year deal with the Bears as the backup behind Montgomery, and when Montgomery goes on IR, he has a chance to shine and maybe secure bigger money next year ... except then he gets Covid. And now he may miss a second straight game because he's unvaccinated, and even if he doesn't, there's a good chance Khalil Herbert may have passed him on the depth chart anyway. Also, as far as I can tell his mother is still alive (and therefore still immunocompromised), so by not getting vaxxed he may have put her at risk, too. ETA: Oh yeah, he also may be Patient Zero for an outbreak on the Bears
  15. Yeah, I ended up going Ryan because I liked the match-up this weekend. But I may look to Wentz for the next few weeks until Wilson comes back; feel like he's a steadier option
  16. This whole Damien Williams story is truly bizarre. Guy opts out last year because his mom had Stage IV cancer; it's admirable that he was willing to put his family first, but the decision cost him his roster spot with the Chiefs. So then he signs a one-year deal with the Bears as the backup behind Montgomery, and when Montgomery goes on IR, he has a chance to shine and maybe secure bigger money next year ... except then he gets Covid. And now he may miss a second straight game because he's unvaccinated, and even if he doesn't, there's a good chance Khalil Herbert may have passed him on the depth chart anyway. Also, as far as I can tell his mother is still alive (and still immunocompromised), so by not getting vaxxed he may have put her at risk, too. I wish both him and his mother good health, but man, talk about throwing away your shot.
  17. I'm starting to wonder if any Denver WR is going to have much value going forward. Teddy's play is deteriorating, and if he gets replaced by Drew Lock, it could get even worse. Yes, both Lock and Teddy have supported viable fantasy WRs in the past even while playing like dog crap, just saying we shouldn't necessarily assume past is prologue for Denver ROS. Things can definitely get worse.
  18. Donald Trump’s SPAC Deal Will Take Memes to an Extreme
  19. How Spanish-Language Radio Helped Radicalize A Generation Of Miami Abuelos The whole article is good, and shines a light on something that's been getting far too little attention, even here in South Florida. But I also thought this part has more universal applicability: My parents are fairly typical Northeastern Jewish liberals. They are far from radical, either ideologically or characterologically. But they have MSNBC on in the background all day long at their house (it used to be CNN; at some point a couple years ago they switched). Whenever I stay with them, I find the constant barrage of news to be so draining. First of all, there's the sheer repetition of the same stories (and stock footage) over and over again. But it's also the constant undertone of "Can you believe these horrible people are doing these things?" in every story, every interview, every panel discussion. I just find that, whether I agree with it or not, it sends my cortisol levels through the roof. I've never spent all day watching Fox News, but I would imagine the effect is pretty similar, if not worse (right-wing media tends to be more apocalyptic). It feels like we're conducting this grand unwitting experiment where we separate the population into different bubbles based on their political affiliation and then each side gets the people in its bubble increasingly riled up. It won't end well.
  20. Not saying anything definitively, but there do seem to be some reports that the whole production was being run on the cheap, including not having union propmasters/armorers on set and overall unsafe conditions. In addition to being the star, Baldwin was apparently also the producer. IF all those things are true -- and I want to be clear that there is a whole nest of hypotheticals in there -- then he would bear some responsibility for the environment where such a tragic accident could occur. But as I said, I'll wait for more concrete facts to emerge before drawing any conclusions.
  21. I had the same debate. Went with Denver. They both ended up being mediocre plays, only one point difference. Denver is clearly droppable at this point. Cleveland has an OK-not-great upcoming schedule (Pit/@Cinci/@NE/Det) but I suspect there will be better options in most of those weeks. Maybe target them for the Detroit game.
  22. OK, maybe it's directed at one person in this thread. 🙂 (And for the record, @[icon], I respect you a lot and find you to be one of the more thoughtful contributors to this forum. I just think in this case your distaste for Baldwin is preventing you from viewing the situation objectively.)
  23. Interesting. I hadn't heard that. I had kind of assumed he would only have to miss a week or two. But now that I think of it I realize that may have been my own wishcasting. Do you have any links discussing his timeline? If he's not going to be back before Kittle I probably won't waste my time on him.
  24. I initially picked him up as a Jeudy replacement and have been pretty happy with his production (at least before last night). I'll keep him on my bench for another week or two after Jeudy gets back and see how he does, but most likely end up moving on.
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